Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentUpdated —

Trading Plan view

Today's Outlook

Patient Trading Day

Key EUR data at 08:00 and 09:00 UK, then USD data at 13:30 and 15:00 UK, make patience the edge; the cleanest opportunities are likely after London and New York reactions are confirmed. Scheduled news does not predict direction, so avoid jumping into spikes and wait for price to settle.

Today’s Events

All times UK time

Time	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast
01:00	Iran Arbaeen		—	—
02:30	Household Spending YoY	AUD	5.5%	5.1%
02:30	Household Spending MoM	AUD	1.2%	0.2%
03:00	Morocco Unemployment Rate		10.8%	11.2%
03:30	30-Year KTB Auction	KRW	4.37%	—
03:35	1-Year Bill Auction	NZD	3.39%	—
03:35	3-Month Bill Auction	NZD	2.78%	—
03:35	6-Month Bill Auction	NZD	2.99%	—
04:35	10-Year JGB Auction	JPY	2.729%	—
06:00	MAS 4-Week Bill Auction	SGD	1.46%	—
06:00	MAS 12-Week Bill Auction	SGD	1.56%	—
06:00	MAS 36-Week Bill Auction	SGD	1.55%	—
07:00	Romania PPI YoY		12.05%	11.4%
07:30	Commodity Prices YoY	AUD	16.9%	15.0%
07:45	Budget Balance	EUR	€-93.3B	€-104.0B
08:00	Unemployment Change	EUR	-28.7K	-20.3K
09:00	Jordan PPI YoY		6.6%	6.4%
09:00	Armenia Interest Rate Decision		6.5%	6.5%
09:00	IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM	BRL	0.18%	0.4%
09:00	Retail Sales YoY	EUR	2.2	1.4
09:00	Retail Sales MoM	EUR	0.2%	0.1%
09:30	Retail Sales YoY	HKD	4.8%	3.4%
09:30	Balance of Trade	EUR	-1154.1	-780.0
09:40	12-Month Letras Auction	EUR	2.5%	—
09:40	6-Month Letras Auction	EUR	2.385%	—
10:00	RAGB Auction	EUR	2.885%	—
10:00	Conventional Gilt	GBP	—	—
10:05	T-Bill Auction	SEK	1.8429%	—
10:05	314-Day T-Bill Auction	SEK	—	—
10:30	2-Year Schatz Auction	EUR	2.77%	—
10:30	3-Month DTB Auction	HUF	5.34%	—
10:30	Weekly Bond Auction	ZAR	8.863%	—
10:30	2044 Bond Auction	ZAR	8.821%	—
10:30	2040 Bond Auction	ZAR	9.047%	—
11:00	Long TC Auction	EUR	2.564%	—
11:00	Medium TC Auction	EUR	2.448%	—
11:00	Short TC Auction	EUR	2.362%	—
11:00	Industrial Production MoM	EUR	0.4%	-0.6%
11:00	Industrial Production YoY	EUR	6.2%	5.5%
11:00	LMI Logistics Managers Index	USD	71.1	—
13:00	Industrial Production YoY	BRL	0.2%	3.0%
13:00	Industrial Production MoM	BRL	-0.2%	-0.7%
13:00	Consumer Confidence	MXN	43.8	44.1
13:30	Exports	CAD	C$77.1B	C$75.0B
13:30	Balance of Trade	CAD	C$4.24B	C$3.0B
13:30	Imports	CAD	C$72.86B	C$70.2B
13:30	Balance of Trade	USD	$-77.6B	$-73.0B
13:30	Imports	USD	$395.3B	$385.0B
13:30	Exports	USD	$317.7B	$312.0B
13:55	Redbook YoY	USD	8.3	—
14:00	Global Dairy Trade Price Index	NZD	1.5	—
14:20	NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months	USD	—	5.179
15:00	JOLTs Job Quits	USD	3.065M	3.05M
15:00	Factory Orders ex Transportation	USD	1.9	0.5
15:00	RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index	USD	45.5	47.5
15:00	Factory Orders MoM	USD	-1.3%	0.2%
15:00	JOLTs Job Openings	USD	7.594M	7.45M
16:00	Exports YoY	COP	19.2%	12.0%
16:00	Foreign Exchange Reserves	DKK	DKK699.3B	DKK700.0B
16:30	52-Week Bill Auction	USD	3.86%	—
16:30	6-Week Bill Auction	USD	3.7%	—
17:00	New Car Registrations YoY	EUR	11.4%	6.2%
21:30	API Crude Oil Stock Change	USD	3.296	—
22:00	Foreign Exchange Reserves	KRW	$427.4B	—
23:45	Labour Costs Index QoQ	NZD	0.5%	0.6%
23:45	Employment Change QoQ	NZD	0.2%	0.1%
23:45	Participation Rate	NZD	70.4%	70.3%
23:45	Labour Costs Index YoY	NZD	2.0%	1.9%
23:45	Unemployment Rate	NZD	5.3%	5.4%
00:00	Ai Group Industry Index	AUD	-30.0	-27.0
00:00	Ai Group Manufacturing Index	AUD	-16.8	-14.0
00:00	Ai Group Construction Index	AUD	-38.1	-36.0
00:30	Overtime Pay YoY	JPY	2.9%	3.1%
00:30	Average Cash Earnings YoY	JPY	3.2%	3.4%
00:50	BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes	JPY	—	—

01:00
Iran Arbaeen
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Household Spending YoY
Previous
5.5%
Forecast
5.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Household Spending MoM
Previous
1.2%
Forecast
0.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
03:00
Morocco Unemployment Rate
Previous
10.8%
Forecast
11.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
03:30KRW
30-Year KTB Auction
Previous
4.37%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
03:35NZD
1-Year Bill Auction
Previous
3.39%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
03:35NZD
3-Month Bill Auction
Previous
2.78%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
03:35NZD
6-Month Bill Auction
Previous
2.99%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
04:35JPY
10-Year JGB Auction
Previous
2.729%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
06:00SGD
MAS 4-Week Bill Auction
Previous
1.46%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
06:00SGD
MAS 12-Week Bill Auction
Previous
1.56%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
06:00SGD
MAS 36-Week Bill Auction
Previous
1.55%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00
Romania PPI YoY
Previous
12.05%
Forecast
11.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:30AUD
Commodity Prices YoY
Previous
16.9%
Forecast
15.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:45EUR
Budget Balance
Previous
€-93.3B
Forecast
€-104.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00EUR
Unemployment Change
Previous
-28.7K
Forecast
-20.3K
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00
Jordan PPI YoY
Previous
6.6%
Forecast
6.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00
Armenia Interest Rate Decision
Previous
6.5%
Forecast
6.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00BRL
IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM
Previous
0.18%
Forecast
0.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
Previous
2.2
Forecast
1.4
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
Previous
0.2%
Forecast
0.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:30HKD
Retail Sales YoY
Previous
4.8%
Forecast
3.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:30EUR
Balance of Trade
Previous
-1154.1
Forecast
-780.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:40EUR
12-Month Letras Auction
Previous
2.5%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:40EUR
6-Month Letras Auction
Previous
2.385%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
RAGB Auction
Previous
2.885%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00GBP
Conventional Gilt
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:05SEK
T-Bill Auction
Previous
1.8429%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:05SEK
314-Day T-Bill Auction
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30EUR
2-Year Schatz Auction
Previous
2.77%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30HUF
3-Month DTB Auction
Previous
5.34%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30ZAR
Weekly Bond Auction
Previous
8.863%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30ZAR
2044 Bond Auction
Previous
8.821%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30ZAR
2040 Bond Auction
Previous
9.047%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00EUR
Long TC Auction
Previous
2.564%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00EUR
Medium TC Auction
Previous
2.448%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00EUR
Short TC Auction
Previous
2.362%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00EUR
Industrial Production MoM
Previous
0.4%
Forecast
-0.6%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
6.2%
Forecast
5.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00USD
LMI Logistics Managers Index
Previous
71.1
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:00BRL
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
0.2%
Forecast
3.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:00BRL
Industrial Production MoM
Previous
-0.2%
Forecast
-0.7%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:00MXN
Consumer Confidence
Previous
43.8
Forecast
44.1
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30CAD
Exports
Previous
C$77.1B
Forecast
C$75.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30CAD
Balance of Trade
Previous
C$4.24B
Forecast
C$3.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30CAD
Imports
Previous
C$72.86B
Forecast
C$70.2B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Balance of Trade
Previous
$-77.6B
Forecast
$-73.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Imports
Previous
$395.3B
Forecast
$385.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Exports
Previous
$317.7B
Forecast
$312.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:55USD
Redbook YoY
Previous
8.3
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
14:00NZD
Global Dairy Trade Price Index
Previous
1.5
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
14:20USD
NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months
Previous
—
Forecast
5.179
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00USD
JOLTs Job Quits
Previous
3.065M
Forecast
3.05M
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00USD
Factory Orders ex Transportation
Previous
1.9
Forecast
0.5
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00USD
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
Previous
45.5
Forecast
47.5
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00USD
Factory Orders MoM
Previous
-1.3%
Forecast
0.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00USD
JOLTs Job Openings
Previous
7.594M
Forecast
7.45M
Actual / Status
Upcoming
16:00COP
Exports YoY
Previous
19.2%
Forecast
12.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
16:00DKK
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Previous
DKK699.3B
Forecast
DKK700.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
16:30USD
52-Week Bill Auction
Previous
3.86%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
16:30USD
6-Week Bill Auction
Previous
3.7%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
17:00EUR
New Car Registrations YoY
Previous
11.4%
Forecast
6.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
21:30USD
API Crude Oil Stock Change
Previous
3.296
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
22:00KRW
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Previous
$427.4B
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
23:45NZD
Labour Costs Index QoQ
Previous
0.5%
Forecast
0.6%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
23:45NZD
Employment Change QoQ
Previous
0.2%
Forecast
0.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
23:45NZD
Participation Rate
Previous
70.4%
Forecast
70.3%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
23:45NZD
Labour Costs Index YoY
Previous
2.0%
Forecast
1.9%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
23:45NZD
Unemployment Rate
Previous
5.3%
Forecast
5.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:00AUD
Ai Group Industry Index
Previous
-30.0
Forecast
-27.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:00AUD
Ai Group Manufacturing Index
Previous
-16.8
Forecast
-14.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:00AUD
Ai Group Construction Index
Previous
-38.1
Forecast
-36.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:30JPY
Overtime Pay YoY
Previous
2.9%
Forecast
3.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:30JPY
Average Cash Earnings YoY
Previous
3.2%
Forecast
3.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:50JPY
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

13:25-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
USD Balance of Trade, Imports, and Exports at 13:30 UK
Watch the reaction; avoid rushing USD-sensitive trades.
Volatility · High
Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Three Medium-impact USD releases land together. The stack can affect USD pairs and Gold even though the events are not all High impact.
14:55-15:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
USD JOLTs Job Openings and Factory Orders at 15:00 UK
Avoid trading the first reaction in USD pairs and Gold.
Volatility · High
Related toUSD JOLTs Job Openings · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
JOLTs is High impact and is released alongside Medium-impact Factory Orders. The cluster sits in the active New York part of the day.
15:20-16:30 UK
—
Best WindowUpcoming
Post-JOLTs Overlap
This is the cleanest New York window if price has confirmed a level after the 15:00 UK release.
Volatility · Moderate
Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
The 15:00 UK high-impact JOLTs release has passed by this window, and London/New York overlap can provide better liquidity. It avoids the release minutes themselves.

Today's Guidance

Avoid entries in the minutes around the main releases. After each release, wait for price to close beyond a level or reject it clearly before trading; do not enter on the first spike.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Step 01Upcoming
Treat the London open as the first real test of the Asian session range.
Step 02Upcoming
Keep EUR pairs on hold around the two morning EUR releases.
Step 03Upcoming
Expect USD pairs and Gold to become more sensitive from 13:30 UK onward.
Step 04Upcoming
Use the London/New York overlap only after the scheduled data reaction is clear.
Step 05Upcoming
Brent has its own late risk from the API crude oil stock release.