Today's Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreeCurrentUpdated —Issue №11Today's Summary
Today starts without a London direction, so the European open is the first test. The biggest upcoming risk is the clustered US jobless claims at 13:30 UK, followed by Fed and housing headlines.
Today's Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Dangerous Window | Better Window | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Argentine Declaration of Independence | ARS | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 01:00 | Eurogroup Meeting | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 01:45 | Motorbike Sales YoY | IDR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 02:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | CNY | 02:25 – 02:45 | 02:45 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 02:30 | PPI YoY | CNY | 02:25 – 02:45 | 02:45 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 02:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | CNY | 02:20 – 02:50 | 02:50 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 04:00 | Retail Sales YoY | IDR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 04:00 | Balance of Trade | PEN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 04:35 | 5-Year JGB Auction | JPY | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 05:00 | Industrial Production YoY | MYR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 05:40 | Consumer Confidence | THB | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | NOK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Balance of Trade | DKK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Balance of Trade | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Imports MoM | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Exports MoM | EUR | 06:55 – 07:15 | 07:15 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | JPY | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | PPI YoY | NOK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Romania GDP Growth Rate QoQ | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Industrial Production YoY | SAR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | House Price Index MoM | SEK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:00 | Current Account | DKK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 07:30 | Egypt Inflation Rate YoY | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Egypt Inflation Rate MoM | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Industrial Production MoM | CZK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 08:00 | Construction Output YoY | CZK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 08:00 | Industrial Production YoY | CZK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 08:00 | Interest Rate Decision | MYR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 08:00 | Industrial Production YoY | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 09:00 | Unemployment Rate | CZK | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 09:00 | Imports YoY | TWD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 09:00 | Balance of Trade | TWD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 09:00 | Exports YoY | TWD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:00 | Croatia Balance of Trade | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:00 | Mongolia Balance of Trade | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:10 | 12-Month BOT Auction | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:30 | 10-Year Bond Auction | HUF | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:30 | 3-Year Bond Auction | HUF | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 10:30 | 5-Year Bond Auction | HUF | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 11:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 11:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 11:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 11:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 11:00 | Serbia Interest Rate Decision | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Uzbekistan Foreign Exchange Reserves | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | ZAR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 12:00 | Manufacturing Production YoY | ZAR | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 12:30 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | TRY | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 12:30 | ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts | EUR | 12:25 – 12:45 | 12:45 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 13:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | MXN | 12:55 – 13:15 | 13:15 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 13:00 | PPI MoM | MXN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 13:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | MXN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 13:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | MXN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 13:00 | PPI YoY | MXN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 13:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | MXN | 12:55 – 13:15 | 13:15 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 13:30 | Jobless Claims 4-week Average | USD | 13:20 – 13:50 | 13:50 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 13:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | USD | 13:20 – 13:50 | 13:50 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 13:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | USD | 13:20 – 13:50 | 13:50 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 14:00 | Egypt Core Inflation Rate YoY | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | Ukraine Inflation Rate YoY | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | Ukraine Inflation Rate MoM | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | Fed Williams Speech | USD | 13:55 – 14:15 | 14:15 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 14:20 | NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 15:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | USD | 14:50 – 15:20 | 15:20 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 15:00 | Existing Home Sales | USD | 14:50 – 15:20 | 15:20 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 15:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 16:00 | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | MXN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 16:30 | 8-Week Bill Auction | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 16:30 | 4-Week Bill Auction | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 17:00 | Egypt Interest Rate Decision | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | Egypt Overnight Lending Rate | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 17:00 | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 18:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 18:30 | Fed Logan Speech | USD | 18:25 – 18:45 | 18:45 onwards | Upcoming | ||
| 21:30 | Fed Balance Sheet | USD | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 22:00 | El Salvador PPI YoY | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Interest Rate Decision | PEN | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 00:50 | PPI YoY | JPY | — | — | Upcoming | ||
| 00:50 | PPI MoM | JPY | — | — | Upcoming |
- Upcoming01:00ARS
Argentine Declaration of Independence
- Upcoming01:00EUR
Eurogroup Meeting
- Upcoming01:45IDR
Motorbike Sales YoY
- Upcoming02:30CNY
Inflation Rate MoM
- Dangerous
- 02:25 – 02:45
- Better
- 02:45 onwards
- Upcoming02:30CNY
PPI YoY
- Dangerous
- 02:25 – 02:45
- Better
- 02:45 onwards
- Upcoming02:30CNY
Inflation Rate YoY
- Dangerous
- 02:20 – 02:50
- Better
- 02:50 onwards
- Upcoming04:00IDR
Retail Sales YoY
- Upcoming04:00PEN
Balance of Trade
- Upcoming04:35JPY
5-Year JGB Auction
- Upcoming05:00MYR
Industrial Production YoY
- Upcoming05:40THB
Consumer Confidence
- Upcoming07:00NOK
Manufacturing Production MoM
- Upcoming07:00DKK
Balance of Trade
- Upcoming07:00EUR
Balance of Trade
- Upcoming07:00EUR
Imports MoM
- Upcoming07:00EUR
Exports MoM
- Dangerous
- 06:55 – 07:15
- Better
- 07:15 onwards
- Upcoming07:00JPY
Machine Tool Orders YoY
- Upcoming07:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming07:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming07:00NOK
PPI YoY
- Upcoming07:00
Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Upcoming07:00
Romania GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Upcoming07:00SAR
Industrial Production YoY
- Upcoming07:00SEK
House Price Index MoM
- Upcoming07:00DKK
Current Account
- Upcoming07:30
Egypt Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming07:30
Egypt Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming08:00CZK
Industrial Production MoM
- Upcoming08:00CZK
Construction Output YoY
- Upcoming08:00CZK
Industrial Production YoY
- Upcoming08:00MYR
Interest Rate Decision
- Upcoming08:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
- Upcoming09:00CZK
Unemployment Rate
- Upcoming09:00TWD
Imports YoY
- Upcoming09:00TWD
Balance of Trade
- Upcoming09:00TWD
Exports YoY
- Upcoming10:00
Croatia Balance of Trade
- Upcoming10:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming10:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming10:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming10:00
Mongolia Balance of Trade
- Upcoming10:10EUR
12-Month BOT Auction
- Upcoming10:30HUF
10-Year Bond Auction
- Upcoming10:30HUF
3-Year Bond Auction
- Upcoming10:30HUF
5-Year Bond Auction
- Upcoming11:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming11:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming11:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming11:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming11:00
Serbia Interest Rate Decision
- Upcoming11:00
Uzbekistan Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Upcoming12:00ZAR
Manufacturing Production MoM
- Upcoming12:00ZAR
Manufacturing Production YoY
- Upcoming12:30TRY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Upcoming12:30EUR
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
- Dangerous
- 12:25 – 12:45
- Better
- 12:45 onwards
- Upcoming13:00MXN
Inflation Rate MoM
- Dangerous
- 12:55 – 13:15
- Better
- 13:15 onwards
- Upcoming13:00MXN
PPI MoM
- Upcoming13:00MXN
Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming13:00MXN
Core Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming13:00MXN
PPI YoY
- Upcoming13:00MXN
Inflation Rate YoY
- Dangerous
- 12:55 – 13:15
- Better
- 13:15 onwards
- Upcoming13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-week Average
- Dangerous
- 13:20 – 13:50
- Better
- 13:50 onwards
- Upcoming13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
- Dangerous
- 13:20 – 13:50
- Better
- 13:50 onwards
- Upcoming13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
- Dangerous
- 13:20 – 13:50
- Better
- 13:50 onwards
- Upcoming14:00
Egypt Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming14:00
Ukraine Inflation Rate YoY
- Upcoming14:00
Ukraine Inflation Rate MoM
- Upcoming14:00USD
Fed Williams Speech
- Dangerous
- 13:55 – 14:15
- Better
- 14:15 onwards
- Upcoming14:20USD
NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months
- Upcoming15:00USD
Existing Home Sales MoM
- Dangerous
- 14:50 – 15:20
- Better
- 15:20 onwards
- Upcoming15:00USD
Existing Home Sales
- Dangerous
- 14:50 – 15:20
- Better
- 15:20 onwards
- Upcoming15:30USD
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
- Upcoming16:00MXN
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
- Upcoming16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
- Upcoming16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
- Upcoming17:00
Egypt Interest Rate Decision
- Upcoming17:00
Egypt Overnight Lending Rate
- Upcoming17:00USD
30-Year Mortgage Rate
- Upcoming17:00USD
15-Year Mortgage Rate
- Upcoming18:00USD
30-Year Bond Auction
- Upcoming18:30USD
Fed Logan Speech
- Dangerous
- 18:25 – 18:45
- Better
- 18:45 onwards
- Upcoming21:30USD
Fed Balance Sheet
- Upcoming22:00
El Salvador PPI YoY
- Upcoming00:00PEN
Interest Rate Decision
- Upcoming00:50JPY
PPI YoY
- Upcoming00:50JPY
PPI MoM
Dangerous Windows
- 13:20-13:45 UK
—
US jobless claims cluster
Avoid new entries and wait for the first reaction to settle.
Volatility · HighCorrelated withUSD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThree high-impact USD labour releases arrive at the same time, increasing spike and spread risk across USD pairs and Gold.
- 13:55-14:15 UK
—
Fed Williams speech
Watch headlines and avoid assuming the claims reaction is final.
Volatility · HighCorrelated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe medium-impact Fed speech follows shortly after the claims data and can alter the USD tone during the overlap.
- 14:50-15:20 UK
—
US Existing Home Sales releases
Stand aside through the release and reassess after candles calm.
Volatility · HighCorrelated withUSD Existing Home Sales MoM · 15:00USD Existing Home Sales · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingTwo high-impact housing releases arrive together, creating a second USD data risk after the claims and Fed sequence.
- 18:20-18:45 UK
—
Fed Logan speech
Avoid late fresh entries during the speaker window.
Volatility · HighCorrelated withNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe later Fed speech can affect USD markets when liquidity may be thinner than during the main overlap.
Best Trading Windows
- 00:00-06:30 UK
—
Asian session context
Use only as reference for early levels.
Volatility · QuietCorrelated withCNY Inflation Rate YoY · 02:30Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe plan is generated during the Asian session before London has established direction, so Asian highs and lows are context rather than confirmation.
- 08:00-10:30 UK
—
London open read
First chance for Europe to set structure.
Volatility · ModerateCorrelated withLondon SessionUpcomingThe session context identifies the European open as the next inflection point, and no scheduled events occur in this window.
- 10:30-12:45 UK
—
Late London pre-US window
Trade only if levels are clear before US risk.
Volatility · ModerateCorrelated withLondon SessionUpcomingThis window sits before the 13:30 UK USD data cluster, giving traders time to work with London structure without immediate calendar pressure.
- 15:30-17:30 UK
—
Post-US data assessment
Best window if reactions have settled.
Volatility · ModerateCorrelated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThe 13:30 claims, 14:00 Fed speech and 15:00 housing releases have passed by then, allowing cleaner reassessment before the 18:30 Fed speaker.
- 18:50-20:00 UK
—
Late US after Fed Logan
Only take very clean setups.
Volatility · QuietCorrelated withNew York SessionUpcomingFed Logan has passed, but later liquidity can be lighter, so only clear confirmed levels justify attention.
Today's Guidance
Trade smaller and wait for clean confirmation; avoid opening fresh positions into the 13:30, 14:00, 15:00 and 18:30 UK risk points.
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