Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentUpdated —

Trading Plan view

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

Cleanest setups are likely after London defines early levels and after the major data cluster settles. The main caution is the packed risk window, so patience matters.

Today’s Events

All times UK time

Time	Event	CCY	Dangerous Window	Better Window
01:00	Egypt Republic Day		—	—
01:00	Tisha B'Av	ILS	—	—
01:00	Papua New Guinea National Remembrance Day		—	—
02:30	Unemployment Rate	AUD	02:20 – 02:50	02:50 onwards
02:30	Full Time Employment Chg	AUD	02:25 – 02:45	02:45 onwards
02:30	Employment Change	AUD	02:20 – 02:50	02:50 onwards
02:30	Part Time Employment Chg	AUD	—	—
02:30	Participation Rate	AUD	—	—
04:30	M2 Money Supply YoY	IDR	—	—
04:35	BoJ JGB Purchase	JPY	—	—
05:00	New Car Registrations YoY	EUR	04:55 – 05:15	05:15 onwards
05:30	Consumer Confidence	EUR	05:25 – 05:45	05:45 onwards
06:00	Core Inflation Rate YoY	SGD	—	—
06:00	1-Year T-Bill Auction	SGD	—	—
06:00	Inflation Rate MoM	SGD	—	—
06:00	Inflation Rate YoY	SGD	—	—
07:00	Consumer Confidence	DKK	—	—
07:45	Business Confidence	EUR	07:40 – 08:00	08:00 onwards
07:45	Business Climate Indicator	EUR	—	—
08:00	Consumer Confidence	TRY	07:55 – 08:15	08:15 onwards
08:30	Unemployment Rate	PLN	08:25 – 08:45	08:45 onwards
09:00	Palestine Balance of Trade		—	—
09:00	Budget Balance	PHP	—	—
09:00	Retail Sales YoY	TWD	—	—
09:00	Industrial Production YoY	TWD	—	—
09:20	M2 Money Supply YoY	TWD	—	—
09:30	Consumer Confidence	EUR	—	—
10:00	FDI (YTD) YoY	CNY	09:55 – 10:15	10:15 onwards
10:00	Iceland PPI MoM		—	—
10:00	Iceland Inflation Rate YoY		—	—
10:00	Iceland Inflation Rate MoM		—	—
10:00	Iceland PPI YoY		—	—
10:00	Conventional Gilt	GBP	—	—
10:30	10-Year Bond Auction	HUF	—	—
10:30	5-Year Bond Auction	HUF	—	—
10:30	3-Year Bond Auction	HUF	—	—
11:00	Kosovo Balance of Trade		—	—
11:00	CBI Industrial Trends Orders	GBP	10:55 – 11:15	11:15 onwards
11:00	CBI Business Optimism Index	GBP	10:55 – 11:15	11:15 onwards
12:00	CFIB Business Barometer	CAD	—	—
12:00	Overnight Borrowing Rate	TRY	—	—
12:00	Overnight Lending Rate	TRY	—	—
12:00	TCMB Interest Rate Decision	TRY	11:55 – 12:15	12:15 onwards
12:10	El Salvador Balance of Trade		—	—
12:30	Foreign Exchange Reserves	TRY	—	—
13:00	Economic Activity YoY	MXN	—	—
13:00	Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY	MXN	—	—
13:00	Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM	MXN	—	—
13:00	Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM	MXN	—	—
13:00	Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY	MXN	—	—
13:00	Economic Activity MoM	MXN	—	—
13:15	ECB Interest Rate Decision	EUR	13:05 – 13:35	13:35 onwards
13:15	Marginal Lending Rate	EUR	—	—
13:15	Deposit Facility Rate	EUR	13:05 – 13:35	13:35 onwards
13:30	Building Permits YoY	ZAR	—	—
13:30	Retail Sales MoM	CAD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards
13:30	Retail Sales YoY	CAD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards
13:30	Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM	CAD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards
13:30	Jobless Claims 4-week Average	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards
13:30	Chicago Fed National Activity Index	USD	13:25 – 13:45	13:45 onwards
13:30	Initial Jobless Claims	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards
13:30	Continuing Jobless Claims	USD	13:20 – 13:50	13:50 onwards
13:45	ECB Press Conference	EUR	13:40 – 14:00	14:00 onwards
14:00	Interest Rate Decision	ZAR	—	—
14:00	Prime Overdraft Rate	ZAR	—	—
15:00	Consumer Confidence	EUR	14:55 – 15:15	15:15 onwards
15:30	EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change	USD	—	—
16:00	Consumer Confidence	ARS	—	—
16:30	8-Week Bill Auction	USD	—	—
16:30	4-Week Bill Auction	USD	—	—
17:00	30-Year Mortgage Rate	USD	—	—
17:00	15-Year Mortgage Rate	USD	—	—
18:00	10-Year TIPS Auction	USD	—	—
20:00	Retail Sales YoY	ARS	—	—
20:00	Paraguay PPI YoY		—	—
20:00	Paraguay Interest Rate Decision		—	—
21:30	Fed Balance Sheet	USD	—	—
00:01	Gfk Consumer Confidence	GBP	23:56 – 00:16	00:16 onwards
00:30	Inflation Rate YoY	JPY	00:20 – 00:50	00:50 onwards
00:30	Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY	JPY	—	—
00:30	Inflation Rate MoM	JPY	—	—
00:30	Core Inflation Rate YoY	JPY	00:25 – 00:45	00:45 onwards
00:50	Stock Investment by Foreigners	JPY	—	—
00:50	Foreign Bond Investment	JPY	—	—

01:00
Egypt Republic Day
01:00ILS
Tisha B'Av
01:00
Papua New Guinea National Remembrance Day
02:30AUD
Unemployment Rate
Dangerous
02:20 – 02:50
Better
02:50 onwards
02:30AUD
Full Time Employment Chg
Dangerous
02:25 – 02:45
Better
02:45 onwards
02:30AUD
Employment Change
Dangerous
02:20 – 02:50
Better
02:50 onwards
02:30AUD
Part Time Employment Chg
02:30AUD
Participation Rate
04:30IDR
M2 Money Supply YoY
04:35JPY
BoJ JGB Purchase
05:00EUR
New Car Registrations YoY
Dangerous
04:55 – 05:15
Better
05:15 onwards
05:30EUR
Consumer Confidence
Dangerous
05:25 – 05:45
Better
05:45 onwards
06:00SGD
Core Inflation Rate YoY
06:00SGD
1-Year T-Bill Auction
06:00SGD
Inflation Rate MoM
06:00SGD
Inflation Rate YoY
07:00DKK
Consumer Confidence
07:45EUR
Business Confidence
Dangerous
07:40 – 08:00
Better
08:00 onwards
07:45EUR
Business Climate Indicator
08:00TRY
Consumer Confidence
Dangerous
07:55 – 08:15
Better
08:15 onwards
08:30PLN
Unemployment Rate
Dangerous
08:25 – 08:45
Better
08:45 onwards
09:00
Palestine Balance of Trade
09:00PHP
Budget Balance
09:00TWD
Retail Sales YoY
09:00TWD
Industrial Production YoY
09:20TWD
M2 Money Supply YoY
09:30EUR
Consumer Confidence
10:00CNY
FDI (YTD) YoY
Dangerous
09:55 – 10:15
Better
10:15 onwards
10:00
Iceland PPI MoM
10:00
Iceland Inflation Rate YoY
10:00
Iceland Inflation Rate MoM
10:00
Iceland PPI YoY
10:00GBP
Conventional Gilt
10:30HUF
10-Year Bond Auction
10:30HUF
5-Year Bond Auction
10:30HUF
3-Year Bond Auction
11:00
Kosovo Balance of Trade
11:00GBP
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
Dangerous
10:55 – 11:15
Better
11:15 onwards
11:00GBP
CBI Business Optimism Index
Dangerous
10:55 – 11:15
Better
11:15 onwards
12:00CAD
CFIB Business Barometer
12:00TRY
Overnight Borrowing Rate
12:00TRY
Overnight Lending Rate
12:00TRY
TCMB Interest Rate Decision
Dangerous
11:55 – 12:15
Better
12:15 onwards
12:10
El Salvador Balance of Trade
12:30TRY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
13:00MXN
Economic Activity YoY
13:00MXN
Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY
13:00MXN
Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM
13:00MXN
Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM
13:00MXN
Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY
13:00MXN
Economic Activity MoM
13:15EUR
ECB Interest Rate Decision
Dangerous
13:05 – 13:35
Better
13:35 onwards
13:15EUR
Marginal Lending Rate
13:15EUR
Deposit Facility Rate
Dangerous
13:05 – 13:35
Better
13:35 onwards
13:30ZAR
Building Permits YoY
13:30CAD
Retail Sales MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
13:30CAD
Retail Sales YoY
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
13:30CAD
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-week Average
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
13:30USD
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Dangerous
13:25 – 13:45
Better
13:45 onwards
13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
Dangerous
13:20 – 13:50
Better
13:50 onwards
13:45EUR
ECB Press Conference
Dangerous
13:40 – 14:00
Better
14:00 onwards
14:00ZAR
Interest Rate Decision
14:00ZAR
Prime Overdraft Rate
15:00EUR
Consumer Confidence
Dangerous
14:55 – 15:15
Better
15:15 onwards
15:30USD
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
16:00ARS
Consumer Confidence
16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
17:00USD
30-Year Mortgage Rate
17:00USD
15-Year Mortgage Rate
18:00USD
10-Year TIPS Auction
20:00ARS
Retail Sales YoY
20:00
Paraguay PPI YoY
20:00
Paraguay Interest Rate Decision
21:30USD
Fed Balance Sheet
00:01GBP
Gfk Consumer Confidence
Dangerous
23:56 – 00:16
Better
00:16 onwards
00:30JPY
Inflation Rate YoY
Dangerous
00:20 – 00:50
Better
00:50 onwards
00:30JPY
Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY
00:30JPY
Inflation Rate MoM
00:30JPY
Core Inflation Rate YoY
Dangerous
00:25 – 00:45
Better
00:45 onwards
00:50JPY
Stock Investment by Foreigners
00:50JPY
Foreign Bond Investment

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

00:00-07:00 UK
—
Best WindowUpcoming
Asian Session Context
Use this only to mark the range and recent reaction levels.
Volatility · Quiet
Correlated withAUD Unemployment Rate · 02:30AUD Employment Change · 02:30Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
The briefing is before the London open, so Asian price action is the latest reference point. Liquidity is usually thinner than London, and direction for the European session is not established yet.
13:05-14:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
ECB rate decision, US jobless claims data, and ECB press conference
Avoid new trades and wait for the reaction to settle.
Volatility · High
Correlated withEUR ECB Interest Rate Decision · 13:15EUR Deposit Facility Rate · 13:15CAD Retail Sales MoM · 13:30CAD Retail Sales YoY · 13:30CAD Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30EUR ECB Press Conference · 13:45London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
The calendar has several high-impact EUR and USD events within a short window, followed by the ECB press conference. This is the main execution-risk period for EUR/USD, Gold, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY.
14:15-14:55 UK
—
Best WindowUpcoming
Post-Cluster Reset
Look for settled reactions only; avoid the 15:00 UK EUR release.
Volatility · Moderate
Correlated withLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
This starts after the ECB decision, US data stack, and initial press conference risk. The 15:00 UK EUR consumer confidence release limits how long this window stays clean.

Today's Guidance

Do not trade the first spike after major releases; wait for a full candle to close and for price to hold beyond or reject a level before entering. Use smaller size if the setup forms inside a choppy range.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Step 01Upcoming
Treat early EUR moves as provisional until London accepts or rejects them.
Step 02Upcoming
Keep EUR/USD and Gold on event-risk rules around the ECB and US data cluster.
Step 03Upcoming
Avoid chasing the first reaction around 13:15-13:45 UK.
Step 04Upcoming
For GBP/USD and USD/JPY, let the dollar reaction settle before taking signals.
Step 05Upcoming
Brent has less direct calendar risk today, so keep expectations modest.