Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №16Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 14 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
News-Driven Day
USD data and Fed speakers make the cleanest setups likely after the first reactions settle, especially in USD pairs and gold. Do not chase spikes; patience is the edge today.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Very hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Bastille Day | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Iraq Republic Day | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 01:00 | Mongolia Naadam | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 01:00 | Montenegro Statehood Day | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 01:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | SGD | 1.3% | 1.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | SGD | 6.3% | 5.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Westpac Consumer Confidence Index | AUD | 80.6 | 82.6 | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Westpac Consumer Confidence Change | AUD | -2.9% | 2.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:30 | NAB Business Confidence | AUD | -14.0 | -12.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Jordan Inflation Rate YoY | 2.83% | 3.2% | Upcoming | ||||
| 03:00 | Jordan Inflation Rate MoM | 0.55% | 0.6% | Upcoming | ||||
| 03:35 | 6-Month Bill Auction | NZD | 2.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | NZD | 2.57% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 03:35 | 1-Year Bill Auction | NZD | 3.065% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:00 | Imports YoY | CNY | 27.4% | 24.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 04:00 | Exports YoY | CNY | 19.4% | 18.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 04:00 | Balance of Trade | CNY | $105.43B | $121.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 04:00 | Balance of Trade Yuan | CNY | CNY723.98B | CNY820.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 20-Year JGB Auction | JPY | 3.542% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Industrial Production MoM | JPY | 0.5% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Industrial Production YoY | JPY | 2.0% | -1.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Capacity Utilization MoM | JPY | -0.8% | 0.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | 2.8% | 2.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | 2.1% | 2.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | 0.5% | -0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | 0.5% | -0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | MAS 12-Week Bill Auction | SGD | 1.47% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | MAS 4-Week Bill Auction | SGD | 1.4% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Wholesale Prices YoY | EUR | 5.9% | 6.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Wholesale Prices MoM | EUR | -0.6% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Construction Output YoY | HUF | 2.6 | 2.4 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Industrial Production YoY | HUF | 0.9% | -0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | WPI Manufacturing YoY | INR | 7.48 | 5.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | WPI Inflation YoY | INR | 9.68% | 9.15% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | WPI Fuel YoY | INR | 30.33 | 25.9 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | WPI Food Index YoY | INR | 4.49 | 6.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Producer & Import Prices YoY | CHF | -1.8% | -1.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Producer & Import Prices MoM | CHF | -0.4% | -0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Total Social Financing | CNY | CNY2030.0B | CNY3770.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | M2 Money Supply YoY | CNY | 8.6% | 8.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | CNY | 5.5% | 5.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | New Yuan Loans | CNY | CNY520.0B | CNY2000.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Current Account | EUR | €96.2M | €75.0M | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 09:00 | Current Account | CZK | CZK1.18B | CZK-25.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Palestine Inflation Rate YoY | -36.96% | -42.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | BoE Gov Bailey Speech | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Current Account | EUR | €-84.0M | €-110.0M | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | 3-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.239% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | 9-Month Letras Auction | EUR | 2.518% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 2-Year Schatz Auction | EUR | 2.57% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 3-Month DTB Auction | HUF | 5.36% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Weekly Bond Auction | ZAR | 8.635% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Mining Production MoM | ZAR | 3.3% | 2.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Mining Production YoY | ZAR | 8.2% | 7.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Gold Production YoY | ZAR | -0.2% | -5.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 2033 Bond Auction | ZAR | 8.032% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 2042 Bond Auction | ZAR | 8.9% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | USD | 95.3 | 95.6 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Balance of Trade | PLN | €-1995.0M | €-1700.0M | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Current Account | PLN | -1558.0 | -450.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:15 | ADP Employment Change Weekly | USD | 21.0K | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | USD | 0.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | CPI | USD | 335.12 | 334.71 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | USD | 4.2% | 3.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | USD | 0.5% | -0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | USD | 2.9% | 2.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | CPI s.a | USD | 333.979 | 334.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:55 | Redbook YoY | USD | 11.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Ecuador Inflation Rate YoY | 0.92% | 1.5% | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | Fed Chair Warsh Testimony | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | Angola Interest Rate Decision | 17.0% | 17.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 16:30 | 6-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.635% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:40 | Fed Barr Speech | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Fed Goolsbee Speech | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:30 | Fed Cook Speech | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 19:55 | Fed Bowman Speech | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | ARS | 2.1% | 1.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | ARS | 33.2% | 33.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Net Long-term TIC Flows | USD | $103.1B | $128.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Foreign Bond Investment | USD | 50.5 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Overall Net Capital Flows | USD | 26.1 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | USD | -0.399 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Import Prices YoY | KRW | 24.8 | 23.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Export Prices YoY | KRW | 46.9 | 52.2 | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 23:45 | Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY | NZD | 3.3% | 3.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 23:45 | Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM | NZD | 1.7% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Unemployment Rate | KRW | 2.8 | 2.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | JPY | 13.0 | 14.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 00:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | JPY | 8.7% | -4.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | JPY | 15.6% | 12.9% | Upcoming |
- 01:00EUR
Bastille Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00
Iraq Republic Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00
Mongolia Naadam
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00
Montenegro Statehood Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00SGD
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- 1.3%
- Forecast
- 1.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00SGD
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 6.3%
- Forecast
- 5.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30AUD
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
- Previous
- 80.6
- Forecast
- 82.6
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30AUD
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change
- Previous
- -2.9%
- Forecast
- 2.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:30AUD
NAB Business Confidence
- Previous
- -14.0
- Forecast
- -12.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00
Jordan Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.83%
- Forecast
- 3.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00
Jordan Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.55%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35NZD
6-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35NZD
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.57%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:35NZD
1-Year Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.065%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:00CNY
Imports YoY
- Previous
- 27.4%
- Forecast
- 24.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:00CNY
Exports YoY
- Previous
- 19.4%
- Forecast
- 18.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:00CNY
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $105.43B
- Forecast
- $121.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:00CNY
Balance of Trade Yuan
- Previous
- CNY723.98B
- Forecast
- CNY820.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
20-Year JGB Auction
- Previous
- 3.542%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 2.0%
- Forecast
- -1.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Capacity Utilization MoM
- Previous
- -0.8%
- Forecast
- 0.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.8%
- Forecast
- 2.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.1%
- Forecast
- 2.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- -0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- -0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
MAS 12-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.47%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
MAS 4-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.4%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
Wholesale Prices YoY
- Previous
- 5.9%
- Forecast
- 6.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
Wholesale Prices MoM
- Previous
- -0.6%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30HUF
Construction Output YoY
- Previous
- 2.6
- Forecast
- 2.4
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30HUF
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- -0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30INR
WPI Manufacturing YoY
- Previous
- 7.48
- Forecast
- 5.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30INR
WPI Inflation YoY
- Previous
- 9.68%
- Forecast
- 9.15%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30INR
WPI Fuel YoY
- Previous
- 30.33
- Forecast
- 25.9
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30INR
WPI Food Index YoY
- Previous
- 4.49
- Forecast
- 6.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30CHF
Producer & Import Prices YoY
- Previous
- -1.8%
- Forecast
- -1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30CHF
Producer & Import Prices MoM
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- -0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
Total Social Financing
- Previous
- CNY2030.0B
- Forecast
- CNY3770.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
M2 Money Supply YoY
- Previous
- 8.6%
- Forecast
- 8.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
Outstanding Loan Growth YoY
- Previous
- 5.5%
- Forecast
- 5.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
New Yuan Loans
- Previous
- CNY520.0B
- Forecast
- CNY2000.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00EUR
Current Account
- Previous
- €96.2M
- Forecast
- €75.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 09:00CZK
Current Account
- Previous
- CZK1.18B
- Forecast
- CZK-25.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Palestine Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- -36.96%
- Forecast
- -42.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30EUR
Current Account
- Previous
- €-84.0M
- Forecast
- €-110.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
3-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.239%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
9-Month Letras Auction
- Previous
- 2.518%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
2-Year Schatz Auction
- Previous
- 2.57%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30HUF
3-Month DTB Auction
- Previous
- 5.36%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
Weekly Bond Auction
- Previous
- 8.635%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
Mining Production MoM
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 2.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
Mining Production YoY
- Previous
- 8.2%
- Forecast
- 7.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
Gold Production YoY
- Previous
- -0.2%
- Forecast
- -5.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
2033 Bond Auction
- Previous
- 8.032%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
2042 Bond Auction
- Previous
- 8.9%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00USD
NFIB Business Optimism Index
- Previous
- 95.3
- Forecast
- 95.6
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00PLN
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- €-1995.0M
- Forecast
- €-1700.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00PLN
Current Account
- Previous
- -1558.0
- Forecast
- -450.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:15USD
ADP Employment Change Weekly
- Previous
- 21.0K
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Core Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
CPI
- Previous
- 335.12
- Forecast
- 334.71
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 4.2%
- Forecast
- 3.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- -0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.9%
- Forecast
- 2.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
CPI s.a
- Previous
- 333.979
- Forecast
- 334.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:55USD
Redbook YoY
- Previous
- 11.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Ecuador Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 0.92%
- Forecast
- 1.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Fed Chair Warsh Testimony
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00
Angola Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 17.0%
- Forecast
- 17.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
6-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.635%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:40USD
Fed Barr Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Fed Goolsbee Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:30USD
Fed Cook Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 19:55USD
Fed Bowman Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00ARS
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 2.1%
- Forecast
- 1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00ARS
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 33.2%
- Forecast
- 33.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Net Long-term TIC Flows
- Previous
- $103.1B
- Forecast
- $128.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Foreign Bond Investment
- Previous
- 50.5
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Overall Net Capital Flows
- Previous
- 26.1
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
API Crude Oil Stock Change
- Previous
- -0.399
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00KRW
Import Prices YoY
- Previous
- 24.8
- Forecast
- 23.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00KRW
Export Prices YoY
- Previous
- 46.9
- Forecast
- 52.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:45NZD
Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 3.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 23:45NZD
Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM
- Previous
- 1.7%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00KRW
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 2.8
- Forecast
- 2.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00JPY
Reuters Tankan Index
- Previous
- 13.0
- Forecast
- 14.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:50JPY
Machinery Orders MoM
- Previous
- 8.7%
- Forecast
- -4.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:50JPY
Machinery Orders YoY
- Previous
- 15.6%
- Forecast
- 12.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 06:55-07:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Wholesale Prices YoY and MoM at 07:00 UK
Watch EUR pairs; avoid entering during the release candles.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingTwo medium-impact EUR releases arrive before London has established direction. This can distort early EUR/USD price action.
- 07:15-07:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingPost-Euro Data Setup
Use this window to map Asian highs and lows after the euro wholesale data passes.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcomingThe briefing is pre-London, so Asian price action is still the latest guide. The 07:00 UK EUR releases need to pass before early EUR/USD levels are judged.
- 09:15-11:30 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Morning
Best window for cleaner structure before the USD risk cluster.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingLondon has not set direction yet, making the European open the next key test. This window avoids the main USD data and Fed testimony risks.
- 12:00-13:05 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPre-US Reset
Good for managing open trades, but poor for starting new risk close to the data.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThe USD data cluster starts at 13:15 UK, so the market can become hesitant before it. This window is better for preparation than fresh entries late in the hour.
- 13:10-13:50 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD ADP at 13:15 UK and USD CPI inflation cluster at 13:30 UK
Avoid fresh entries in USD pairs and gold.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly · 13:15USD Core Inflation Rate MoM · 13:30USD CPI · 13:30USD Inflation Rate YoY · 13:30USD Inflation Rate MoM · 13:30USD Core Inflation Rate YoY · 13:30USD CPI s.a · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingSeveral high-impact USD releases are stacked within 15 minutes. This is the main execution risk of the day.
- 14:00-14:50 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost-Data Reset
Trade only if the USD data reaction has settled and price respects clear levels.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThe main CPI and ADP releases are scheduled before this window, but Fed testimony follows at 15:00 UK. Any setup needs room to work before that next risk point.
- 14:55-15:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingFed Chair Warsh Testimony at 15:00 UK
Stand aside until the first reaction settles.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Fed Chair Warsh Testimony · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe testimony is high impact and follows the USD data cluster. It can extend or reverse the earlier reaction without warning.
- 15:30-16:30 UK
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Best WindowUpcomingAfter Fed Testimony
Look for calmer post-testimony structure during active New York trade.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThis window comes after the 15:00 UK high-impact testimony risk. It still has New York liquidity without overlapping the next Fed speaker cluster.
- 17:35-18:40 UK
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Dangerous WindowUpcomingFed Barr, Goolsbee and Cook speeches
Watch USD pairs and gold; avoid adding risk during headlines.
Volatility · HighRelated toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThree medium-impact Fed speakers are scheduled close together. The cluster can keep USD-sensitive markets uneven late in the session.
- 18:45-19:45 UK
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Caution WindowUpcomingLate US Gaps
Only take the cleanest setups and be aware of another Fed speaker at 19:55 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcomingThe earlier Fed speaker cluster has passed by then, but the session is later and another USD speech is scheduled soon after. Conditions are less attractive than London and early New York.
- 19:50-20:10 UK
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Dangerous WindowUpcomingFed Bowman Speech at 19:55 UK
Avoid late USD entries around the speech.
Volatility · HighRelated toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThis is another scheduled Fed speaker after the earlier cluster. Late-session liquidity can make reactions less clean.
- 21:25-21:45 UK
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Dangerous WindowUpcomingAPI Crude Oil Stock Change at 21:30 UK
Avoid fresh Brent trades during the release window.
Volatility · HighRelated toExecution risk elevatedUpcomingAPI crude stocks are a medium-impact oil release. Brent can react quickly when liquidity is thinner late in the day.
Today's Guidance
Wait for price to clearly confirm your setup — a candle close beyond the level, not just a wick — before entering. Avoid opening fresh trades just before the USD data and Fed testimony windows.
Alternative scenario
If the USD CPI and ADP cluster produces only a brief reaction and price quickly returns inside pre-news ranges.
The day may shift from news-driven to range-bound, making level-to-level trades more suitable than breakout attempts.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
- Step 01Upcoming
Treat the London open as the first real test because Asian price action is the only guide so far.
- Step 02Upcoming
Keep new risk light before the USD data cluster and Fed testimony.
- Step 03Upcoming
Use H1 closes around key levels rather than reacting to the first spike.
Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
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