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Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentUpdated —

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Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

USD data and Fed speakers make the cleanest setups likely after the first reactions settle, especially in USD pairs and gold. Do not chase spikes; patience is the edge today.

Today’s Events

All times UK time

Time	Event	CCY	Dangerous Window	Better Window	Status
01:00	Bastille Day	EUR	—	—	Locked
01:00	Iraq Republic Day		—	—	Locked
01:00	Mongolia Naadam		—	—	Locked
01:00	Montenegro Statehood Day		—	—	Locked
01:00	GDP Growth Rate QoQ	SGD	00:55 – 01:15	01:15 onwards	Locked
01:00	GDP Growth Rate YoY	SGD	—	—	Locked
01:30	Westpac Consumer Confidence Index	AUD	01:25 – 01:45	01:45 onwards	Locked
01:30	Westpac Consumer Confidence Change	AUD	01:20 – 01:50	01:50 onwards	Locked
02:30	NAB Business Confidence	AUD	02:20 – 02:50	02:50 onwards	Locked
03:00	Jordan Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
03:00	Jordan Inflation Rate MoM		—	—	Locked
03:35	6-Month Bill Auction	NZD	—	—	Locked
03:35	3-Month Bill Auction	NZD	—	—	Locked
03:35	1-Year Bill Auction	NZD	—	—	Locked
04:00	Imports YoY	CNY	03:50 – 04:20	04:20 onwards	Locked
04:00	Exports YoY	CNY	03:50 – 04:20	04:20 onwards	Locked
04:00	Balance of Trade	CNY	03:50 – 04:20	04:20 onwards	Locked
04:00	Balance of Trade Yuan	CNY	—	—	Locked
04:35	20-Year JGB Auction	JPY	—	—	Locked
05:30	Industrial Production MoM	JPY	—	—	Locked
05:30	Industrial Production YoY	JPY	—	—	Locked
05:30	Capacity Utilization MoM	JPY	—	—	Locked
06:00	Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY	EUR	—	—	Locked
06:00	Inflation Rate YoY	EUR	—	—	Locked
06:00	Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM	EUR	—	—	Locked
06:00	Inflation Rate MoM	EUR	—	—	Locked
06:00	MAS 12-Week Bill Auction	SGD	—	—	Locked
06:00	MAS 4-Week Bill Auction	SGD	—	—	Locked
07:00	Wholesale Prices YoY	EUR	06:55 – 07:15	07:15 onwards	Locked
07:00	Wholesale Prices MoM	EUR	06:55 – 07:15	07:15 onwards	Locked
07:30	Construction Output YoY	HUF	—	—	Locked
07:30	Industrial Production YoY	HUF	—	—	Locked
07:30	WPI Manufacturing YoY	INR	—	—	Locked
07:30	WPI Inflation YoY	INR	—	—	Locked
07:30	WPI Fuel YoY	INR	—	—	Locked
07:30	WPI Food Index YoY	INR	—	—	Locked
07:30	Producer & Import Prices YoY	CHF	—	—	Locked
07:30	Producer & Import Prices MoM	CHF	—	—	Locked
08:00	Total Social Financing	CNY	—	—	Locked
08:00	M2 Money Supply YoY	CNY	—	—	Locked
08:00	Outstanding Loan Growth YoY	CNY	—	—	Locked
08:00	New Yuan Loans	CNY	07:55 – 08:15	08:15 onwards	Locked
08:00	Current Account	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:00	Current Account	CZK	—	—	Locked
09:00	Palestine Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
09:00	BoE Gov Bailey Speech	GBP	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:30	Current Account	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:40	3-Month Letras Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:40	9-Month Letras Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:30	2-Year Schatz Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:30	3-Month DTB Auction	HUF	—	—	Locked
10:30	Weekly Bond Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	Mining Production MoM	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	Mining Production YoY	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	Gold Production YoY	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	2033 Bond Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	2042 Bond Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
11:00	NFIB Business Optimism Index	USD	—	—	Locked
13:00	Balance of Trade	PLN	—	—	Locked
13:00	Current Account	PLN	—	—	Locked
13:15	ADP Employment Change Weekly	USD	13:05 – 13:35	13:35 onwards	Locked
13:30	Core Inflation Rate MoM	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	CPI	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Inflation Rate YoY	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Inflation Rate MoM	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Core Inflation Rate YoY	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	CPI s.a	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:55	Redbook YoY	USD	—	—	Locked
15:00	Ecuador Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
15:00	Fed Chair Warsh Testimony	USD	14:55 – 15:15	15:15 onwards	Locked
16:00	Angola Interest Rate Decision		—	—	Locked
16:30	6-Week Bill Auction	USD	—	—	Locked
17:40	Fed Barr Speech	USD	17:35 – 17:55	17:55 onwards	Locked
18:00	Fed Goolsbee Speech	USD	17:55 – 18:15	18:15 onwards	Locked
18:30	Fed Cook Speech	USD	18:25 – 18:45	18:45 onwards	Locked
19:55	Fed Bowman Speech	USD	19:50 – 20:10	20:10 onwards	Locked
20:00	Inflation Rate MoM	ARS	—	—	Locked
20:00	Inflation Rate YoY	ARS	—	—	Locked
21:00	Net Long-term TIC Flows	USD	20:55 – 21:15	21:15 onwards	Locked
21:00	Foreign Bond Investment	USD	—	—	Locked
21:00	Overall Net Capital Flows	USD	—	—	Locked
21:30	API Crude Oil Stock Change	USD	21:25 – 21:45	21:45 onwards	Locked
22:00	Import Prices YoY	KRW	—	—	Locked
22:00	Export Prices YoY	KRW	—	—	Locked
23:45	Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY	NZD	—	—	Locked
23:45	Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM	NZD	—	—	Locked
00:00	Unemployment Rate	KRW	23:55 – 00:15	00:15 onwards	Locked
00:00	Reuters Tankan Index	JPY	—	—	Locked
00:50	Machinery Orders MoM	JPY	00:45 – 01:05	01:05 onwards	Locked
00:50	Machinery Orders YoY	JPY	00:45 – 01:05	01:05 onwards	Locked

Locked
01:00EUR
Bastille Day
Locked
01:00
Iraq Republic Day
Locked
01:00
Mongolia Naadam
Locked
01:00
Montenegro Statehood Day
Locked
01:00SGD
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Dangerous
00:55 – 01:15
Better
01:15 onwards
Locked
01:00SGD
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Locked
01:30AUD
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
Dangerous
01:25 – 01:45
Better
01:45 onwards
Locked
01:30AUD
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change
Dangerous
01:20 – 01:50
Better
01:50 onwards
Locked
02:30AUD
NAB Business Confidence
Dangerous
02:20 – 02:50
Better
02:50 onwards
Locked
03:00
Jordan Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
03:00
Jordan Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
03:35NZD
6-Month Bill Auction
Locked
03:35NZD
3-Month Bill Auction
Locked
03:35NZD
1-Year Bill Auction
Locked
04:00CNY
Imports YoY
Dangerous
03:50 – 04:20
Better
04:20 onwards
Locked
04:00CNY
Exports YoY
Dangerous
03:50 – 04:20
Better
04:20 onwards
Locked
04:00CNY
Balance of Trade
Dangerous
03:50 – 04:20
Better
04:20 onwards
Locked
04:00CNY
Balance of Trade Yuan
Locked
04:35JPY
20-Year JGB Auction
Locked
05:30JPY
Industrial Production MoM
Locked
05:30JPY
Industrial Production YoY
Locked
05:30JPY
Capacity Utilization MoM
Locked
06:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
06:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
06:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
06:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
06:00SGD
MAS 12-Week Bill Auction
Locked
06:00SGD
MAS 4-Week Bill Auction
Locked
07:00EUR
Wholesale Prices YoY
Dangerous
06:55 – 07:15
Better
07:15 onwards
Locked
07:00EUR
Wholesale Prices MoM
Dangerous
06:55 – 07:15
Better
07:15 onwards
Locked
07:30HUF
Construction Output YoY
Locked
07:30HUF
Industrial Production YoY
Locked
07:30INR
WPI Manufacturing YoY
Locked
07:30INR
WPI Inflation YoY
Locked
07:30INR
WPI Fuel YoY
Locked
07:30INR
WPI Food Index YoY
Locked
07:30CHF
Producer & Import Prices YoY
Locked
07:30CHF
Producer & Import Prices MoM
Locked
08:00CNY
Total Social Financing
Locked
08:00CNY
M2 Money Supply YoY
Locked
08:00CNY
Outstanding Loan Growth YoY
Locked
08:00CNY
New Yuan Loans
Dangerous
07:55 – 08:15
Better
08:15 onwards
Locked
08:00EUR
Current Account
Locked
09:00CZK
Current Account
Locked
09:00
Palestine Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
09:00GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:30EUR
Current Account
Locked
09:40EUR
3-Month Letras Auction
Locked
09:40EUR
9-Month Letras Auction
Locked
10:30EUR
2-Year Schatz Auction
Locked
10:30HUF
3-Month DTB Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
Weekly Bond Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
Mining Production MoM
Locked
10:30ZAR
Mining Production YoY
Locked
10:30ZAR
Gold Production YoY
Locked
10:30ZAR
2033 Bond Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
2042 Bond Auction
Locked
11:00USD
NFIB Business Optimism Index
Locked
13:00PLN
Balance of Trade
Locked
13:00PLN
Current Account
Locked
13:15USD
ADP Employment Change Weekly
Dangerous
13:05 – 13:35
Better
13:35 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Core Inflation Rate MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
CPI
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Inflation Rate YoY
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Inflation Rate MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Core Inflation Rate YoY
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
CPI s.a
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:55USD
Redbook YoY
Locked
15:00
Ecuador Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
15:00USD
Fed Chair Warsh Testimony
Dangerous
14:55 – 15:15
Better
15:15 onwards
Locked
16:00
Angola Interest Rate Decision
Locked
16:30USD
6-Week Bill Auction
Locked
17:40USD
Fed Barr Speech
Dangerous
17:35 – 17:55
Better
17:55 onwards
Locked
18:00USD
Fed Goolsbee Speech
Dangerous
17:55 – 18:15
Better
18:15 onwards
Locked
18:30USD
Fed Cook Speech
Dangerous
18:25 – 18:45
Better
18:45 onwards
Locked
19:55USD
Fed Bowman Speech
Dangerous
19:50 – 20:10
Better
20:10 onwards
Locked
20:00ARS
Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
20:00ARS
Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
21:00USD
Net Long-term TIC Flows
Dangerous
20:55 – 21:15
Better
21:15 onwards
Locked
21:00USD
Foreign Bond Investment
Locked
21:00USD
Overall Net Capital Flows
Locked
21:30USD
API Crude Oil Stock Change
Dangerous
21:25 – 21:45
Better
21:45 onwards
Locked
22:00KRW
Import Prices YoY
Locked
22:00KRW
Export Prices YoY
Locked
23:45NZD
Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY
Locked
23:45NZD
Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM
Locked
00:00KRW
Unemployment Rate
Dangerous
23:55 – 00:15
Better
00:15 onwards
Locked
00:00JPY
Reuters Tankan Index
Locked
00:50JPY
Machinery Orders MoM
Dangerous
00:45 – 01:05
Better
01:05 onwards
Locked
00:50JPY
Machinery Orders YoY
Dangerous
00:45 – 01:05
Better
01:05 onwards

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

12:00-13:05 UK
—
Best WindowUpcoming
Pre-US Reset
Good for managing open trades, but poor for starting new risk close to the data.
Volatility · Moderate
Correlated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
The USD data cluster starts at 13:15 UK, so the market can become hesitant before it. This window is better for preparation than fresh entries late in the hour.
13:10-13:50 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
USD ADP at 13:15 UK and USD CPI inflation cluster at 13:30 UK
Avoid fresh entries in USD pairs and gold.
Volatility · High
Correlated withUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly · 13:15USD Core Inflation Rate MoM · 13:30USD CPI · 13:30USD Inflation Rate YoY · 13:30USD Inflation Rate MoM · 13:30USD Core Inflation Rate YoY · 13:30USD CPI s.a · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Several high-impact USD releases are stacked within 15 minutes. This is the main execution risk of the day.
14:00-14:50 UK
—
Best WindowUpcoming
Post-Data Reset
Trade only if the USD data reaction has settled and price respects clear levels.
Volatility · Moderate
Correlated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
The main CPI and ADP releases are scheduled before this window, but Fed testimony follows at 15:00 UK. Any setup needs room to work before that next risk point.
14:55-15:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
Fed Chair Warsh Testimony at 15:00 UK
Stand aside until the first reaction settles.
Volatility · High
Correlated withUSD Fed Chair Warsh Testimony · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
The testimony is high impact and follows the USD data cluster. It can extend or reverse the earlier reaction without warning.

Today's Guidance

Wait for price to clearly confirm your setup — a candle close beyond the level, not just a wick — before entering. Avoid opening fresh trades just before the USD data and Fed testimony windows.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Step 01Upcoming
Treat the London open as the first real test because Asian price action is the only guide so far.
Step 02Upcoming
Keep new risk light before the USD data cluster and Fed testimony.
Step 03Upcoming
Use H1 closes around key levels rather than reacting to the first spike.
Step 04Upcoming
Gold and USD pairs need extra discipline around New York news.
Step 05Upcoming
Brent has its own late risk from API crude stocks.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Trading Notebook and tick items off as you trade.

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Today's Trading Plan

🟡News-Driven Day

Today’s Events

News-Driven Day