EUR/USD1.0842+0.12%GBP/USD1.2634-0.05%USD/JPY149.82+0.21%AUD/USD0.6588-0.18%USD/CAD1.3612+0.07%XAU/USD2,024.15+0.45%BRENT82.30-0.30%DXY103.62+0.10%

Last Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreeIssue №8Live

Trading Verdict

Trade with Caution

Best Trading Window

10:25-12:00 UK

Post-EUR retail reassessment

Avoid

06:50-07:10 UK

EUR Factory Orders MoM

Market Bias

Most of today’s important news has already passed, but it shaped the ranges traders are now seeing.

Guidance — not a prediction

Explain

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Volatility Summary

Live · This pair only

Current Volatility

Quiet

Awaiting live data

Expected Today

Elevated

around CHF Unemployment Rate

Liquidity

Normal

Session in progress

Execution

Normal

Typical spreads and fill behaviour

Volatility Timeline

  1. 08:00London Open
  2. 08:00CHF Unemployment Rate
  3. 10:00EUR Retail Sales MoM
  4. 10:00EUR Retail Sales YoY
  5. 13:00New York Overlap
  6. 15:00USD ISM Services PMI
  7. 16:30London Close
  8. 21:00End of Session

Informational — expected volatility inflection points, not price predictions.

Explain

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Correlation Summary

Live · This pair only
  • High-impact USD ISM Services PMI at 15:00 overlaps with the London / New York overlap — expect the day's deepest liquidity to meet the day's largest catalyst.
  • Best window "Post-factory orders European read" opens at 08:10, right after CHF Unemployment Rate at 08:00 — the plan waits for post-news direction before engaging.
  • Best window "Post-EUR retail reassessment" opens at 10:25, right after EUR Retail Sales MoM at 10:00 — the plan waits for post-news direction before engaging.
  • Danger window "EUR Retail Sales MoM and YoY" (09:45–10:20) contains EUR Retail Sales MoM at 10:00 — execution risk is elevated because both signals converge.
  • Danger window "EUR Retail Sales MoM and YoY" (09:45–10:20) contains EUR Retail Sales YoY at 10:00 — execution risk is elevated because both signals converge.

Timeline Correlation

  1. 06:50EUR Factory Orders MoM begins+Asian Session liquidityUpcoming
  2. 08:00London Open+CHF Unemployment RateUpcoming
  3. 08:10Post-factory orders European read begins+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  4. 08:30Post-CHF Unemployment Rate consolidation+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  5. 09:45EUR Retail Sales MoM and YoY begins+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  6. 10:00EUR Retail Sales MoM+EUR Retail Sales YoY+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  7. 10:25Post-EUR retail reassessment begins+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  8. 10:30Post-EUR Retail Sales MoM consolidation+Post-EUR Retail Sales YoY consolidation+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  9. 13:00New York Overlap+London Session liquidityUpcoming
  10. 13:30Pre-ISM London New York overlap begins+London Session liquidity+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  11. 14:45US ISM Services PMI begins+London Session liquidity+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  12. 15:00USD ISM Services PMI+London Session liquidity+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  13. 15:25Short post-ISM reassessment begins+London Session liquidity+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  14. 15:30Post-USD ISM Services PMI consolidation+London Session liquidity+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  15. 15:50Fed Waller Speech begins+London Session liquidity+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  16. 16:30London Close+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  17. 16:50ECB President Lagarde Speech begins+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  18. 17:20After central-bank speeches begins+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
  19. 20:00Late New York fade begins+New York Session liquidityUpcoming
Explain relationships

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Today's Events

All times UK time
  • Upcoming
    01:00

    Comoros Comoros National Day

  • Upcoming
    01:00CZK

    Jan Hus Day

  • Upcoming
    01:00

    Kazakhstan Day of the Capital

  • Upcoming
    01:00EUR

    Statehood Day

  • Upcoming
    01:00

    Malawi Independence Day

  • Upcoming
    01:00

    Rwanda Liberation Day

  • Upcoming
    01:00

    Zambia Heroes' Day

  • Upcoming
    02:00AUD

    TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM

  • Upcoming
    02:30AUD

    ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM

  • Upcoming
    03:30KRW

    3-Year KTB Auction

  • Upcoming
    04:00

    Jordan GDP Growth Rate YoY

  • Upcoming
    04:30THB

    Inflation Rate YoY

  • Upcoming
    04:30THB

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

  • Upcoming
    04:35JPY

    BoJ JGB Purchase

  • Upcoming
    06:00SGD

    Retail Sales YoY

  • Upcoming
    06:00SGD

    Retail Sales MoM

  • Upcoming
    06:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

  • Upcoming
    06:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

  • Upcoming
    07:00EUR

    Factory Orders MoM

    Dangerous
    06:55 – 07:15
    Better
    07:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    07:00

    Romania Retail Sales YoY

  • Upcoming
    07:00

    Romania Retail Sales MoM

  • Upcoming
    07:00DKK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

  • Upcoming
    07:30HUF

    Retail Sales YoY

  • Upcoming
    07:30HUF

    Industrial Production YoY

  • Upcoming
    08:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

  • Upcoming
    08:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

  • Upcoming
    08:00CHF

    Unemployment Rate

    Dangerous
    07:50 – 08:20
    Better
    08:20 onwards
  • Upcoming
    08:45

    Tunisia Inflation Rate YoY

  • Upcoming
    08:45

    Tunisia Inflation Rate MoM

  • Upcoming
    09:00

    Armenia Unemployment Rate

  • Upcoming
    09:00AUD

    Myfxbook AUDUSD Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:00CHF

    Myfxbook USDCHF Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:00JPY

    Myfxbook USDJPY Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:00EUR

    Myfxbook EURUSD Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:00GBP

    Myfxbook GBPUSD Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:00CAD

    Myfxbook USDCAD Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:00NZD

    Myfxbook NZDUSD Sentiment

    Dangerous
    08:55 – 09:15
    Better
    09:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    09:20TWD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

  • Upcoming
    10:00GBP

    New Car Sales YoY

  • Upcoming
    10:00EUR

    PPI MoM

  • Upcoming
    10:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Dangerous
    09:50 – 10:20
    Better
    10:20 onwards
  • Upcoming
    10:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Dangerous
    09:50 – 10:20
    Better
    10:20 onwards
  • Upcoming
    10:00EUR

    PPI YoY

  • Upcoming
    10:30

    Uganda Balance of Trade

  • Upcoming
    10:30

    Uganda Business Confidence

  • Upcoming
    10:30EUR

    Construction Output YoY

  • Upcoming
    10:30EUR

    3-Month Bubill Auction

  • Upcoming
    10:30EUR

    9-Month Bubill Auction

  • Upcoming
    10:30ZAR

    364-Day T-Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    10:30ZAR

    273-Day T-Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    10:30ZAR

    91-Day T-Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    10:30ZAR

    182-Day T-Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    11:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

  • Upcoming
    11:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

  • Upcoming
    11:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

  • Upcoming
    11:00

    Macedonia Balance of Trade

  • Upcoming
    11:00

    Serbia PPI YoY

  • Upcoming
    12:30BRL

    BCB Focus Market Readout

    Dangerous
    12:25 – 12:45
    Better
    12:45 onwards
  • Upcoming
    13:00MXN

    Gross Fixed Investment YoY

  • Upcoming
    13:00MXN

    Gross Fixed Investment MoM

  • Upcoming
    14:00EUR

    3-Month BTF Auction

  • Upcoming
    14:00EUR

    12-Month BTF Auction

  • Upcoming
    14:00EUR

    6-Month BTF Auction

  • Upcoming
    14:00ILS

    Interest Rate Decision

    Dangerous
    13:55 – 14:15
    Better
    14:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    15:00USD

    ISM Services PMI

    Dangerous
    14:50 – 15:20
    Better
    15:20 onwards
  • Upcoming
    15:00USD

    ISM Services New Orders

  • Upcoming
    15:00USD

    ISM Services Employment

  • Upcoming
    15:00USD

    ISM Services Prices

  • Upcoming
    15:00USD

    ISM Services Business Activity

  • Upcoming
    15:30CAD

    BoC Business Outlook Survey

    Dangerous
    15:25 – 15:45
    Better
    15:45 onwards
  • Upcoming
    15:30CAD

    BoC Survey of Consumer Expectations

    Dangerous
    15:25 – 15:45
    Better
    15:45 onwards
  • Upcoming
    15:45EUR

    6-Month Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    15:45EUR

    3-Month Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    16:00USD

    Fed Waller Speech

    Dangerous
    15:55 – 16:15
    Better
    16:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    16:00EUR

    ECB Schnabel Speech

    Dangerous
    15:55 – 16:15
    Better
    16:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    16:30USD

    6-Month Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    16:30USD

    3-Month Bill Auction

  • Upcoming
    17:00EUR

    ECB President Lagarde Speech

    Dangerous
    16:55 – 17:15
    Better
    17:15 onwards
  • Upcoming
    19:30EUR

    ECB Lane Speech

    Dangerous
    19:25 – 19:45
    Better
    19:45 onwards
  • Upcoming
    20:00COP

    PPI YoY

  • Upcoming
    00:30JPY

    Overtime Pay YoY

  • Upcoming
    00:30JPY

    Household Spending YoY

    Dangerous
    00:25 – 00:45
    Better
    00:45 onwards
  • Upcoming
    00:30JPY

    Household Spending MoM

    Dangerous
    00:25 – 00:45
    Better
    00:45 onwards
  • Upcoming
    00:30JPY

    Average Cash Earnings YoY

  • Upcoming
    00:50JPY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

Dangerous Windows

  • 06:50-07:10 UK

    EUR Factory Orders MoM

    Watch only; avoid first-reaction entries.

    Volatility · High
    Correlated withAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 09:45-10:20 UK

    EUR Retail Sales MoM and YoY

    Stand aside through the clustered high-impact EUR data.

    Volatility · High
    Correlated withEUR Retail Sales MoM · 10:00EUR Retail Sales YoY · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:45-15:20 UK

    US ISM Services PMI

    Stand aside through the high-impact USD release.

    Volatility · High
    Correlated withUSD ISM Services PMI · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:50-16:15 UK

    Fed Waller Speech

    Watch headlines; avoid new entries during the speech window.

    Volatility · High
    Correlated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 16:50-17:20 UK

    ECB President Lagarde Speech

    Watch EUR exposure; wait for comments to pass.

    Volatility · High
    Correlated withNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

Best Trading Windows

  • 08:10-09:30 UK

    Post-factory orders European read

    Early EUR data had passed, but retail sales risk was still ahead.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Correlated withLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 10:25-12:00 UK

    Post-EUR retail reassessment

    Cleaner EUR read after the retail sales cluster.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Correlated withLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 13:30-14:35 UK

    Pre-ISM London New York overlap

    Active liquidity, but US ISM risk was approaching.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Correlated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 15:25-15:50 UK

    Short post-ISM reassessment

    Brief window before Fed Waller speech risk.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Correlated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 17:20-19:30 UK

    After central-bank speeches

    Main scheduled event risk had cleared.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Correlated withNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 20:00-22:00 UK

    Late New York fade

    London was finished and liquidity was fading.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Correlated withNew York SessionUpcoming

Market Context

Day type: News-heavy / high risk
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Why Today's Plan Looks Like This

Most of today’s important news has already passed, but it shaped the ranges traders are now seeing. Late in the New York session, the safer approach is to avoid chasing and wait for clear price behaviour around known levels.

Context Detail

Background commentary on the main opportunity, the main risk and how the session is set up.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Treat today as event-shaped, not clean trend conditions.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Do not chase late New York moves after the main data has passed.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Use the European range as context for EUR/USD and GBP/USD.

  4. Step 04Upcoming

    Gold and USD/JPY remain sensitive to the completed US data and Fed speech.

  5. Step 05Upcoming

    Brent has no oil-specific event today, so avoid forcing trades from FX news alone.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

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