Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №10

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for WEDNESDAY 8 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Event-driven

London has not set the day’s direction yet. The cleanest trades need confirmation after the European open, while the main risk is the US calendar, especially the FOMC minutes later.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 02:00AUD

    RBA Hunter Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:05PHP

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.7%
    Forecast
    4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Building Permits MoM

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    -1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Private House Approvals MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Building Permits YoY

    Previous
    10.9%
    Forecast
    5.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00NZD

    RBNZ Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    2.25%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00THB

    Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    0.9821%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:15IDR

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    120.9
    Forecast
    125.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30EUR

    Household Consumption YoY

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Eco Watchers Survey Current

    Previous
    43.6
    Forecast
    44.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Eco Watchers Survey Outlook

    Previous
    40.7
    Forecast
    42.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF YoY

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    New Orders YoY

    Previous
    6.3%
    Forecast
    4.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    7.1%
    Forecast
    6.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    GDP MoM

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    -2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    €-0.2B
    Forecast
    €-1.8B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    €381.3B
    Forecast
    €381.1B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Seychelles Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.29%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-563.3M
    Forecast
    €-620.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00ZAR

    Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM

    Previous
    -1.8%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00CZK

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $182.1B
    Forecast
    $182.2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CZK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    4.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:25DKK

    DGB Auction

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:25DKK

    2035 DGB Auction

    Previous
    2.79%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Angola Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.53
    Forecast
    0.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Angola Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    10.88
    Forecast
    10.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-2.2B
    Forecast
    €-2.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00HUF

    Budget Balance

    Previous
    HUF43.5B
    Forecast
    HUF-120.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Mongolia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    11.2
    Forecast
    12.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CHF

    Bond Auction

    Previous
    0.139%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Conventional Gilt

    Previous
    4.219%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Treasury Gilt 2030 Tender

    Previous
    4.277%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CHF

    2036 Bond Auction

    Previous
    1.069%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:05SEK

    SGB Auction

    Previous
    2.1324%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:15EUR

    13-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.01%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    10-Year Bund Auction

    Previous
    3.06%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    15.35
    Forecast
    14.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00MXN

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $256.6B
    Forecast
    $254.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Egypt Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $53.13B
    Forecast
    $53.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Albania Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.04
    Forecast
    0.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Albania Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.0
    Forecast
    3.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Tanzania Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.2
    Forecast
    4.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.57
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Purchase Index

    Previous
    170.6
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Market Index

    Previous
    272.2
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Applications

    Previous
    0.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Refinance Index

    Previous
    828.7
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00BRL

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    -1.5%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00BRL

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    -0.21%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.9%
    Forecast
    3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00HUF

    Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Romania Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    6.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 14:00

    Kenya GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.0%
    Forecast
    4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00PLN

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    3.75%
    Forecast
    3.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Used Car Prices YoY

    Previous
    3.6
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Used Car Prices MoM

    Previous
    0.3
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Wholesale Inventories MoM

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change

    Previous
    0.709
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Crude Oil Imports Change

    Previous
    0.37
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

    Previous
    -2.333
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Gasoline Production Change

    Previous
    0.481
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

    Previous
    -3.775
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change

    Previous
    -0.042
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Distillate Stocks Change

    Previous
    2.483
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change

    Previous
    0.085
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change

    Previous
    -0.31
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    11.7%
    Forecast
    10.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    17-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.795%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00CAD

    2-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    2.772%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    10-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.538%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    FOMC Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -2.8%
    Forecast
    -1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    Consumer Credit Change

    Previous
    $20.73B
    Forecast
    $17.1B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:30NZD

    Business NZ PMI

    Previous
    49.9
    Forecast
    49.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:01GBP

    RICS House Price Balance

    Previous
    -34.0%
    Forecast
    -32.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Stock Investment by Foreigners

    Previous
    -1816.5
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Foreign Bond Investment

    Previous
    -280.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 03:15-06:45 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian session context

    Use only as reference; London has not set direction.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The session context states the briefing is pre-London with Asian trade as the latest price action. That makes this window useful for levels, not confirmation.

  • 07:15-09:30 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London open test

    First chance for confirmed European structure.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming

    The supplied session narrative identifies the European open as the next inflection point. No calendar release overlaps this window.

  • 09:30-11:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late London pre-data window

    Use only if London structure is already clear.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This sits after the open and before the 12:00 USD release, so it gives traders time to act on confirmed London behavior.

  • 11:55-12:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Avoid fresh USD-pair and gold entries during the release window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    This is a medium-impact USD event with no forecast supplied, so the immediate reaction may be less clean.

  • 14:15-15:10 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-mortgage to pre-EIA window

    Cleaner gap after first USD release settles.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 12:00 event is medium impact and the next cluster is at 15:30, leaving a planned window if the initial USD reaction has calmed.

  • 15:25-15:50 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EIA gasoline and crude oil stocks released together

    Avoid Brent entries and do not chase the first oil move.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Two medium-impact oil-related releases land at the same time, increasing short-term execution risk for Brent.

  • 15:50-18:30 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-EIA pre-FOMC window

    Best for Brent only if oil volatility normalizes.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The EIA releases are clustered at 15:30, and the FOMC minutes are not until 19:00. This window requires confirmation that the oil reaction has settled.

  • 18:45-19:30 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    FOMC Minutes

    Stand aside from new USD, gold and broad-risk trades until the reaction settles.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD FOMC Minutes · 19:00New York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    This is the only high-impact event on the calendar and it can affect USD pairs, gold and commodity sentiment.

  • 19:35-21:00 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late post-FOMC window

    Use only if spreads and candle size normalize.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

    The high-impact Fed release is at 19:00. Conditions may improve only after the first reaction has been absorbed.

Today's Guidance

Treat the European open as the first real test of direction.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

FOMC minutes create a sustained post-release repricing across USD markets.

Then

Late-session conditions could override the London structure and make earlier technical levels less reliable.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Treat the European open as the first real test of direction.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Keep USD pairs and gold lighter ahead of FOMC minutes.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Brent needs extra care around the 15:30 oil inventory releases.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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