Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №55

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 14 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

News-Driven Day

Several high-impact releases are grouped through the main trading sessions, so the cleanest opportunities are likely after price has reacted and formed clearer structure. The news itself does not tell you which way price will move, so avoid chasing the first spike and let the chart confirm.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00INR

    Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY

    Previous
    18.2%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Morocco Anniversary of the Recovery Oued Ed-Dahab

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Pakistan Independence Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Iran Martyrdom of Imam Reza

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Investment Lending for Homes

    Previous
    -3.2%
    Forecast
    -6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Home Loans QoQ

    Previous
    -3.5%
    Forecast
    -2.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Jordan Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30

    Jordan Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.79%
    Forecast
    2.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30

    Jordan Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.14%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30KRW

    50-Year KTB Auction

    Previous
    4.345%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:00PHP

    Cash Remittances

    Previous
    $2.7B
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:25PEN

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $3348.0M
    Forecast
    $3700.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.0665%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.4%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.0
    Forecast
    2.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    Current Account

    Previous
    15.2
    Forecast
    8.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.1%
    Forecast
    7.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.7%
    Forecast
    2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Wholesale Prices MoM

    Previous
    -0.7%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Wholesale Prices YoY

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    -1.2%
    Forecast
    -1.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Romania GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30INR

    WPI Food Index YoY

    Previous
    6.14%
    Forecast
    6.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30INR

    WPI Inflation YoY

    Previous
    9.87%
    Forecast
    9.95%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30INR

    WPI Fuel YoY

    Previous
    27.41%
    Forecast
    20.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30INR

    WPI Manufacturing YoY

    Previous
    7.48%
    Forecast
    8.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Moldova Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-640.2M
    Forecast
    $-600.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30

    Kazakhstan GDP YoY

    Previous
    5.1%
    Forecast
    4.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Jordan PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.1%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.9%
    Forecast
    4.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    -0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.0
    Forecast
    2.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.7
    Forecast
    0.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Botswana Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    10.7%
    Forecast
    11.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Ethiopia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    13.9%
    Forecast
    14.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    New Yuan Loans

    Previous
    CNY1610.0B
    Forecast
    CNY45.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    Outstanding Loan Growth YoY

    Previous
    5.2%
    Forecast
    5.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    M2 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    8.0%
    Forecast
    7.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    Total Social Financing

    Previous
    CNY3360.0B
    Forecast
    CNY1200.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    4271.9
    Forecast
    4400.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Botswana Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00CNY

    Current Account

    Previous
    $184.3B
    Forecast
    $150.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.5%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    2.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Employment Change YoY

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Employment Change QoQ

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    5.0%
    Forecast
    4.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Macau GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    7.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Kazakhstan Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.5%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    SACCI Business Confidence

    Previous
    124.1
    Forecast
    125.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Kyrgyzstan Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    11.0%
    Forecast
    11.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Kyrgyzstan GDP YoY

    Previous
    11.9%
    Forecast
    12.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Romania Current Account

    Previous
    €-2711.0M
    Forecast
    €-1820.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.1%
    Forecast
    7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Serbia Building Permits

    Previous
    2329.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30

    Egypt Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.0%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ILS

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00ILS

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    1.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    692.87
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Deposit Growth YoY

    Previous
    12.7%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Bank Loan Growth YoY

    Previous
    17.7%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00PLN

    Core Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    Wholesale Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Manufacturing Sales MoM

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    -0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    New Motor Vehicle Sales

    Previous
    190.6K
    Forecast
    160.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Capacity Utilization

    Previous
    82.5%
    Forecast
    82.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales Control Group MoM

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    6.7%
    Forecast
    6.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00RUB

    Current Account

    Previous
    12.2
    Forecast
    8.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    Fed Venable Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:30

    Kazakhstan GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.0
    Forecast
    5.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Sri Lanka Services PMI

    Previous
    58.5
    Forecast
    59.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00

    Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI

    Previous
    53.0
    Forecast
    53.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Consumer Expectations

    Previous
    55.4
    Forecast
    55.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Current Conditions

    Previous
    54.8
    Forecast
    55.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Business Inventories MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    3.3%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Michigan Consumer Sentiment

    Previous
    55.2
    Forecast
    54.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00PEN

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    11.7%
    Forecast
    13.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    2.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00

    Costa Rica GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.5
    Forecast
    3.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00PEN

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    11.4%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00

    Paraguay Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    41.23
    Forecast
    41.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count

    Previous
    588.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

    Previous
    454.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00

    El Salvador Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.55%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00

    El Salvador Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.77%
    Forecast
    2.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 07:15-07:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Pre-London Preparation

    Use the Asian session high and session low as reference points; do not assume clear direction before London liquidity improves.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming

    The briefing is before the London open, and the Asian session is the most recent source of price action. London has not yet established market structure for the day.

  • 08:15-09:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Early London Structure

    Watch whether price builds a range edge or breaks away with a sustained move before the EUR release window.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    The European open is the next inflection point, while the 10:00 UK high-impact EUR releases make the period after 09:45 less suitable for fresh entries.

  • 09:50-10:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Employment Change YoY and QoQ are high-impact releases at 10:00 UK.

    Avoid fresh EUR/USD entries and wait for the first reaction candle to close.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR Employment Change YoY · 10:00EUR Employment Change QoQ · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    Two high-impact EUR releases arrive at the same time, increasing execution risk around EUR/USD.

  • 10:20-12:45 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR Reset

    Trade only if price has formed cleaner structure after the release, such as a retest, rejection candle or continuation from a clear level.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming

    This window follows the EUR employment releases and sits before the clustered USD data. It offers time to assess whether the reaction has settled into tradable structure.

  • 13:20-13:50 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Five high-impact USD Retail Sales releases are clustered at 13:30 UK.

    Stand aside through the release and reassess only after price forms a new level.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Retail Sales MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales Control Group MoM · 13:30USD Retail Sales YoY · 13:30USD Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    The USD data stack is tightly grouped inside the London/New York overlap, which can expand volatility quickly.

  • 13:50-14:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Venable Speech follows shortly after the USD data cluster.

    Avoid assuming the first USD reaction will hold until the speech risk has passed.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    A central-bank speaker follows the high-impact data sequence, so the first reaction may need confirmation before it is tradeable.

  • 14:15-14:50 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-US Data Assessment

    Look for momentum holding after the USD data and Fed speech; avoid entries if momentum fading leaves price back inside the prior range.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    The 13:30 UK USD cluster and 14:00 UK Fed speech have passed by this window, but the 15:00 UK data still requires caution.

  • 14:50-15:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Business Inventories MoM is scheduled at 15:00 UK.

    Watch the reaction, but avoid entering if price is still unsettled from the earlier USD events.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Michigan Consumer Sentiment · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

    This medium-impact release lands after a heavy USD sequence, so it may add noise rather than clear structure.

  • 15:20-16:30 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Late Overlap Continuation

    Best suited to continuation or rejection trades once the major scheduled risk has cleared and liquidity remains active.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

    This window follows the main EUR and USD event sequence, including the 15:00 UK medium-impact release. It gives the market more time to show follow-through.

Today's Guidance

Avoid trading the first reaction candle after major news. If price breaks a clear level, wait for a candle close and a retest showing price acceptance before entering.

Today's guidance illustration

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Use the Asian session high and low as reference points until London builds clearer structure.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Treat EUR/USD execution risk as highest around the EUR data and the USD data cluster.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Do not carry trades into major releases without a defined stop loss and trade management plan.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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