Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №44

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 7 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

EUR data at 06:30, 07:00 and 07:45, then the US jobs stack at 13:30 and Fed Barkin at 15:00, make this a news-driven day; cleanest chances are after London or post-news direction is clear. Scheduled news does not predict whether price will rise or fall, so avoid spikes and wait for price to hold a level.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00COP

    Battle of Boyaca Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Rwanda Harvest Thanksgiving

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Sri Lanka Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    -9.9%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00PHP

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00PHP

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30KRW

    KTBi Auction

    Previous
    1.524%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00

    Bangladesh Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    9.16%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00

    Bangladesh Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.34%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Balance of Trade Yuan

    Previous
    CNY859.05B
    Forecast
    CNY740.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    36.0%
    Forecast
    27.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    27.0%
    Forecast
    22.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00CNY

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $125.62B
    Forecast
    $107.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00IDR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $145.6B
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:30IDR

    Property Price Index YoY

    Previous
    0.62%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.0036%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00THB

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    50.7
    Forecast
    51.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Index

    Previous
    117.9
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Economic Index

    Previous
    116.5
    Forecast
    116.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:30EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    8.1%
    Forecast
    8.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -3.9%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-0.91B
    Forecast
    €-0.82B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Exports MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Imports MoM

    Previous
    -2.5%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    0.7
    Forecast
    -0.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00ZAR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $74.11B
    Forecast
    $72.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index YoY

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Halifax House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-6.9B
    Forecast
    €-6.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Imports

    Previous
    60.5
    Forecast
    60.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    -0.1
    Forecast
    -2.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Exports

    Previous
    53.6
    Forecast
    55.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    €355.389B
    Forecast
    €355.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-434.1M
    Forecast
    €-470.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Kazakhstan Current Account

    Previous
    $-1.8B
    Forecast
    $-2.9B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Seychelles Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.43%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -36.0
    Forecast
    -34.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    CHF758.794B
    Forecast
    CHF760.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30THB

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    279.2
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Jordan PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -28.6
    Forecast
    -27.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    7.9%
    Forecast
    7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CNY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $3.416T
    Forecast
    $3.42T
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CZK

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    179.6
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CZK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    51.8%
    Forecast
    48.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    40.3%
    Forecast
    40.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $12.2B
    Forecast
    $16.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    World FAO Food Price Index

    Previous
    130.3
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $445.9B
    Forecast
    $446.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Angola Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.52%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Angola Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    10.11%
    Forecast
    9.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -1.7
    Forecast
    -1.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    -1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.9%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -2.0
    Forecast
    -2.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00SGD

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    551.3
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    BBA Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    6.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    182-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.41%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    91-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    6.95%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    364-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.72%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    273-Day T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    7.67%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Mauritius Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Mauritius Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Macedonia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-2811.0M
    Forecast
    €-2980.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Uzbekistan Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    63.76
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00PHP

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    104.8
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    682.35
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Deposit Growth YoY

    Previous
    12.7
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Bank Loan Growth YoY

    Previous
    17.7
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00CLP

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.03%
    Forecast
    3.94%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.24%
    Forecast
    0.22%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Auto Production YoY

    Previous
    -1.89%
    Forecast
    2.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Auto Exports YoY

    Previous
    -9.2%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.37%
    Forecast
    3.12%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.87%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.27%
    Forecast
    0.03%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Pakistan Balance of Trade

    Previous
    PKR-1263.2B
    Forecast
    PKR-1000.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00PLN

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    293.5
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    51.3
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    Average Hourly Wages YoY

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Employment Change

    Previous
    18.2K
    Forecast
    15.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    6.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    65.0%
    Forecast
    65.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Full Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    0.6K
    Forecast
    21.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Part Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    17.5K
    Forecast
    4.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $3320.0M
    Forecast
    $2380.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Exports

    Previous
    $10789.0M
    Forecast
    $11400.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Imports

    Previous
    $7471.0M
    Forecast
    $8000.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    U-6 Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.9%
    Forecast
    7.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Hourly Earnings YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Hourly Earnings MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Average Weekly Hours

    Previous
    34.3
    Forecast
    34.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    61.5%
    Forecast
    61.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Non Farm Payrolls

    Previous
    57.0K
    Forecast
    80.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Nonfarm Payrolls Private

    Previous
    49.0K
    Forecast
    78.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Government Payrolls

    Previous
    8.0K
    Forecast
    10.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    4.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Manufacturing Payrolls

    Previous
    3.0K
    Forecast
    4.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Ukraine Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Ukraine Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    7.2%
    Forecast
    7.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Used Car Prices YoY

    Previous
    2.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Used Car Prices MoM

    Previous
    0.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:10RUB

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $720.4B
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    New Car Registrations MoM

    Previous
    -0.8%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    Car Production MoM

    Previous
    -3.0%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00CAD

    Ivey PMI s.a

    Previous
    56.2
    Forecast
    55.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Fed Barkin Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30TRY

    Treasury Cash Balance

    Previous
    50.759
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00USD

    Consumer Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    11.4%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.71%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Costa Rica Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    -0.32%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    451.0
    Forecast
    452.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count

    Previous
    588.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -5.7%
    Forecast
    -7.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    Consumer Credit Change

    Previous
    $-0.18B
    Forecast
    $10.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:00-06:20 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Handover

    Use this period for marking the Asian range, not forcing entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The briefing is before the London open, and the session context says London has not established direction. EUR data starts shortly after this window.

  • 06:20-07:55 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR data stack: Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Exports and Balance of Trade.

    Avoid fresh EUR trades during the releases; wait for the London reaction to form.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Four medium-impact EUR releases are scheduled between 06:30 and 07:45. That cluster can create unstable early EUR/USD pricing.

  • 08:15-10:30 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR London Read

    Look for London structure after the EUR data block has passed.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The EUR releases are scheduled from 06:30 to 07:45, so this window gives price time to react. It avoids the early event cluster.

  • 10:30-12:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late London Selective Trades

    Trade only clean setups and avoid starting positions too close to US jobs data.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window sits after the EUR data and before the 13:30 USD cluster. Execution risk increases as the US release approaches.

  • 13:20-13:50 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD jobs cluster including Non Farm Payrolls, unemployment measures and earnings data.

    Stand aside through the release and avoid trading the first spike.

    Volatility · High
    Related toCAD Employment Change · 13:30CAD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD U-6 Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Non Farm Payrolls · 13:30USD Nonfarm Payrolls Private · 13:30USD Unemployment Rate · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Several USD releases land at 13:30, including multiple high-impact jobs readings. The same-time cluster raises execution risk across USD pairs and gold.

  • 13:55-14:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-US Jobs Reaction

    Only consider trades if spreads normalise and price starts holding levels.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:30 USD jobs releases are the main high-impact cluster. This window allows the first reaction to pass before the 15:00 Fed speech.

  • 14:50-15:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Barkin Speech.

    Avoid fresh USD-sensitive entries around the speech until the reaction is clear.

    Volatility · High
    Related toCAD Ivey PMI s.a · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The speech is a medium-impact USD event after the jobs data. It can restart volatility before the market has fully settled from the earlier cluster.

  • 15:20-16:30 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    After Fed Speaker

    This is the cleanest late-day window if price has built clear post-news structure.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 15:00 Fed Barkin speech is the last listed event. Trading after it avoids the main scheduled risk periods in the supplied calendar.

Today's Guidance

Mark the 06:30-07:45, 13:30 and 15:00 news times on your chart. Do not enter on the first spike; wait for a candle to close beyond your level or reject it clearly before trading.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

The 13:30 UK USD jobs cluster produces a disorderly reaction that remains unstable into the 15:00 Fed Barkin speech.

Then

The plan shifts from selective post-news trading to standing aside until price holds clear levels again.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Treat the morning EUR releases as reaction periods, not automatic trade signals.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    The 13:30 USD jobs cluster is the main no-trade zone for execution risk.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    London direction needs confirmation because the briefing is before the European open.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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