Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentUpdated —

Trading Plan view

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

Key risk sits at 10:00 for EUR retail sales and 13:30 for USD labour data, so the cleanest trades are likely after London marks clear levels or after the first news reaction calms down. Scheduled news does not tell you whether price will rise or fall; avoid the first spike and wait for price to confirm.

Today’s Events

All times UK time

Time	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast
01:00	Bolivia Bolivian Independence Day		—	—
01:00	El Salvador Celebrations of San Salvador		—	—
01:00	Jamaica Independence Day		—	—
02:00	Unemployment Rate	PHP	4.8%	4.5%
02:00	Industrial Production YoY	PHP	12.5%	10.0%
02:30	Imports MoM	AUD	0.9%	—
02:30	Exports MoM	AUD	-7.6%	—
02:30	Balance of Trade	AUD	A$-2.367B	A$-1.1B
02:30	Private House Approvals MoM	AUD	2.4%	0.4%
02:30	Building Permits YoY	AUD	5.5%	8.9%
02:30	Building Permits MoM	AUD	-1.6%	7.2%
04:35	30-Year JGB Auction	JPY	3.993%	—
04:35	6-Month Bill Auction	JPY	1.0118%	—
05:30	Household Consumption YoY	EUR	2.2%	1.8%
07:00	Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY		4.6%	2.4%
07:00	Factory Orders MoM	EUR	1.9%	0.3%
07:00	Romania Retail Sales MoM		1.3	0.6
07:00	Romania Retail Sales YoY		-4.7	-1.2
07:00	Inflation Rate MoM	SEK	0.4%	-0.5%
07:00	CPIF MoM	SEK	0.3%	-0.5%
07:00	CPIF YoY	SEK	1.3%	0.6%
07:00	House Price Index MoM	SEK	2.0%	1.0%
07:00	Inflation Rate YoY	SEK	0.7%	0.1%
07:30	Retail Sales YoY	HUF	4.8	3.8
07:30	Industrial Production YoY	HUF	-0.4%	-0.7%
07:45	Private Non Farm Payrolls QoQ	EUR	-0.1%	-0.1%
08:00	Wholesale Prices YoY	EUR	5.4%	5.4%
08:00	Wholesale Prices MoM	EUR	-0.7%	0.2%
08:00	Industrial Production MoM	CZK	-0.4%	-0.6%
08:00	Construction Output YoY	CZK	4.4%	3.9%
08:00	Balance of Trade	CZK	CZK9.9B	CZK17.0B
08:00	Industrial Production YoY	CZK	2.0%	2.1%
08:00	Retail Sales YoY	EUR	0.9	0.2
08:00	Retail Sales MoM	EUR	0.1	0.2
08:00	Industrial Production YoY	EUR	3.4	2.5
08:00	Unemployment Rate	CHF	2.9	2.9
09:00	Jordan PPI YoY		6.6%	6.4%
09:00	Industrial Production MoM	EUR	-0.3%	0.3%
09:00	Industrial Production YoY	EUR	1.1%	1.0%
09:00	Inflation Rate MoM	TWD	0.21%	0.2%
09:00	Inflation Rate YoY	TWD	2.6%	2.4%
09:40	Bonos y Obligaciones Auction	EUR	1.492%	—
09:40	10-Year Obligacion Auction	EUR	3.395%	—
09:40	5-Year Bonos Auction	EUR	2.835%	—
09:40	7-Year Obligacion Auction	EUR	3.297%	—
10:00	Inflation Rate MoM	EUR	0.25%	0.5%
10:00	Inflation Rate YoY	EUR	3.06%	3.3%
10:00	Retail Sales YoY	EUR	1.6%	1.0%
10:00	Retail Sales MoM	EUR	0.2%	0.1%
10:00	OAT Auction	EUR	—	—
10:00	2036 OAT Auction	EUR	3.73%	—
10:00	2044 OAT Auction	EUR	4.24%	—
10:30	3-Year Bond Auction	HUF	5.48%	—
10:30	5-Year Bond Auction	HUF	5.14%	—
10:30	10-Year Bond Auction	HUF	5.56%	—
10:30	Uganda Business Confidence		54.4	56.0
10:30	Uganda Balance of Trade		-323.6	-450.0
10:30	Challenger Job Cuts	USD	45.849K	59.0K
11:00	Ghana Inflation Rate YoY		5.3%	5.6%
11:00	Unemployment Rate	EUR	5.0%	5.1%
11:00	Tourist Arrivals YoY	ILS	48.1	—
11:00	Business Confidence	ILS	16.9	17.0
11:30	Foreign Exchange Reserves	ILS	$238.699B	—
12:00	Moldova Interest Rate Decision		7.0%	7.25%
12:30	Foreign Exchange Reserves	TRY	62.396	—
13:30	CNB Interest Rate Decision	CZK	3.75%	3.75%
13:30	Jobless Claims 4-week Average	USD	202.75K	198.0K
13:30	Nonfarm Productivity QoQ	USD	0.3%	0.6%
13:30	Unit Labour Costs QoQ	USD	1.8%	2.1%
13:30	Continuing Jobless Claims	USD	1782.0K	1790.0K
13:30	Initial Jobless Claims	USD	197.0K	202.0K
14:20	NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months	USD	—	3.453
15:00	Wholesale Inventories MoM	USD	0.3%	0.3%
15:00	World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index		1.25	—
15:30	EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change	USD	28.0B	30.0B
16:30	4-Week Bill Auction	USD	3.63%	—
16:30	8-Week Bill Auction	USD	3.675%	—
17:00	New Car Registrations YoY	EUR	11.4%	6.2%
17:00	30-Year Mortgage Rate	USD	6.66	—
17:00	15-Year Mortgage Rate	USD	6.04	—
17:00	10-Year Bond Auction	CAD	3.622%	—
19:00	Balance of Trade	BRL	$9.76B	$8.4B
20:00	PPI YoY	COP	3.3%	3.4%
20:00	Interest Rate Decision	MXN	6.5%	6.5%
21:30	Fed Balance Sheet	USD	$6.738T	—
22:30	Fed Musalem Speech	USD	—	—
00:30	Household Spending YoY	JPY	-0.4%	1.0%
00:30	Household Spending MoM	JPY	3.7%	-3.1%
00:50	Foreign Exchange Reserves	JPY	$1287.5B	—

01:00
Bolivia Bolivian Independence Day
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
01:00
El Salvador Celebrations of San Salvador
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
01:00
Jamaica Independence Day
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:00PHP
Unemployment Rate
Previous
4.8%
Forecast
4.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:00PHP
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
12.5%
Forecast
10.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Imports MoM
Previous
0.9%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Exports MoM
Previous
-7.6%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Balance of Trade
Previous
A$-2.367B
Forecast
A$-1.1B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Private House Approvals MoM
Previous
2.4%
Forecast
0.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Building Permits YoY
Previous
5.5%
Forecast
8.9%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
02:30AUD
Building Permits MoM
Previous
-1.6%
Forecast
7.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
04:35JPY
30-Year JGB Auction
Previous
3.993%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
04:35JPY
6-Month Bill Auction
Previous
1.0118%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
05:30EUR
Household Consumption YoY
Previous
2.2%
Forecast
1.8%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00
Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY
Previous
4.6%
Forecast
2.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00EUR
Factory Orders MoM
Previous
1.9%
Forecast
0.3%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00
Romania Retail Sales MoM
Previous
1.3
Forecast
0.6
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00
Romania Retail Sales YoY
Previous
-4.7
Forecast
-1.2
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00SEK
Inflation Rate MoM
Previous
0.4%
Forecast
-0.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00SEK
CPIF MoM
Previous
0.3%
Forecast
-0.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00SEK
CPIF YoY
Previous
1.3%
Forecast
0.6%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00SEK
House Price Index MoM
Previous
2.0%
Forecast
1.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:00SEK
Inflation Rate YoY
Previous
0.7%
Forecast
0.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:30HUF
Retail Sales YoY
Previous
4.8
Forecast
3.8
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:30HUF
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
-0.4%
Forecast
-0.7%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
07:45EUR
Private Non Farm Payrolls QoQ
Previous
-0.1%
Forecast
-0.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00EUR
Wholesale Prices YoY
Previous
5.4%
Forecast
5.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00EUR
Wholesale Prices MoM
Previous
-0.7%
Forecast
0.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00CZK
Industrial Production MoM
Previous
-0.4%
Forecast
-0.6%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00CZK
Construction Output YoY
Previous
4.4%
Forecast
3.9%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00CZK
Balance of Trade
Previous
CZK9.9B
Forecast
CZK17.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00CZK
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
2.0%
Forecast
2.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
Previous
0.9
Forecast
0.2
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
Previous
0.1
Forecast
0.2
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
3.4
Forecast
2.5
Actual / Status
Upcoming
08:00CHF
Unemployment Rate
Previous
2.9
Forecast
2.9
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00
Jordan PPI YoY
Previous
6.6%
Forecast
6.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00EUR
Industrial Production MoM
Previous
-0.3%
Forecast
0.3%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
Previous
1.1%
Forecast
1.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00TWD
Inflation Rate MoM
Previous
0.21%
Forecast
0.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:00TWD
Inflation Rate YoY
Previous
2.6%
Forecast
2.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:40EUR
Bonos y Obligaciones Auction
Previous
1.492%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:40EUR
10-Year Obligacion Auction
Previous
3.395%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:40EUR
5-Year Bonos Auction
Previous
2.835%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
09:40EUR
7-Year Obligacion Auction
Previous
3.297%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
Inflation Rate MoM
Previous
0.25%
Forecast
0.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
Inflation Rate YoY
Previous
3.06%
Forecast
3.3%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
Previous
1.6%
Forecast
1.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
Previous
0.2%
Forecast
0.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
OAT Auction
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
2036 OAT Auction
Previous
3.73%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:00EUR
2044 OAT Auction
Previous
4.24%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30HUF
3-Year Bond Auction
Previous
5.48%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30HUF
5-Year Bond Auction
Previous
5.14%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30HUF
10-Year Bond Auction
Previous
5.56%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30
Uganda Business Confidence
Previous
54.4
Forecast
56.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30
Uganda Balance of Trade
Previous
-323.6
Forecast
-450.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
10:30USD
Challenger Job Cuts
Previous
45.849K
Forecast
59.0K
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00
Ghana Inflation Rate YoY
Previous
5.3%
Forecast
5.6%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00EUR
Unemployment Rate
Previous
5.0%
Forecast
5.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00ILS
Tourist Arrivals YoY
Previous
48.1
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:00ILS
Business Confidence
Previous
16.9
Forecast
17.0
Actual / Status
Upcoming
11:30ILS
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Previous
$238.699B
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
12:00
Moldova Interest Rate Decision
Previous
7.0%
Forecast
7.25%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
12:30TRY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Previous
62.396
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30CZK
CNB Interest Rate Decision
Previous
3.75%
Forecast
3.75%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Jobless Claims 4-week Average
Previous
202.75K
Forecast
198.0K
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ
Previous
0.3%
Forecast
0.6%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Unit Labour Costs QoQ
Previous
1.8%
Forecast
2.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Continuing Jobless Claims
Previous
1782.0K
Forecast
1790.0K
Actual / Status
Upcoming
13:30USD
Initial Jobless Claims
Previous
197.0K
Forecast
202.0K
Actual / Status
Upcoming
14:20USD
NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months
Previous
—
Forecast
3.453
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00USD
Wholesale Inventories MoM
Previous
0.3%
Forecast
0.3%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:00
World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index
Previous
1.25
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
15:30USD
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change
Previous
28.0B
Forecast
30.0B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
16:30USD
4-Week Bill Auction
Previous
3.63%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
16:30USD
8-Week Bill Auction
Previous
3.675%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
17:00EUR
New Car Registrations YoY
Previous
11.4%
Forecast
6.2%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
17:00USD
30-Year Mortgage Rate
Previous
6.66
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
17:00USD
15-Year Mortgage Rate
Previous
6.04
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
17:00CAD
10-Year Bond Auction
Previous
3.622%
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
19:00BRL
Balance of Trade
Previous
$9.76B
Forecast
$8.4B
Actual / Status
Upcoming
20:00COP
PPI YoY
Previous
3.3%
Forecast
3.4%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
20:00MXN
Interest Rate Decision
Previous
6.5%
Forecast
6.5%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
21:30USD
Fed Balance Sheet
Previous
$6.738T
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
22:30USD
Fed Musalem Speech
Previous
—
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:30JPY
Household Spending YoY
Previous
-0.4%
Forecast
1.0%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:30JPY
Household Spending MoM
Previous
3.7%
Forecast
-3.1%
Actual / Status
Upcoming
00:50JPY
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Previous
$1287.5B
Forecast
—
Actual / Status
Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

09:55-10:20 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
EUR Retail Sales YoY and MoM high-impact cluster at 10:00 UK.
Avoid new EUR trades through the release and wait for the reaction to slow.
Volatility · High
Related toEUR Retail Sales YoY · 10:00EUR Retail Sales MoM · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Two high-impact EUR releases arrive at the same time. Event clustering raises execution risk around EUR/USD.
13:25-13:55 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcoming
USD claims, productivity and labour-cost data cluster at 13:30 UK.
Avoid new USD-linked trades until the first reaction has calmed.
Volatility · High
Related toUSD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
The calendar shows five USD releases at the same time, including three high-impact labour-market items. This is the main cross-market risk window for USD pairs and Gold.

Today's Guidance

Mark London’s early high and low, then wait for a candle to close beyond a level before entering; around the 10:00 and 13:30 releases, stay out until the first sharp move has calmed.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Step 01Upcoming
London open is the first real test after Asian price action.
Step 02Upcoming
EUR pairs need extra care around the 10:00 retail sales cluster.
Step 03Upcoming
The 13:30 USD data stack can affect EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Gold at the same time.
Step 04Upcoming
Breakout traders should avoid the first candle after major news.
Step 05Upcoming
Brent has less direct calendar risk today, so technical levels matter more than the data schedule.