Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №17

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for WEDNESDAY 15 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

Cleanest setups are likely after London sets levels or after the US data and Fed headlines settle. The main danger is chasing USD and oil spikes during the clustered US calendar.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Brunei Sultan's Birthday

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Mongolia Naadam

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00TRY

    Day of Democracy and Freedoms

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00GBP

    Chancellor Reeves Mansion House Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30CNY

    House Price Index YoY

    Previous
    -3.5%
    Forecast
    -3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Jordan Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.83%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Jordan Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.55%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY

    Previous
    -4.1%
    Forecast
    -4.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    4.5%
    Forecast
    4.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    Industrial Capacity Utilization

    Previous
    73.6%
    Forecast
    74.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.0%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00CNY

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    5.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Jordan Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -1.2%
    Forecast
    -1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00INR

    Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY

    Previous
    25.3%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00PHP

    Cash Remittances

    Previous
    $2.7B
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    BoJ JGB Purchase

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30JPY

    Tertiary Industry Index MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    1.5
    Forecast
    0.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -3.1
    Forecast
    2.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Wholesale Prices YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    5.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF YoY

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CNY

    Total Social Financing

    Previous
    CNY2030.0B
    Forecast
    CNY3770.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CNY

    M2 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    8.6%
    Forecast
    8.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CNY

    Outstanding Loan Growth YoY

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CNY

    New Yuan Loans

    Previous
    CNY520.0B
    Forecast
    CNY2000.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Moldova Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-749.8M
    Forecast
    $-800.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.8%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    3.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30PLN

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    6.9%
    Forecast
    5.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    -0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:20

    Kazakhstan GDP YoY

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    4.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €4326.4M
    Forecast
    €2990.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Botswana Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Botswana Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    10.7%
    Forecast
    11.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    FDI (YTD) YoY

    Previous
    -8.6%
    Forecast
    -9.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    -0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.2%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Kyrgyzstan Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    11.0
    Forecast
    12.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    13.4
    Forecast
    13.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.0%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    30-Year Bund Auction

    Previous
    3.49%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    6-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.32%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Cape Verde Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.5
    Forecast
    1.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Cape Verde Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.8
    Forecast
    0.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €5.3B
    Forecast
    €7.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Residential Property Prices YoY

    Previous
    6.2%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Residential Property Prices MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Kyrgyzstan GDP YoY

    Previous
    12.2
    Forecast
    12.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Oman Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.8
    Forecast
    3.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Oman Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Serbia Building Permits

    Previous
    2416.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:10EUR

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.433%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:10EUR

    12-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.557%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:10EUR

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.343%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30INR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Azerbaijan Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Market Index

    Previous
    266.3
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Applications

    Previous
    -2.2
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.58
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Purchase Index

    Previous
    169.5
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00USD

    MBA Mortgage Refinance Index

    Previous
    794.4
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Romania Current Account

    Previous
    -2684.0
    Forecast
    -1900.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    Wholesale Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    -0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    New Motor Vehicle Sales

    Previous
    183.9K
    Forecast
    175.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Manufacturing Sales MoM

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Core PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

    Previous
    5.7
    Forecast
    8.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI

    Previous
    157.659
    Forecast
    158.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Core PPI YoY

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    5.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Capacity Utilization

    Previous
    80.6%
    Forecast
    80.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:45USD

    Fed Williams Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Nigeria Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    15.93%
    Forecast
    16.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Nigeria Food Inflation YoY

    Previous
    16.96%
    Forecast
    17.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:40

    Sri Lanka Services PMI

    Previous
    56.9
    Forecast
    58.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:40

    Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    56.6
    Forecast
    59.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45CAD

    BoC Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    2.25%
    Forecast
    2.25%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:45CAD

    BoC Monetary Policy Report

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Dominican Republic Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.31
    Forecast
    0.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Dominican Republic Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.35
    Forecast
    5.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Malawi Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    23.4%
    Forecast
    23.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Fed Chair Warsh Testimony

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30CAD

    BoC Press Conference

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change

    Previous
    -0.172
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change

    Previous
    -0.427
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change

    Previous
    -0.052
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Crude Oil Imports Change

    Previous
    1.096
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

    Previous
    -1.904
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Gasoline Production Change

    Previous
    -0.233
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

    Previous
    2.998
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change

    Previous
    -0.001
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Distillate Stocks Change

    Previous
    -4.98
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00PEN

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.73%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    14.9%
    Forecast
    11.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00PEN

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    5.3
    Forecast
    5.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30ILS

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30ILS

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    17-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.79%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    NOPA Crush Report

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    Bundesbank President Nagel Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Fed Cook Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00USD

    Fed Beige Book

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:30USD

    Fed Musalem Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Stock Investment by Foreigners

    Previous
    -22.2
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 00:50JPY

    Foreign Bond Investment

    Previous
    -218.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 03:20-07:00 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Reference

    Use this period to mark highs, lows and early ranges rather than to force trades.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The briefing is generated pre-London, and the input says the Asian session is the most recent price action. London has not established direction yet.

  • 08:15-09:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Open Setup Window

    Best used for building the first European levels before the EUR release.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window comes after the European open and before the 10:00 UK EUR event. It gives liquidity without overlapping the first scheduled release.

  • 09:50-10:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Industrial Production MoM

    Watch EUR pairs; avoid entering during the release candle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The 10:00 UK EUR release is Medium impact and directly affects EUR/USD. It is the first scheduled event of the London morning.

  • 10:15-11:50 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR London Window

    Look for EUR/USD and GBP/USD setups only after the EUR reaction has settled.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The 10:00 UK EUR release is the first calendar risk, and the next USD event is not until 12:00 UK. That leaves a cleaner London stretch.

  • 12:15-13:20 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Pre-US Reset Window

    Use this window to reduce exposure, update levels and prepare for the US cluster.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    It follows the 12:00 UK USD mortgage-rate release and ends before the high-impact USD data at 13:30 UK.

  • 13:25-13:55 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD PPI, NY Empire State Manufacturing Index and Fed Williams Speech

    Avoid new USD trades until the first reaction settles.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD NY Empire State Manufacturing Index · 13:30USD PPI MoM · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Two High-impact USD releases land at 13:30 UK, followed by a Fed speaker at 13:45 UK. This creates a clustered risk window for USD pairs and gold.

  • 14:10-14:35 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-Data Assessment Window

    Only consider trades if the US data reaction has settled before the next Fed risk.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:30 UK high-impact USD releases and 13:45 UK Fed Williams speech have passed, but Fed Chair testimony is still scheduled at 15:00 UK.

  • 14:50-15:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Chair Warsh Testimony

    Avoid fresh trades at the start of the testimony.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Fed Chair Warsh Testimony · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The 15:00 UK testimony is High impact and follows the earlier USD data cluster. Fed communication can change price behaviour quickly.

  • 15:25-15:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EIA Gasoline Stocks Change and EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

    Avoid new Brent trades during the inventory release.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Both EIA oil releases are scheduled at 15:30 UK and are directly relevant for Brent. The release can create fast moves around oil levels.

  • 17:50-18:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Cook Speech

    Watch USD pairs and gold; avoid trading if price starts whipping.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The 18:00 UK Fed speech is Medium impact and comes after earlier Fed testimony. It can keep USD-sensitive markets unsettled.

  • 18:50-19:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Beige Book

    Watch the reaction before taking late US trades.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The 19:00 UK Beige Book is Medium impact and affects the later US session. It may matter more if earlier USD moves remain active.

  • 19:15-21:00 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late New York Caution Window

    Use smaller size or stand aside if liquidity fades after the Beige Book.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

    This comes after the 19:00 UK Beige Book and well before the late 23:30 UK Fed speech. Liquidity is usually thinner than London or the overlap.

Today's Guidance

Use London to mark the day’s first clear levels, then wait for a candle close beyond a level or a clear rejection before entering. Avoid new trades during the US data and Fed speaker windows.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Treat Asian session moves as reference levels, not the day’s confirmed direction.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    USD pairs need extra patience around the US data cluster and Fed speakers.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    EUR/USD has a morning EUR catalyst before the heavier US calendar takes over.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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