EUR/USD Trading Plan — 13 Jul 2026

Today's Summary

The day has a cautious, low-conviction shape with no high-impact data, but medium-impact US items can still interrupt quiet trading. The strongest liquidity is likely to come through London and the London/New York overlap, while later US trade needs extra patience.

Today’s Events

All times UK time

Time	Event	CCY	Dangerous Window	Better Window	Status
01:00	Mongolia Naadam		—	—	Locked
01:00	Montenegro Statehood Day		—	—	Locked
03:30	10-Year KTB Auction	KRW	—	—	Locked
05:30	Balance of Trade	EUR	—	—	Locked
06:00	Current Account	EUR	—	—	Locked
07:00	Manufacturing Production MoM	NOK	—	—	Locked
07:00	Jordan Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
07:00	Jordan Inflation Rate MoM		—	—	Locked
07:00	Romania Inflation Rate MoM		—	—	Locked
07:00	Romania Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
08:00	Current Account	TRY	—	—	Locked
08:00	Retail Sales MoM	TRY	—	—	Locked
08:00	Retail Sales YoY	TRY	—	—	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook USDCHF Sentiment	CHF	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook AUDUSD Sentiment	AUD	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook USDJPY Sentiment	JPY	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook EURUSD Sentiment	EUR	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook GBPUSD Sentiment	GBP	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook USDCAD Sentiment	CAD	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
09:00	Myfxbook NZDUSD Sentiment	NZD	08:55 – 09:15	09:15 onwards	Locked
10:00	Index-Linked Gilt 2038 Auction	GBP	—	—	Locked
10:25	Fed Bowman Speech	USD	10:20 – 10:40	10:40 onwards	Locked
10:30	6-Month Bubill Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:30	12-Month Bubill Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:30	182-Day T-Bill Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	273-Day T-Bill Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	364-Day T-Bill Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
10:30	91-Day T-Bill Auction	ZAR	—	—	Locked
11:00	Balance of Trade	ILS	—	—	Locked
11:00	Imports	ILS	—	—	Locked
11:00	Exports	ILS	—	—	Locked
11:00	Serbia Inflation Rate MoM		—	—	Locked
11:00	Serbia Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
11:10	2033 EU-Bonds Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
11:10	2041 EU-Bonds Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
11:10	2029 EU-Bonds Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
11:30	Inflation Rate MoM	INR	—	—	Locked
11:30	Inflation Rate YoY	INR	11:25 – 11:45	11:45 onwards	Locked
12:30	BCB Focus Market Readout	BRL	12:25 – 12:45	12:45 onwards	Locked
12:30	OPEC OPEC Monthly Report		—	—	Locked
13:30	Current Account	EUR	—	—	Locked
14:00	6-Month BTF Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
14:00	12-Month BTF Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
14:00	3-Month BTF Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
14:00	Balance of Trade	RUB	—	—	Locked
16:30	6-Month Bill Auction	USD	—	—	Locked
16:30	3-Month Bill Auction	USD	—	—	Locked
17:30	Fed Waller Speech	USD	17:25 – 17:45	17:45 onwards	Locked
17:45	ECB Schnabel Speech	EUR	17:40 – 18:00	18:00 onwards	Locked
18:00	Paraguay Balance of Trade		—	—	Locked
18:50	Uruguay Industrial Production YoY		—	—	Locked
19:00	Monthly Budget Statement	USD	18:55 – 19:15	19:15 onwards	Locked
19:00	BoE Pill Speech	GBP	18:55 – 19:15	19:15 onwards	Locked
23:00	Business Confidence	BRL	22:55 – 23:15	23:15 onwards	Locked
23:00	NZIER Business Confidence	NZD	—	—	Locked
23:00	NZIER Capacity Utilization	NZD	—	—	Locked
23:45	Visitor Arrivals YoY	NZD	—	—	Locked
00:01	BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY	GBP	23:51 – 00:21	00:21 onwards	Locked

Locked
01:00
Mongolia Naadam
Locked
01:00
Montenegro Statehood Day
Locked
03:30KRW
10-Year KTB Auction
Locked
05:30EUR
Balance of Trade
Locked
06:00EUR
Current Account
Locked
07:00NOK
Manufacturing Production MoM
Locked
07:00
Jordan Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
07:00
Jordan Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
07:00
Romania Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
07:00
Romania Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
08:00TRY
Current Account
Locked
08:00TRY
Retail Sales MoM
Locked
08:00TRY
Retail Sales YoY
Locked
09:00CHF
Myfxbook USDCHF Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:00AUD
Myfxbook AUDUSD Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:00JPY
Myfxbook USDJPY Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:00EUR
Myfxbook EURUSD Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:00GBP
Myfxbook GBPUSD Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:00CAD
Myfxbook USDCAD Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
09:00NZD
Myfxbook NZDUSD Sentiment
Dangerous
08:55 – 09:15
Better
09:15 onwards
Locked
10:00GBP
Index-Linked Gilt 2038 Auction
Locked
10:25USD
Fed Bowman Speech
Dangerous
10:20 – 10:40
Better
10:40 onwards
Locked
10:30EUR
6-Month Bubill Auction
Locked
10:30EUR
12-Month Bubill Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
182-Day T-Bill Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
273-Day T-Bill Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
364-Day T-Bill Auction
Locked
10:30ZAR
91-Day T-Bill Auction
Locked
11:00ILS
Balance of Trade
Locked
11:00ILS
Imports
Locked
11:00ILS
Exports
Locked
11:00
Serbia Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
11:00
Serbia Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
11:10EUR
2033 EU-Bonds Auction
Locked
11:10EUR
2041 EU-Bonds Auction
Locked
11:10EUR
2029 EU-Bonds Auction
Locked
11:30INR
Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
11:30INR
Inflation Rate YoY
Dangerous
11:25 – 11:45
Better
11:45 onwards
Locked
12:30BRL
BCB Focus Market Readout
Dangerous
12:25 – 12:45
Better
12:45 onwards
Locked
12:30
OPEC OPEC Monthly Report
Locked
13:30EUR
Current Account
Locked
14:00EUR
6-Month BTF Auction
Locked
14:00EUR
12-Month BTF Auction
Locked
14:00EUR
3-Month BTF Auction
Locked
14:00RUB
Balance of Trade
Locked
16:30USD
6-Month Bill Auction
Locked
16:30USD
3-Month Bill Auction
Locked
17:30USD
Fed Waller Speech
Dangerous
17:25 – 17:45
Better
17:45 onwards
Locked
17:45EUR
ECB Schnabel Speech
Dangerous
17:40 – 18:00
Better
18:00 onwards
Locked
18:00
Paraguay Balance of Trade
Locked
18:50
Uruguay Industrial Production YoY
Locked
19:00USD
Monthly Budget Statement
Dangerous
18:55 – 19:15
Better
19:15 onwards
Locked
19:00GBP
BoE Pill Speech
Dangerous
18:55 – 19:15
Better
19:15 onwards
Locked
23:00BRL
Business Confidence
Dangerous
22:55 – 23:15
Better
23:15 onwards
Locked
23:00NZD
NZIER Business Confidence
Locked
23:00NZD
NZIER Capacity Utilization
Locked
23:45NZD
Visitor Arrivals YoY
Locked
00:01GBP
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
Dangerous
23:51 – 00:21
Better
00:21 onwards

Dangerous Windows

Best Trading Windows

Today's Guidance

Wait for price to clearly confirm your setup — a candle close beyond your level, not just a quick wick — before entering. Avoid fresh trades around the USD speech times until the first reaction settles.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Step 01Upcoming
Treat the London open as the first test of whether Asian-session ranges hold or break.
Step 02Upcoming
Do not chase a fast move straight after a Fed speech; wait for the follow-through candle.
Step 03Upcoming
USD pairs and Gold need extra care around the US calendar items.
Step 04Upcoming
If price stays inside a clear range, take profits faster and avoid forcing trend trades.
Step 05Upcoming
The London/New York overlap is the best window for cleaner liquidity today.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Trading Notebook and tick items off as you trade.

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