Today's Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrent·Updated —Issue №81Today's Outlook
🟡Patient News Trading Day
Wait for EUR/USD to settle after EUR Unemployment Change at 08:00 UK and USD ADP Employment Change at 13:15 UK. Avoid the first sharp price swing because USD releases at 12:00, 15:00, 15:30 and 19:00 UK may disrupt orderly trading.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
- 01:00VND
National Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00VND
Independence Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
GDP Chain Price Index QoQ
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
GDP Final Consumption QoQ
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- 1.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30JPY
BoJ Takada Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00NZD
RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- 2.75%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:00NZD
RBNZ Press Conference
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
BoJ JGB Purchase
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:20NZD
ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 99.3
- Forecast
- 98.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00NOK
Current Account
- Previous
- 266.8
- Forecast
- 195.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00
Romania PPI YoY
- Previous
- 12.69%
- Forecast
- 12.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
Budget Balance
- Previous
- €-106.8B
- Forecast
- €-147.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:00EUR
Real Wages YoY
- Previous
- 2.3
- Forecast
- -1.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00EUR
Unemployment Change
- Previous
- 19.5K
- Forecast
- 15.4K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00BRL
IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM
- Previous
- -0.03%
- Forecast
- -0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
PPI MoM
- Previous
- 0.0%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
PPI YoY
- Previous
- 5.8%
- Forecast
- 5.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00THB
Business Confidence
- Previous
- 46.7
- Forecast
- 47.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05NOK
NGB Auction
- Previous
- 4.59%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05SEK
SGB Auction
- Previous
- 2.877%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05SEK
2037 SGB Auction
- Previous
- 3.0634%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05NOK
06/2036 NGB Auction
- Previous
- 4.38%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:15EUR
52-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.41%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Pakistan Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 9.2%
- Forecast
- 10.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Pakistan Wholesale Prices YoY
- Previous
- 9.4%
- Forecast
- 9.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Pakistan Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 5.1%
- Forecast
- 5.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:10EUR
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:10EUR
6-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.533%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:10EUR
12-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.704%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00
Egypt M2 Money Supply YoY
- Previous
- 16.7%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00USD
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
- Previous
- 6.78
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00USD
MBA Mortgage Market Index
- Previous
- 245.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00USD
MBA Purchase Index
- Previous
- 154.4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00USD
MBA Mortgage Applications
- Previous
- -1.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00USD
MBA Mortgage Refinance Index
- Previous
- 740.8
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00BRL
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 1.7%
- Forecast
- 0.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00BRL
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- -1.8%
- Forecast
- 1.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15USD
ADP Employment Change
- Previous
- 44.0K
- Forecast
- 48.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00SGD
SIPMM Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 51.4
- Forecast
- 51.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:30EUR
ECB Buch Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:45CAD
BoC Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 2.25%
- Forecast
- 2.25%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Factory Orders MoM
- Previous
- -0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Factory Orders ex Transportation
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30CAD
BoC Press Conference
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change
- Previous
- 1.176
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
- Previous
- 0.095
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change
- Previous
- -0.002
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Distillate Stocks Change
- Previous
- -2.228
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Crude Oil Imports Change
- Previous
- -0.161
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change
- Previous
- -0.091
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change
- Previous
- 0.027
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
- Previous
- -2.536
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Gasoline Production Change
- Previous
- 0.061
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00DKK
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- DKK699.6B
- Forecast
- DKK699.8B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
17-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.75%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00RUB
GDP YoY
- Previous
- 1.1%
- Forecast
- 1.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00EUR
New Car Registrations YoY
- Previous
- 9.0%
- Forecast
- 4.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00RUB
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 2.2%
- Forecast
- 2.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00RUB
Business Confidence
- Previous
- -1.2
- Forecast
- -1.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00RUB
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 7.3%
- Forecast
- 6.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00RUB
Corporate Profits
- Previous
- RUB11.3T
- Forecast
- RUB12.9T
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00RUB
Real Wage Growth YoY
- Previous
- 4.5%
- Forecast
- 4.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00
Paraguay Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.6%
- Forecast
- 1.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 19:00USD
Fed Beige Book
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:45NZD
Import Prices QoQ
- Previous
- -0.7%
- Forecast
- 1.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Terms of Trade QoQ
- Previous
- -2.0%
- Forecast
- -2.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Export Prices QoQ
- Previous
- -2.7%
- Forecast
- 1.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 07:55-08:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Unemployment Change at 08:00 UK can produce sharp EUR/USD price swings.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries until candles stop making unusually large jumps.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR Unemployment Change · 08:00Asian SessionLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 13:10-13:35 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD ADP Employment Change at 13:15 UK can produce sharp EUR/USD price swings.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries until price settles and candle sizes become more consistent.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD ADP Employment Change · 13:15London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Alternative scenario
EUR/USD candles keep making unusually large jumps after the 13:15 UK USD ADP Employment Change.
Treat the 13:35-14:55 UK window as thin and wait for smaller, orderly EUR/USD candles.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Later
Write the invalidation price before every EUR/USD entry.
- Step 02Later
Never widen a stop because a scheduled release moves price sharply.
- Step 03Later
Stop using an Asian session boundary after two failed trade attempts there.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
