Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №18Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 16 JULY. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
News-Driven Day
A heavy US data cluster makes today news-led, with cleaner setups most likely after London sets the first range and after the US reaction settles. The main danger is trading the first spike.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY | INR | 25.3% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Our Lady of Mount Carmel | CLP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 02:00 | Interest Rate Decision | KRW | 2.5% | 2.75% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectations | AUD | 5.5% | 5.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 52-Week Bill Auction | JPY | 1.1583% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Unemployment Rate | EUR | 3.9% | 4.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Jordan Inflation Rate YoY | 2.83% | 3.2% | Upcoming | ||||
| 06:00 | Jordan Inflation Rate MoM | 0.55% | 0.6% | Upcoming | ||||
| 06:00 | 6-Month T-Bill Auction | SGD | 1.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | GDP YoY | GBP | 1.2% | 1.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Manufacturing Production YoY | GBP | 1.0% | 1.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Construction Output YoY | GBP | -1.0% | -1.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | GDP 3-Month Avg | GBP | 0.7% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Industrial Production MoM | GBP | 0.0% | -0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Goods Trade Balance | GBP | £-26.05B | £-23.6B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Industrial Production YoY | GBP | -0.2% | 1.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Balance of Trade | GBP | £-8.435B | £-3.9B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | GBP | -13.05 | -9.6 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | GBP | 0.4% | -0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | GDP MoM | GBP | -0.1% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Gross Wage YoY | HUF | 9.0 | 9.2 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:30 | SNB Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | CHF | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | 3.2% | 3.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | 0.4% | 0.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | 3.2% | 3.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | EUR | 0.3% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Budget Balance | TRY | TRY-298.2B | TRY-200.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves | 15.5 | 16.0 | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:30 | Angola M3 Money Supply YoY | 15.6% | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:40 | 30-Year Obligacion Auction | EUR | 4.038% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | 3-Year Bonos Auction | EUR | 2.772% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:40 | 7-Year Obligacion Auction | EUR | 3.157% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | FDI (YTD) YoY | CNY | -8.6% | -9.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Kyrgyzstan Inflation Rate YoY | 11.0% | 12.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:00 | Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY | 13.4 | 13.8 | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:00 | Balance of Trade | EUR | €-1.0B | €-1.6B | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | OAT Auction | EUR | 3.22% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Treasury Gilt 2036 Auction | GBP | 4.858% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | 2029 OAT Auction | EUR | 2.85% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | 2031 OAT Auction | EUR | 3.03% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | 2033 OAT Auction | EUR | 3.48% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 12-Month DTB Auction | HUF | 5.21% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | OATi Auction | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | OAT€i Auction | EUR | 1.79% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | GDP Growth Annualized | ILS | 2.9% | -3.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | 2053 OAT€i Auction | EUR | 2.04% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:30 | Ghana PPI YoY | 5.8% | 5.6% | Upcoming | ||||
| 12:00 | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | GBP | 0.5% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Retail Sales MoM | BRL | -1.5% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Retail Sales YoY | BRL | 1.0% | 1.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | PLN | 3.1% | 3.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:15 | Belarus Industrial Production YoY | -1.4 | 0.7 | Upcoming | ||||
| 13:15 | Housing Starts | CAD | 261.4K | 258.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales MoM | USD | 0.9% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Jobless Claims 4-week Average | USD | 218.75K | 216.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | USD | 10.3 | 13.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Philly Fed New Orders | USD | 27.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Philly Fed CAPEX Index | USD | 41.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Philly Fed Business Conditions | USD | 50.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Control Group MoM | USD | 0.7% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales YoY | USD | 6.9% | 6.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | NY Fed Services Activity Index | USD | -10.1 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | USD | 215.0K | 217.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | USD | 1814.0K | 1820.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Philly Fed Prices Paid | USD | 53.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | USD | 0.8% | -0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | USD | 0.5 | 0.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Philly Fed Employment | USD | 7.9 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Ecuador Balance of Trade | -283.91M | -150.0M | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | USD | 3.8% | -0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | USD | 4.8% | 2.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Business Inventories MoM | USD | 0.5% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | USD | 35.0 | 35.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | USD | 0.6% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 15:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | USD | 61.0B | 45.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | Consumer Confidence | COP | 17.8% | 19.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 8-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.635% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 4-Week Bill Auction | USD | 3.63% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | USD | 6.49 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | USD | 5.82 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction | CAD | 3.783% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:30 | Fed Logan Speech | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Paraguay Consumer Confidence | 38.21 | 44.0 | Upcoming | ||||
| 21:30 | Fed Balance Sheet | USD | $6.736T | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 23:45 | Food Inflation YoY | NZD | 3.2% | 3.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 00:00 | Fed Jefferson Speech | USD | — | — | Upcoming |
- 01:00INR
Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY
- Previous
- 25.3%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00CLP
Our Lady of Mount Carmel
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:00KRW
Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 2.5%
- Forecast
- 2.75%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:00AUD
Consumer Inflation Expectations
- Previous
- 5.5%
- Forecast
- 5.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
52-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.1583%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30EUR
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 3.9%
- Forecast
- 4.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00
Jordan Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.83%
- Forecast
- 3.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00
Jordan Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.55%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
6-Month T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
GDP YoY
- Previous
- 1.2%
- Forecast
- 1.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Manufacturing Production YoY
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- 1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Construction Output YoY
- Previous
- -1.0%
- Forecast
- -1.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
GDP 3-Month Avg
- Previous
- 0.7%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- 0.0%
- Forecast
- -0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Goods Trade Balance
- Previous
- £-26.05B
- Forecast
- £-23.6B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- -0.2%
- Forecast
- 1.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- £-8.435B
- Forecast
- £-3.9B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
- Previous
- -13.05
- Forecast
- -9.6
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Manufacturing Production MoM
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- -0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
GDP MoM
- Previous
- -0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30HUF
Gross Wage YoY
- Previous
- 9.0
- Forecast
- 9.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:30CHF
SNB Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00TRY
Budget Balance
- Previous
- TRY-298.2B
- Forecast
- TRY-200.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30
Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- 15.5
- Forecast
- 16.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30
Angola M3 Money Supply YoY
- Previous
- 15.6%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
30-Year Obligacion Auction
- Previous
- 4.038%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
3-Year Bonos Auction
- Previous
- 2.772%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:40EUR
7-Year Obligacion Auction
- Previous
- 3.157%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00CNY
FDI (YTD) YoY
- Previous
- -8.6%
- Forecast
- -9.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00
Kyrgyzstan Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 11.0%
- Forecast
- 12.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00
Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 13.4
- Forecast
- 13.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- €-1.0B
- Forecast
- €-1.6B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
OAT Auction
- Previous
- 3.22%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00GBP
Treasury Gilt 2036 Auction
- Previous
- 4.858%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
2029 OAT Auction
- Previous
- 2.85%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
2031 OAT Auction
- Previous
- 3.03%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
2033 OAT Auction
- Previous
- 3.48%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30HUF
12-Month DTB Auction
- Previous
- 5.21%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
OATi Auction
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
OAT€i Auction
- Previous
- 1.79%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00ILS
GDP Growth Annualized
- Previous
- 2.9%
- Forecast
- -3.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
2053 OAT€i Auction
- Previous
- 2.04%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:30
Ghana PPI YoY
- Previous
- 5.8%
- Forecast
- 5.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00GBP
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00BRL
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- -1.5%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00BRL
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- 1.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00PLN
Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- 3.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:15
Belarus Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- -1.4
- Forecast
- 0.7
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:15CAD
Housing Starts
- Previous
- 261.4K
- Forecast
- 258.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-week Average
- Previous
- 218.75K
- Forecast
- 216.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
- Previous
- 10.3
- Forecast
- 13.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Philly Fed New Orders
- Previous
- 27.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Philly Fed CAPEX Index
- Previous
- 41.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Philly Fed Business Conditions
- Previous
- 50.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Retail Sales Control Group MoM
- Previous
- 0.7%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 6.9%
- Forecast
- 6.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
NY Fed Services Activity Index
- Previous
- -10.1
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 215.0K
- Forecast
- 217.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
- Previous
- 1814.0K
- Forecast
- 1820.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Philly Fed Prices Paid
- Previous
- 53.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
- Previous
- 0.8%
- Forecast
- -0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
- Previous
- 0.5
- Forecast
- 0.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Philly Fed Employment
- Previous
- 7.9
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Ecuador Balance of Trade
- Previous
- -283.91M
- Forecast
- -150.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Pending Home Sales MoM
- Previous
- 3.8%
- Forecast
- -0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Pending Home Sales YoY
- Previous
- 4.8%
- Forecast
- 2.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Business Inventories MoM
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
NAHB Housing Market Index
- Previous
- 35.0
- Forecast
- 35.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30USD
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
- Previous
- 61.0B
- Forecast
- 45.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00COP
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 17.8%
- Forecast
- 19.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.635%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.63%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00USD
30-Year Mortgage Rate
- Previous
- 6.49
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00USD
15-Year Mortgage Rate
- Previous
- 5.82
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00CAD
30-Year Bond Auction
- Previous
- 3.783%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:30USD
Fed Logan Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00
Paraguay Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 38.21
- Forecast
- 44.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:30USD
Fed Balance Sheet
- Previous
- $6.736T
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 23:45NZD
Food Inflation YoY
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 00:00USD
Fed Jefferson Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 02:15-05:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Context Window
Use this period to mark the overnight range, not to force trades.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcomingThe briefing is pre-London and the Asian session is the latest price action. London has not yet set the day’s main levels.
- 08:45-09:45 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Opening Range
Good for identifying the first real levels, but be careful before EUR data.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingLondon brings better liquidity after the Asian session. The 10:00 UK EUR release limits how aggressively EUR pairs should be traded late in this window.
- 09:55-10:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Balance of Trade release
Avoid new EUR trades until the first reaction settles.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe 10:00 UK EUR event is medium impact and lands shortly after the London open. It can disturb early EUR/USD levels.
- 10:15-12:15 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingPost-EUR Data Window
Best early window for EUR/USD and GBP/USD if price has confirmed a range break or rejection.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingThis window sits after the EUR Balance of Trade release and before the main USD risk. It avoids the largest scheduled data cluster.
- 13:25-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingClustered USD retail sales and jobless claims releases
Avoid new trades across USD pairs and Gold.
Volatility · HighRelated toUSD Retail Sales MoM · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Retail Sales Control Group MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales YoY · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingMultiple high-impact USD releases hit at the same time. Event clustering raises execution risk and can produce sharp first reactions.
- 13:50-14:50 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost-USD Reset
Use this only after the first USD reaction has settled.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThe 13:30 UK USD releases are the main risk point. This window allows time for the initial spike to pass before the 15:00 UK data.
- 14:55-15:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingClustered USD housing and inventory data
Watch the reaction and avoid marginal setups.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingSeveral medium-impact USD releases arrive together after the main data cluster. They can interrupt trades that have not already confirmed.
- 15:15-17:20 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon New York Overlap
Best later window if the 15:00 UK data has not disrupted the setup.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThis sits after the 15:00 UK USD data and before the 17:30 UK Fed Logan speech. Liquidity is usually stronger during the overlap.
- 17:25-17:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingFed Logan Speech
Protect open trades and avoid fresh late entries during the speech window.
Volatility · HighRelated toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe Fed speaker has no forecast or previous value, so the reaction cannot be prepared from data expectations. USD pairs and Gold need caution.
- 17:45-19:00 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLate Session Caution Window
Trade smaller and avoid holding weak setups after the Fed speech window.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toNew York SessionUpcomingFed Logan speaks at 17:30 UK, so waiting until after that window reduces speaker-related execution risk. Liquidity can fade later in the session.
- 23:55-00:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingFed Jefferson Speech
Avoid new trades in thin late liquidity.
Volatility · HighRelated toExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe speech is late in the UK day and carries medium USD impact. Thin liquidity can make reactions less reliable.
Today's Guidance
Build the day around the calendar: mark the London range, avoid the USD release spike, and only trade after price closes beyond a level or clearly rejects it.
Alternative scenario
If the 13:30 UK USD data cluster produces a move that holds after the first reaction and respects a clear retest.
The day can shift from defensive news handling to cleaner trend or breakout trading during the London/New York overlap.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
- Step 01Upcoming
London direction is not set yet, so let the open show the first real levels.
- Step 02Upcoming
Treat EUR pairs carefully around the European data window.
- Step 03Upcoming
Avoid fresh trades into the clustered USD releases.
Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
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