Trading Mode

Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentIssue №85
AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Wait for Clear Moves

Before 08:00 UK, London has not established EUR/USD's direction, so wait through EUR Factory Orders MoM at 07:00 UK. Avoid chasing sharp moves around EUR Retail Sales at 09:00 and 10:00 UK, or USD Non Farm Payrolls at 13:30 UK.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Very hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Nepal Shree Krishna Janmastami

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    6.2%
    Forecast
    6.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    13.9%
    Forecast
    14.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:25VND

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    14.5%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.0794%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    4.0%
    Forecast
    4.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -4.6%
    Forecast
    -3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -2.3%
    Forecast
    1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Index

    Previous
    118.5
    Forecast
    118.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Economic Index

    Previous
    116.5
    Forecast
    116.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Current Account

    Previous
    SEK93.9B
    Forecast
    SEK87.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    7.3%
    Forecast
    7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -1.2%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Factory Orders MoM

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Kazakhstan Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    16.75%
    Forecast
    16.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30CAD

    Early Close Bond Market

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00PHP

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    0.0
    Forecast
    2.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00GBP

    New Car Sales YoY

    Previous
    11.7%
    Forecast
    11.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    World FAO Food Price Index

    Previous
    131.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:20TWD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $594.27B
    Forecast
    $594.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    DMP 3M Output Price Expectations

    Previous
    3.9%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-217.3M
    Forecast
    €-286.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    DMP 1Y CPI Expectations

    Previous
    3.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:50GBP

    BoE Gov Bailey Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ECB Lane Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Uganda Business Confidence

    Previous
    55.7
    Forecast
    55.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Uganda Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-870.0M
    Forecast
    $-600.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    GNP QoQ

    Previous
    6.8%
    Forecast
    -2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    -13.0%
    Forecast
    -1.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    -7.0%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    €17.4B
    Forecast
    €10.9B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    GNP YoY

    Previous
    16.6%
    Forecast
    9.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    28.6
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.8%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Macedonia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-363.0M
    Forecast
    $-390.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00RUB

    Vehicle Sales YoY

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Serbia PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.2%
    Forecast
    6.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Albania PPI YoY

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    729.33
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00MXN

    Gross Fixed Investment MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Gross Fixed Investment YoY

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    4.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Pakistan Balance of Trade

    Previous
    PKR-1100.2B
    Forecast
    PKR-1000.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Part Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    36.6K
    Forecast
    6.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Employment Change

    Previous
    75.1K
    Forecast
    15.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Full Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    38.6K
    Forecast
    4.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.4%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Average Hourly Wages YoY

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    2.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    65.1%
    Forecast
    65.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Hourly Earnings MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Non Farm Payrolls

    Previous
    -23.0K
    Forecast
    56.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Hourly Earnings YoY

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.1%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Government Payrolls

    Previous
    -53.0K
    Forecast
    -11.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Nonfarm Payrolls Private

    Previous
    30.0K
    Forecast
    45.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    61.4%
    Forecast
    61.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    U-6 Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.9%
    Forecast
    8.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Weekly Hours

    Previous
    34.3
    Forecast
    34.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Manufacturing Payrolls

    Previous
    5.0K
    Forecast
    5.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00CAD

    Ivey PMI s.a

    Previous
    55.1
    Forecast
    56.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Tunisia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Tunisia Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index

    Previous
    0.79
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    -0.28%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.47
    Forecast
    0.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    -7.4%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count

    Previous
    588.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    447.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00BRL

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $7.07B
    Forecast
    $7.14B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00COP

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    1.51%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 22:00

    El Salvador Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.49
    Forecast
    3.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00

    El Salvador Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.05
    Forecast
    0.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-01:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price and Early News

    Use the Asian session high and low as markers while London begins and EUR Factory Orders MoM is released.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 02:15-06:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price and Early News

    Use the Asian session high and low as markers while London begins and EUR Factory Orders MoM is released.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Factory Orders MoM at 07:00 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD price change as London activity begins.

    Watch EUR/USD without entering until price forms a clear high and low after 07:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 07:15-08:50 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price and Early News

    Use the Asian session high and low as markers while London begins and EUR Factory Orders MoM is released.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 08:55-09:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Retail Sales MoM and Retail Sales YoY at 09:00 UK may cause sharp EUR/USD price changes.

    Wait until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low after 09:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR Retail Sales MoM · 09:00EUR Retail Sales YoY · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 09:55-10:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Retail Sales MoM and Retail Sales YoY at 10:00 UK may cause another sharp EUR/USD price change.

    Avoid entering until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low after 10:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR Retail Sales YoY · 10:00EUR Retail Sales MoM · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 10:20-13:20 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Clearest Planning Window

    Trade only if London price holds clearly beyond the Asian session high or low before USD news.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 13:25-13:55 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and related releases at 13:30 UK may move EUR/USD sharply.

    Wait until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low after 13:30 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toCAD Employment Change · 13:30CAD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Non Farm Payrolls · 13:30USD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Nonfarm Payrolls Private · 13:30USD U-6 Unemployment Rate · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:55-14:50 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Price Settling Window

    Wait for EUR/USD to form and respect a clear high and low after the 13:30 UK releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 15:20-16:00 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Price Settling Window

    Wait for EUR/USD to form and respect a clear high and low after the 13:30 UK releases.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:00-18:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Day Conditions

    Only trade if EUR/USD keeps respecting the high and low formed after 13:30 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 19:15-22:00 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Day Conditions

    Only trade if EUR/USD keeps respecting the high and low formed after 13:30 UK.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low as fixed points for EUR/USD. Enter only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond either point.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

Non Farm Payrolls at 13:30 UK differs greatly from 56.0K and EUR/USD closes beyond the Asian session high or low.

Then

Stop using the Asian session high and low until EUR/USD forms a new clear high and low after 13:30 UK.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Later

    Set position size before entry, not during a fast price change.

  2. Step 02Later

    Cancel any pending order that could trigger inside a high-risk period.

  3. Step 03Later

    Record whether each release leaves EUR/USD inside or outside the Asian session high and low.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration