Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №53

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 13 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

The cleanest opportunities are likely after London establishes clear levels and after the main news reaction has calmed; the news itself does not say which way price will move. The danger is chasing the first spike before price shows whether the move can hold.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Zambia Presidential Election

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Tunisia Women's Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:15AUD

    RBA Kent Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00PHP

    Foreign Direct Investment

    Previous
    $0.3B
    Forecast
    $0.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00NZD

    Business Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    2.53%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00PEN

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    3473.0
    Forecast
    3700.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    BoJ JGB Purchase

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00THB

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    50.7
    Forecast
    51.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    8.5%
    Forecast
    4.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    6-Month T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.59%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:30

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:30

    Jordan Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.79%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:30

    Jordan Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.14%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    £-1.044B
    Forecast
    £-3.6B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    GDP YoY

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Business Investment YoY

    Previous
    -1.3%
    Forecast
    -1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Construction Orders YoY

    Previous
    -11.9%
    Forecast
    11.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    -1.8%
    Forecast
    -2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    GDP 3-Month Avg

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Manufacturing Production YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Business Investment QoQ

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Goods Trade Balance

    Previous
    £-18.66B
    Forecast
    £-20.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -5.3%
    Forecast
    -2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -2.8%
    Forecast
    1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Wholesale Prices YoY

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    5.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF YoY

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    CPIF MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    GDP MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Goods Trade Balance Non-EU

    Previous
    -7.14
    Forecast
    -9.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    10.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    10.7
    Forecast
    2.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Producer & Import Prices MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Producer & Import Prices YoY

    Previous
    -2.1%
    Forecast
    -1.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    €-267.8M
    Forecast
    €-223.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Core Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.6%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00TRY

    Current Account

    Previous
    $-1.459B
    Forecast
    $-5.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30PLN

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.6%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.5%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30TRY

    Inflation Report

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00CZK

    Current Account

    Previous
    CZK-38.31B
    Forecast
    CZK-46.8B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Namibia Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Namibia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00NOK

    Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    4.25%
    Forecast
    4.25%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Palestine Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    -40.04%
    Forecast
    -38.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    €-103.0M
    Forecast
    €-178.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    New Yuan Loans

    Previous
    CNY1610.0B
    Forecast
    CNY45.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    Outstanding Loan Growth YoY

    Previous
    5.2%
    Forecast
    5.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    M2 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    8.0%
    Forecast
    7.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    Total Social Financing

    Previous
    CNY3360.0B
    Forecast
    CNY1200.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia PPI YoY

    Previous
    5.7%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -1.2%
    Forecast
    -0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    12-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.25%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Mining Production YoY

    Previous
    -5.4%
    Forecast
    -1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Gold Production YoY

    Previous
    -4.3%
    Forecast
    -1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Mining Production MoM

    Previous
    -5.2%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Exports

    Previous
    $5982.5M
    Forecast
    $6050.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Imports

    Previous
    $10196.1M
    Forecast
    $9800.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-4213.6M
    Forecast
    $-3750.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Serbia Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.75%
    Forecast
    5.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30

    Uganda Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    9.75%
    Forecast
    9.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00GBP

    NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30TRY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    63.811
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00BRL

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00BRL

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00PLN

    Current Account

    Previous
    €-1071.0M
    Forecast
    €-764.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00PLN

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    -1182.0
    Forecast
    -700.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:15USD

    Fed Hammack Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    199.0K
    Forecast
    202.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-week Average

    Previous
    198.75
    Forecast
    197.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    5.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    4.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI

    Previous
    156.566
    Forecast
    156.41
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Core PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Core PPI YoY

    Previous
    4.7%
    Forecast
    4.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1801.0K
    Forecast
    1800.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:40USD

    Fed Barkin Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00BRL

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    44.4
    Forecast
    44.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

    Previous
    33.0B
    Forecast
    31.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    24.3%
    Forecast
    24.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.71%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.64%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    11.4%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.69
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.01
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    30-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.058%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    33.5%
    Forecast
    33.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed Balance Sheet

    Previous
    $6.749T
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    Import Prices YoY

    Previous
    20.6%
    Forecast
    31.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    Export Prices YoY

    Previous
    48.9%
    Forecast
    55.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:30NZD

    Business NZ PMI

    Previous
    59.7
    Forecast
    58.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Visitor Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    6.7%
    Forecast
    7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:00-06:50 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Pre-London Preparation

    Use the Asian session as context only; London has not established direction yet.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The session context says the briefing is before London and the Asian session is the latest source of price action. Liquidity is usually less reliable before the European open.

  • 09:15-09:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Open Build

    Watch EUR/USD form the day’s first European levels before the 10:00 EUR release.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window comes after London opens and before the first scheduled EUR event. It gives price time to establish structure without overlapping the 09:50-10:10 risk window.

  • 09:50-10:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Industrial Production MoM at 10:00 UK.

    Avoid opening new EUR/USD trades during the release window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The supplied calendar lists a medium-impact EUR release at 10:00 UK. EUR/USD can react quickly around that time even if the event is not high impact.

  • 10:15-12:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR Reset

    Look for cleaner EUR/USD structure after the EUR release reaction has passed.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The 10:00 UK medium-impact EUR event is the only European release supplied. This window avoids that release and ends before the USD speaker and data cluster begins.

  • 13:10-13:50 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Hammack Speech, multiple USD releases at 13:30 UK, and Fed Barkin Speech at 13:40 UK.

    Avoid new entries and wait for the first reaction to settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD PPI MoM · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The calendar has two Fed speeches and five USD data releases packed between 13:15 and 13:40 UK, including four high-impact items at 13:30 UK. That cluster raises execution risk for EUR/USD.

  • 14:00-14:55 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-US Reaction

    Best window for EUR/USD if the 13:15-13:40 USD sequence has settled into tradeable structure.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The main USD event cluster finishes by 13:40 UK, and this window avoids the listed high-risk period. It also sits in the London/New York overlap, where liquidity is usually better.

Today's Guidance

Before entering, mark the nearest clear range edge on your chart and require a candle close beyond it or a clear rejection from it. Pause new entries around the main news cluster and reassess after the first reaction candle closes.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Let London build its own range before judging EUR/USD setups.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Treat the 13:30 UK USD data cluster as the main no-entry zone.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    If price spikes through a level and closes back inside, skip the breakout.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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