Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentUpdated —

Trading Plan view

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

A heavy US data cluster makes today news-led, with cleaner setups most likely after London sets the first range and after the US reaction settles. The main danger is trading the first spike.

Today’s Events

All times UK time

Time	Event	CCY	Dangerous Window	Better Window	Status
01:00	Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY	INR	—	—	Locked
01:00	Our Lady of Mount Carmel	CLP	—	—	Locked
02:00	Interest Rate Decision	KRW	01:55 – 02:15	02:15 onwards	Locked
02:00	Consumer Inflation Expectations	AUD	—	—	Locked
04:35	52-Week Bill Auction	JPY	—	—	Locked
05:30	Unemployment Rate	EUR	05:25 – 05:45	05:45 onwards	Locked
06:00	Jordan Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
06:00	Jordan Inflation Rate MoM		—	—	Locked
06:00	6-Month T-Bill Auction	SGD	—	—	Locked
07:00	GDP YoY	GBP	—	—	Locked
07:00	Manufacturing Production YoY	GBP	—	—	Locked
07:00	Construction Output YoY	GBP	—	—	Locked
07:00	GDP 3-Month Avg	GBP	06:55 – 07:15	07:15 onwards	Locked
07:00	Industrial Production MoM	GBP	06:55 – 07:15	07:15 onwards	Locked
07:00	Goods Trade Balance	GBP	06:50 – 07:20	07:20 onwards	Locked
07:00	Industrial Production YoY	GBP	—	—	Locked
07:00	Balance of Trade	GBP	—	—	Locked
07:00	Goods Trade Balance Non-EU	GBP	06:50 – 07:20	07:20 onwards	Locked
07:00	Manufacturing Production MoM	GBP	06:55 – 07:15	07:15 onwards	Locked
07:00	GDP MoM	GBP	06:50 – 07:20	07:20 onwards	Locked
07:30	Gross Wage YoY	HUF	—	—	Locked
08:30	SNB Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes	CHF	08:25 – 08:45	08:45 onwards	Locked
09:00	Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:00	Inflation Rate MoM	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:00	Inflation Rate YoY	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:00	Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:00	Budget Balance	TRY	—	—	Locked
09:30	Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves		—	—	Locked
09:30	Angola M3 Money Supply YoY		—	—	Locked
09:40	30-Year Obligacion Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:40	3-Year Bonos Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
09:40	7-Year Obligacion Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:00	FDI (YTD) YoY	CNY	09:55 – 10:15	10:15 onwards	Locked
10:00	Kyrgyzstan Inflation Rate YoY		—	—	Locked
10:00	Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY		—	—	Locked
10:00	Balance of Trade	EUR	09:55 – 10:15	10:15 onwards	Locked
10:00	OAT Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:00	Treasury Gilt 2036 Auction	GBP	—	—	Locked
10:00	2029 OAT Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:00	2031 OAT Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:00	2033 OAT Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
10:30	12-Month DTB Auction	HUF	—	—	Locked
11:00	OATi Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
11:00	OAT€i Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
11:00	GDP Growth Annualized	ILS	—	—	Locked
11:00	2053 OAT€i Auction	EUR	—	—	Locked
11:30	Ghana PPI YoY		—	—	Locked
12:00	NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker	GBP	—	—	Locked
13:00	Retail Sales MoM	BRL	12:55 – 13:15	13:15 onwards	Locked
13:00	Retail Sales YoY	BRL	—	—	Locked
13:00	Core Inflation Rate YoY	PLN	—	—	Locked
13:15	Belarus Industrial Production YoY		—	—	Locked
13:15	Housing Starts	CAD	13:10 – 13:30	13:30 onwards	Locked
13:30	Retail Sales MoM	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Jobless Claims 4-week Average	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index	USD	13:25 – 13:45	13:45 onwards	Locked
13:30	Philly Fed New Orders	USD	—	—	Locked
13:30	Philly Fed CAPEX Index	USD	—	—	Locked
13:30	Philly Fed Business Conditions	USD	—	—	Locked
13:30	Retail Sales Control Group MoM	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Retail Sales YoY	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	NY Fed Services Activity Index	USD	—	—	Locked
13:30	Initial Jobless Claims	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Continuing Jobless Claims	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Philly Fed Prices Paid	USD	—	—	Locked
13:30	Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards	Locked
13:30	Philly Fed Employment	USD	—	—	Locked
15:00	Ecuador Balance of Trade		—	—	Locked
15:00	Pending Home Sales MoM	USD	14:55 – 15:15	15:15 onwards	Locked
15:00	Pending Home Sales YoY	USD	14:55 – 15:15	15:15 onwards	Locked
15:00	Business Inventories MoM	USD	14:55 – 15:15	15:15 onwards	Locked
15:00	NAHB Housing Market Index	USD	14:55 – 15:15	15:15 onwards	Locked
15:00	Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM	USD	—	—	Locked
15:30	EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change	USD	—	—	Locked
16:00	Consumer Confidence	COP	—	—	Locked
16:30	8-Week Bill Auction	USD	—	—	Locked
16:30	4-Week Bill Auction	USD	—	—	Locked
17:00	30-Year Mortgage Rate	USD	—	—	Locked
17:00	15-Year Mortgage Rate	USD	—	—	Locked
17:00	30-Year Bond Auction	CAD	—	—	Locked
17:30	Fed Logan Speech	USD	17:25 – 17:45	17:45 onwards	Locked
18:00	Paraguay Consumer Confidence		—	—	Locked
21:30	Fed Balance Sheet	USD	—	—	Locked
23:45	Food Inflation YoY	NZD	—	—	Locked
00:00	Fed Jefferson Speech	USD	23:55 – 00:15	00:15 onwards	Locked

Locked
01:00INR
Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY
Locked
01:00CLP
Our Lady of Mount Carmel
Locked
02:00KRW
Interest Rate Decision
Dangerous
01:55 – 02:15
Better
02:15 onwards
Locked
02:00AUD
Consumer Inflation Expectations
Locked
04:35JPY
52-Week Bill Auction
Locked
05:30EUR
Unemployment Rate
Dangerous
05:25 – 05:45
Better
05:45 onwards
Locked
06:00
Jordan Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
06:00
Jordan Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
06:00SGD
6-Month T-Bill Auction
Locked
07:00GBP
GDP YoY
Locked
07:00GBP
Manufacturing Production YoY
Locked
07:00GBP
Construction Output YoY
Locked
07:00GBP
GDP 3-Month Avg
Dangerous
06:55 – 07:15
Better
07:15 onwards
Locked
07:00GBP
Industrial Production MoM
Dangerous
06:55 – 07:15
Better
07:15 onwards
Locked
07:00GBP
Goods Trade Balance
Dangerous
06:50 – 07:20
Better
07:20 onwards
Locked
07:00GBP
Industrial Production YoY
Locked
07:00GBP
Balance of Trade
Locked
07:00GBP
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
Dangerous
06:50 – 07:20
Better
07:20 onwards
Locked
07:00GBP
Manufacturing Production MoM
Dangerous
06:55 – 07:15
Better
07:15 onwards
Locked
07:00GBP
GDP MoM
Dangerous
06:50 – 07:20
Better
07:20 onwards
Locked
07:30HUF
Gross Wage YoY
Locked
08:30CHF
SNB Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Dangerous
08:25 – 08:45
Better
08:45 onwards
Locked
09:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
09:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
09:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
09:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM
Locked
09:00TRY
Budget Balance
Locked
09:30
Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves
Locked
09:30
Angola M3 Money Supply YoY
Locked
09:40EUR
30-Year Obligacion Auction
Locked
09:40EUR
3-Year Bonos Auction
Locked
09:40EUR
7-Year Obligacion Auction
Locked
10:00CNY
FDI (YTD) YoY
Dangerous
09:55 – 10:15
Better
10:15 onwards
Locked
10:00
Kyrgyzstan Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
10:00
Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY
Locked
10:00EUR
Balance of Trade
Dangerous
09:55 – 10:15
Better
10:15 onwards
Locked
10:00EUR
OAT Auction
Locked
10:00GBP
Treasury Gilt 2036 Auction
Locked
10:00EUR
2029 OAT Auction
Locked
10:00EUR
2031 OAT Auction
Locked
10:00EUR
2033 OAT Auction
Locked
10:30HUF
12-Month DTB Auction
Locked
11:00EUR
OATi Auction
Locked
11:00EUR
OAT€i Auction
Locked
11:00ILS
GDP Growth Annualized
Locked
11:00EUR
2053 OAT€i Auction
Locked
11:30
Ghana PPI YoY
Locked
12:00GBP
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
Locked
13:00BRL
Retail Sales MoM
Dangerous
12:55 – 13:15
Better
13:15 onwards
Locked
13:00BRL
Retail Sales YoY
Locked
13:00PLN
Core Inflation Rate YoY
Locked
13:15
Belarus Industrial Production YoY
Locked
13:15CAD
Housing Starts
Dangerous
13:10 – 13:30
Better
13:30 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Retail Sales MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-week Average
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Dangerous
13:25 – 13:45
Better
13:45 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Philly Fed New Orders
Locked
13:30USD
Philly Fed CAPEX Index
Locked
13:30USD
Philly Fed Business Conditions
Locked
13:30USD
Retail Sales Control Group MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Retail Sales YoY
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
NY Fed Services Activity Index
Locked
13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Philly Fed Prices Paid
Locked
13:30USD
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
Locked
13:30USD
Philly Fed Employment
Locked
15:00
Ecuador Balance of Trade
Locked
15:00USD
Pending Home Sales MoM
Dangerous
14:55 – 15:15
Better
15:15 onwards
Locked
15:00USD
Pending Home Sales YoY
Dangerous
14:55 – 15:15
Better
15:15 onwards
Locked
15:00USD
Business Inventories MoM
Dangerous
14:55 – 15:15
Better
15:15 onwards
Locked
15:00USD
NAHB Housing Market Index
Dangerous
14:55 – 15:15
Better
15:15 onwards
Locked
15:00USD
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM
Locked
15:30USD
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
Locked
16:00COP
Consumer Confidence
Locked
16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
Locked
16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
Locked
17:00USD
30-Year Mortgage Rate
Locked
17:00USD
15-Year Mortgage Rate
Locked
17:00CAD
30-Year Bond Auction
Locked
17:30USD
Fed Logan Speech
Dangerous
17:25 – 17:45
Better
17:45 onwards
Locked
18:00
Paraguay Consumer Confidence
Locked
21:30USD
Fed Balance Sheet
Locked
23:45NZD
Food Inflation YoY
Locked
00:00USD
Fed Jefferson Speech
Dangerous
23:55 – 00:15
Better
00:15 onwards

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

00:00-07:45 UK
—
Best WindowUpcoming
Asian Context Window
Use this period to mark the overnight range, not to force trades.
Volatility · Quiet
Correlated withGBP Goods Trade Balance · 07:00GBP Goods Trade Balance Non-EU · 07:00GBP GDP MoM · 07:00Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
The briefing is pre-London and the Asian session is the latest price action. London has not yet set the day’s main levels.
13:25-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
Clustered USD retail sales and jobless claims releases
Avoid new trades across USD pairs and Gold.
Volatility · High
Correlated withUSD Retail Sales MoM · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Retail Sales Control Group MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales YoY · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Multiple high-impact USD releases hit at the same time. Event clustering raises execution risk and can produce sharp first reactions.

Today's Guidance

Build the day around the calendar: mark the London range, avoid the USD release spike, and only trade after price closes beyond a level or clearly rejects it.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Step 01Upcoming
London direction is not set yet, so let the open show the first real levels.
Step 02Upcoming
Treat EUR pairs carefully around the European data window.
Step 03Upcoming
Avoid fresh trades into the clustered USD releases.
Step 04Upcoming
Gold and USD/JPY need extra patience because USD risk is concentrated.
Step 05Upcoming
Fed speeches later can disturb late-session trades, so protect open risk.