Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №9

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 7 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Event-driven

London has not set the day’s direction yet, and the first test comes quickly from EUR data. The main risk is the clustered US data window during the London/New York overlap, where clean signals can fail fast.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Tanzania Maonyesho ya Saba Saba

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Zambia Unity Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    14.6%
    Forecast
    12.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    6.8%
    Forecast
    6.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.1%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.05%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.5636%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.7202%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    1-Year Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.0225%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00IDR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $144.9B
    Forecast
    $145.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    30-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    3.86%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    2.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Index

    Previous
    118.1
    Forecast
    118.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Economic Index

    Previous
    116.1
    Forecast
    116.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 12-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.42%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 36-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.51%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00ZAR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    76.58
    Forecast
    76.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index YoY

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-5.6B
    Forecast
    €-5.2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    €381.3B
    Forecast
    €381.1B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Exports

    Previous
    €54.6B
    Forecast
    €55.1B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Imports

    Previous
    €60.2B
    Forecast
    €61.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Wholesale Prices MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Wholesale Prices YoY

    Previous
    6.9%
    Forecast
    6.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    CZK6.8B
    Forecast
    CZK3.2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -0.9
    Forecast
    0.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Seychelles Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.29
    Forecast
    0.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    CHF710.818B
    Forecast
    CHF710.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    7.4%
    Forecast
    6.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CNY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $3.442T
    Forecast
    $3.44T
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.26
    Forecast
    0.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.2
    Forecast
    2.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $446.5B
    Forecast
    $447.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    6-Month Letras Auction

    Previous
    2.376%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    12-Month Letras Auction

    Previous
    2.543%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    RAGB Auction

    Previous
    2.52%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Iceland Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -56.6
    Forecast
    -35.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00SGD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    S$548.6B
    Forecast
    S$546.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    BBA Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.6
    Forecast
    6.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Conventional Gilt

    Previous
    4.55%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    RAGB 2026-2036/1 Auction

    Previous
    3.304%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:05SEK

    T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:05SEK

    342-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    Green Bond Auction

    Previous
    3.14%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.35%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Mauritius Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.3
    Forecast
    4.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Mauritius Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Weekly Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.86%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30GBP

    BoE Financial Stability Report

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    5-Year Bolb/g Auction

    Previous
    1.86%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2040 Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.762%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2044 Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.887%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Long TC Auction

    Previous
    2.551%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Short TC Auction

    Previous
    2.371%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    -48.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Macedonia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    4.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00USD

    LMI Logistics Managers Index

    Previous
    69.5
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30ILS

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    238.681
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00PHP

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    104.0
    Forecast
    102.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Auto Exports YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    -4.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Auto Production YoY

    Previous
    -3.7%
    Forecast
    -7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00PLN

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $297.2B
    Forecast
    $297.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    45.7
    Forecast
    54.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:15USD

    ADP Employment Change Weekly

    Previous
    30.75K
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Imports

    Previous
    C$72.44B
    Forecast
    C$72.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    C$2.72B
    Forecast
    C$2.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Exports

    Previous
    C$75.16B
    Forecast
    C$74.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Imports

    Previous
    $7105.0M
    Forecast
    $7420.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Exports

    Previous
    $9540.0M
    Forecast
    $9874.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $2440.0M
    Forecast
    $2454.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-55.9B
    Forecast
    $-78.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Imports

    Previous
    $383.0B
    Forecast
    $394.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Exports

    Previous
    $327.1B
    Forecast
    $314.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:55USD

    Redbook YoY

    Previous
    10.5
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00NZD

    Global Dairy Trade Price Index

    Previous
    -2.8
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00RUB

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    747.4
    Forecast
    748.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:20USD

    NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months

    Previous
    Forecast
    3.319
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    Car Production MoM

    Previous
    6.3%
    Forecast
    -13.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    New Car Registrations MoM

    Previous
    10.6%
    Forecast
    -7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00CAD

    Ivey PMI s.a

    Previous
    58.2
    Forecast
    59.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index

    Previous
    1.77
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

    Previous
    42.5
    Forecast
    45.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30TRY

    Treasury Cash Balance

    Previous
    -128.35
    Forecast
    -400.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00USD

    Consumer Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    52-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    6-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.655%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    -1.37%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.27
    Forecast
    0.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    3-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.192%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    API Crude Oil Stock Change

    Previous
    -6.072M
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:00

    El Salvador Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.47
    Forecast
    0.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:00

    El Salvador Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.53%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00COP

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.47%
    Forecast
    0.35%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00COP

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.84%
    Forecast
    6.09%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:00KRW

    Current Account

    Previous
    $28.29B
    Forecast
    $33.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30

    Bangladesh Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.03%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:30

    Bangladesh Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    9.42%
    Forecast
    10.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Bank Lending YoY

    Previous
    5.7%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Current Account

    Previous
    ¥3907.0B
    Forecast
    ¥4121.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:55-07:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Industrial Production MoM

    Watch only; avoid trading the release candle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The medium EUR release comes just before London direction is established, so the first move can be unreliable.

  • 07:40-07:55 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Balance of Trade

    Wait for the second EUR reaction to settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    This release follows the earlier EUR data and can keep early London euro pricing unsettled.

  • 08:10-10:30 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR London structure

    Best early window for EUR/USD and GBP/USD confirmation.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    Both EUR releases have passed by then, giving London time to show whether the first reaction is holding or fading.

  • 10:45-12:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late London before US data

    Trade only clean setups; avoid late entries near US data.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window sits after the EUR data and before the USD cluster, but trades need enough room before the overlap risk begins.

  • 13:10-13:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD ADP and trade data cluster

    Avoid fresh trades across USD pairs and Gold.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly · 13:15London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    A high-impact USD labour release is followed closely by three medium USD trade releases inside the overlap session.

  • 14:00-14:50 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-US data overlap

    Reassess USD pairs and Gold after the cluster settles.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The high-impact ADP release and 13:30 USD data have passed, while London/New York liquidity remains active.

  • 16:00-16:30 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Early NY oil window

    Brent can be cleaner here if USD data reaction has settled.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    This follows the USD cluster and precedes the late API oil event by several hours.

  • 21:25-21:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    API Crude Oil Stock Change

    Avoid Brent entries during the headline reaction.

    Volatility · High
    Related toExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The oil stock release is medium impact with no forecast, and late-session liquidity can make the first Brent move uneven.

  • 21:50-22:15 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Brent reassessment

    Only for Brent traders after API reaction stabilises.

    Volatility · Quiet

    API crude stocks are released at 21:30 UK, but late liquidity can be thin, so only clear post-news structure matters.

Today's Guidance

Treat the European open as the first inflection point, not a signal by itself.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

The 13:15 UK ADP Employment Change Weekly release creates disorderly price action that continues through the 13:30 USD data.

Then

Treat the planned post-US overlap window as high risk for longer and wait for later NY structure instead of forcing a trade.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Treat the European open as the first inflection point, not a signal by itself.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    EUR/USD has two separate risk windows: early EUR data and the US cluster.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    USD pairs and Gold need extra patience around the 13:15-13:30 UK data block.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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