Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №11

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 9 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-heavy / high risk

London has not set today’s direction yet, and the main risk comes later from several US releases and Fed speakers. The best trades are likely to come after price has reacted and settled, not during the first spike.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00ARS

    Argentine Declaration of Independence

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00EUR

    Eurogroup Meeting

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:45IDR

    Motorbike Sales YoY

    Previous
    -5.1%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30CNY

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30CNY

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    3.9%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30CNY

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.2%
    Forecast
    1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00IDR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    -3.7%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00PEN

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $3304.0M
    Forecast
    $2900.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    5-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    1.905%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    8.2%
    Forecast
    9.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:40THB

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    49.5
    Forecast
    50.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    DKK32.8B
    Forecast
    DKK28.6B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-0.33B
    Forecast
    €-0.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Imports MoM

    Previous
    1.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Exports MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00JPY

    Machine Tool Orders YoY

    Previous
    37.4%
    Forecast
    37.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1
    Forecast
    0.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    24.0%
    Forecast
    24.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    -1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    -1.9%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -19.1%
    Forecast
    -16.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    Current Account

    Previous
    DKK37.5B
    Forecast
    DKK32.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30

    Egypt Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    14.6%
    Forecast
    15.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30

    Egypt Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    -0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    7.7%
    Forecast
    6.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CZK

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00MYR

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    2.75%
    Forecast
    2.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -3.2%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00CZK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    4.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    54.9%
    Forecast
    47.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $17.91B
    Forecast
    $19.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    51.7%
    Forecast
    48.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-1.7B
    Forecast
    €-1.8B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.2%
    Forecast
    4.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Mongolia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    417.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:10EUR

    12-Month BOT Auction

    Previous
    2.695%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    10-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.06%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    5-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.09%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Serbia Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.75%
    Forecast
    5.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Uzbekistan Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $70.58B
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ZAR

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -2.7%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ZAR

    Manufacturing Production YoY

    Previous
    -2.9%
    Forecast
    -1.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30TRY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    54.25
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30EUR

    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.21%
    Forecast
    -0.13%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.46%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.19%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.22%
    Forecast
    0.31%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    2.98%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.94%
    Forecast
    3.52%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-week Average

    Previous
    222.0K
    Forecast
    220.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    215.0K
    Forecast
    218.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1814.0K
    Forecast
    1820.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Egypt Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    13.8%
    Forecast
    14.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Ukraine Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    8.2
    Forecast
    8.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Ukraine Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Fed Williams Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:20USD

    NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months

    Previous
    Forecast
    6.637
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Existing Home Sales MoM

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Existing Home Sales

    Previous
    4.17M
    Forecast
    4.2M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

    Previous
    87.0B
    Forecast
    60.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00MXN

    Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.65%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.605%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Egypt Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    19.0%
    Forecast
    19.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Egypt Overnight Lending Rate

    Previous
    20.0%
    Forecast
    20.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.43
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    5.79
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    30-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.02%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30USD

    Fed Logan Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed Balance Sheet

    Previous
    $6.725T
    Forecast
    $6.725T
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00

    El Salvador PPI YoY

    Previous
    2.78%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 00:00PEN

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    4.25%
    Forecast
    4.25%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.3%
    Forecast
    6.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 02:50-06:30 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian session context

    Use only as reference for early levels.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The plan is generated during the Asian session before London has established direction, so Asian highs and lows are context rather than confirmation.

  • 08:00-10:30 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London open read

    First chance for Europe to set structure.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The session context identifies the European open as the next inflection point, and no scheduled events occur in this window.

  • 10:30-12:25 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late London pre-US window

    Trade only if levels are clear before US risk.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window sits before the 13:30 UK USD data cluster, giving traders time to work with London structure without immediate calendar pressure.

  • 13:20-13:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    US jobless claims cluster

    Avoid new entries and wait for the first reaction to settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Three high-impact USD labour releases arrive at the same time, increasing spike and spread risk across USD pairs and Gold.

  • 13:55-14:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Williams speech

    Watch headlines and avoid assuming the claims reaction is final.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The medium-impact Fed speech follows shortly after the claims data and can alter the USD tone during the overlap.

  • 14:50-15:20 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    US Existing Home Sales releases

    Stand aside through the release and reassess after candles calm.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Existing Home Sales MoM · 15:00USD Existing Home Sales · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Two high-impact housing releases arrive together, creating a second USD data risk after the claims and Fed sequence.

  • 15:30-17:30 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-US data assessment

    Best window if reactions have settled.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:30 claims, 14:00 Fed speech and 15:00 housing releases have passed by then, allowing cleaner reassessment before the 18:30 Fed speaker.

  • 18:20-18:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Logan speech

    Avoid late fresh entries during the speaker window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The later Fed speech can affect USD markets when liquidity may be thinner than during the main overlap.

  • 18:50-20:00 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late US after Fed Logan

    Only take very clean setups.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

    Fed Logan has passed, but later liquidity can be lighter, so only clear confirmed levels justify attention.

Today's Guidance

Trade smaller and wait for clean confirmation; avoid opening fresh positions into the 13:30, 14:00, 15:00 and 18:30 UK risk points.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

If the 14:00 UK Fed Williams speech strongly changes the market tone after the 13:30 UK claims data.

Then

The expected post-claims settling period may not be clean, and traders should delay reassessment until after the 15:00 UK housing releases.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    London open is the first useful read because the plan is generated pre-London.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    The 13:30 UK jobless claims stack is the main execution risk.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Fed Williams at 14:00 UK can interrupt any post-data move.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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