Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №57Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for MONDAY 17 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient Trading Day
London has not yet established direction, so cleanest opportunities are likely after price builds structure around the European open or settles after US data. The main caution is that scheduled news can spike price without telling you which way it will move.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Liberation Day | KRW | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | San Martin Day | ARS | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Assumption of Mary | COP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Indonesian Independence Day | IDR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Rwanda Assumption of Mary | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 01:30 | Non-Oil Exports MoM | SGD | -8.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:30 | Non-Oil Exports YoY | SGD | 20.8% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:45 | Balance of Trade | SGD | $13.87B | $12.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 03:00 | Jordan Inflation Rate MoM | 0.14% | 0.1% | Upcoming | ||||
| 03:00 | Jordan Inflation Rate YoY | 2.79% | 2.8% | Upcoming | ||||
| 03:00 | Jordan Industrial Production YoY | 0.3% | 0.5% | Upcoming | ||||
| 03:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | THB | 0.6% | -0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 03:30 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | THB | 2.8% | 1.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 04:45 | Cash Remittances | PHP | $2.7B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 05:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | MYR | 1.9% | 2.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | MYR | 0.0% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Industrial Production YoY | JPY | -2.1% | 4.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Industrial Production MoM | JPY | 0.1% | 1.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Capacity Utilization MoM | JPY | 0.1% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | JPY | 0.8% | -1.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Balance of Trade | NOK | NOK61.9B | NOK57.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.6% | 2.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 08:00 | Auto Production YoY | TRY | 15.5% | 10.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | House Price Index YoY | CNY | -3.3% | -3.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Retail Sales YoY | CNY | 1.0% | 1.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY | CNY | -5.7% | -6.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Unemployment Rate | CNY | 5.0% | 5.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Industrial Production YoY | CNY | 5.3% | 5.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Auto Sales YoY | TRY | -11.4% | -9.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | PPI MoM | CZK | -0.4% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | PPI YoY | CZK | 1.3% | 1.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook NZDUSD Sentiment | NZD | 24.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Jordan PPI YoY | 6.6% | 6.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM | -0.9% | 0.7% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Bulgaria Inflation Rate YoY | 5.4% | 4.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Kazakhstan Industrial Production YoY | 8.2% | 7.7% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Budget Balance | TRY | TRY114.2B | TRY100.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook AUDUSD Sentiment | AUD | 22.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook USDCHF Sentiment | CHF | 58.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook USDJPY Sentiment | JPY | 62.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook EURUSD Sentiment | EUR | 39.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook GBPUSD Sentiment | GBP | 33.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Myfxbook USDCAD Sentiment | CAD | 55.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Ethiopia Inflation Rate YoY | 13.9% | 14.3% | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:00 | FDI (YTD) YoY | CNY | -5.0% | -6.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:05 | NTB Auction | NOK | 4.2% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | SACCI Business Confidence | ZAR | 124.1 | 125.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | EUR | 3.3% | 3.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 6-Month Bubill Auction | EUR | 2.436% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 12-Month Bubill Auction | EUR | 2.566% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | EUR | 2.315% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 6-Month Bill Auction | EUR | 2.486% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 364-Day T-Bill Auction | ZAR | 7.74% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 273-Day T-Bill Auction | ZAR | 7.65% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 182-Day T-Bill Auction | ZAR | 7.42% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | 91-Day T-Bill Auction | ZAR | 7.0% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | ECB Lane Speech | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Albania Balance of Trade | -48.0 | -54.0 | Upcoming | ||||
| 11:00 | Unemployment Rate | ILS | 2.9% | 2.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:30 | Unemployment Rate | INR | 5.5% | 5.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | IGP-10 Inflation MoM | BRL | -1.1% | -1.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | BCB Focus Market Readout | BRL | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Nigeria Inflation Rate YoY | 15.91% | 15.9% | Upcoming | ||||
| 13:00 | Nigeria Food Inflation YoY | 17.52% | 17.8% | Upcoming | ||||
| 13:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | BRL | 0.1% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:30 | New Motor Vehicle Sales | CAD | 190.6K | 160.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | CAD | 2.1% | 2.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | CPI Median YoY | CAD | 1.9% | 2.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | CPI Common YoY | CAD | 2.6% | 2.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | CAD | 2.8% | 2.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | CAD | C$7.9B | C$15.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | CAD | -0.4% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | CAD | 0.1% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | CPI Trimmed-Mean YoY | CAD | 1.8% | 1.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | USD | 15.6 | 10.2 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians | CAD | C$22.27B | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | Belarus Industrial Production YoY | -0.7% | -1.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 14:00 | 6-Month BTF Auction | EUR | 2.579% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | 12-Month BTF Auction | EUR | 2.752% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 14:00 | 3-Month BTF Auction | EUR | 2.448% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Sri Lanka Services PMI | 58.5 | 59.0 | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI | 53.0 | 53.4 | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | Ecuador Inflation Rate YoY | 1.65% | 1.9% | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | USD | 34.0 | 33.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | PEN | 1.8% | 1.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 16:00 | Unemployment Rate | PEN | 4.9% | 4.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 6-Month Bill Auction | USD | 3.83% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 16:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | USD | 3.735% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 17:00 | NOPA Crush Report | USD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Net Long-term TIC Flows | USD | 232.7 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Overall Net Capital Flows | USD | 132.2 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 21:00 | Foreign Bond Investment | USD | 56.6 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled |
- 01:00KRW
Liberation Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00ARS
San Martin Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00COP
Assumption of Mary
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00IDR
Indonesian Independence Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00
Rwanda Assumption of Mary
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30SGD
Non-Oil Exports MoM
- Previous
- -8.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:30SGD
Non-Oil Exports YoY
- Previous
- 20.8%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:45SGD
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $13.87B
- Forecast
- $12.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00
Jordan Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.14%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00
Jordan Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.79%
- Forecast
- 2.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:00
Jordan Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30THB
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- -0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 03:30THB
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.8%
- Forecast
- 1.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:45PHP
Cash Remittances
- Previous
- $2.7B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:00MYR
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.9%
- Forecast
- 2.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:00MYR
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.0%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- -2.1%
- Forecast
- 4.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Capacity Utilization MoM
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30JPY
Tertiary Industry Index MoM
- Previous
- 0.8%
- Forecast
- -1.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00NOK
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- NOK61.9B
- Forecast
- NOK57.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30
Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 4.6%
- Forecast
- 2.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00TRY
Auto Production YoY
- Previous
- 15.5%
- Forecast
- 10.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
House Price Index YoY
- Previous
- -3.3%
- Forecast
- -3.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- 1.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY
- Previous
- -5.7%
- Forecast
- -6.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 5.0%
- Forecast
- 5.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CNY
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 5.3%
- Forecast
- 5.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00TRY
Auto Sales YoY
- Previous
- -11.4%
- Forecast
- -9.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CZK
PPI MoM
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CZK
PPI YoY
- Previous
- 1.3%
- Forecast
- 1.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 09:00NZD
Myfxbook NZDUSD Sentiment
- Previous
- 24.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Jordan PPI YoY
- Previous
- 6.6%
- Forecast
- 6.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- -0.9%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Bulgaria Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 5.4%
- Forecast
- 4.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Kazakhstan Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 8.2%
- Forecast
- 7.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00TRY
Budget Balance
- Previous
- TRY114.2B
- Forecast
- TRY100.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00AUD
Myfxbook AUDUSD Sentiment
- Previous
- 22.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00CHF
Myfxbook USDCHF Sentiment
- Previous
- 58.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00JPY
Myfxbook USDJPY Sentiment
- Previous
- 62.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Myfxbook EURUSD Sentiment
- Previous
- 39.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00GBP
Myfxbook GBPUSD Sentiment
- Previous
- 33.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00CAD
Myfxbook USDCAD Sentiment
- Previous
- 55.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30
Ethiopia Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 13.9%
- Forecast
- 14.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00CNY
FDI (YTD) YoY
- Previous
- -5.0%
- Forecast
- -6.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:05NOK
NTB Auction
- Previous
- 4.2%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
SACCI Business Confidence
- Previous
- 124.1
- Forecast
- 125.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 3.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
6-Month Bubill Auction
- Previous
- 2.436%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
12-Month Bubill Auction
- Previous
- 2.566%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.315%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
6-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 2.486%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
364-Day T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- 7.74%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
273-Day T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- 7.65%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
182-Day T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- 7.42%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30ZAR
91-Day T-Bill Auction
- Previous
- 7.0%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30EUR
ECB Lane Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Albania Balance of Trade
- Previous
- -48.0
- Forecast
- -54.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00ILS
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 2.9%
- Forecast
- 2.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:30INR
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 5.5%
- Forecast
- 5.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00BRL
IGP-10 Inflation MoM
- Previous
- -1.1%
- Forecast
- -1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30BRL
BCB Focus Market Readout
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00
Nigeria Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 15.91%
- Forecast
- 15.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00
Nigeria Food Inflation YoY
- Previous
- 17.52%
- Forecast
- 17.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00BRL
IBC-BR Economic Activity
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:30CAD
New Motor Vehicle Sales
- Previous
- 190.6K
- Forecast
- 160.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.1%
- Forecast
- 2.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
CPI Median YoY
- Previous
- 1.9%
- Forecast
- 2.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
CPI Common YoY
- Previous
- 2.6%
- Forecast
- 2.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.8%
- Forecast
- 2.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Foreign Securities Purchases
- Previous
- C$7.9B
- Forecast
- C$15.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Core Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
CPI Trimmed-Mean YoY
- Previous
- 1.8%
- Forecast
- 1.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
- Previous
- 15.6
- Forecast
- 10.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians
- Previous
- C$22.27B
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00
Belarus Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- -0.7%
- Forecast
- -1.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00EUR
6-Month BTF Auction
- Previous
- 2.579%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00EUR
12-Month BTF Auction
- Previous
- 2.752%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 14:00EUR
3-Month BTF Auction
- Previous
- 2.448%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Sri Lanka Services PMI
- Previous
- 58.5
- Forecast
- 59.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI
- Previous
- 53.0
- Forecast
- 53.4
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Ecuador Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.65%
- Forecast
- 1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00USD
NAHB Housing Market Index
- Previous
- 34.0
- Forecast
- 33.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00PEN
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.8%
- Forecast
- 1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:00PEN
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 4.9%
- Forecast
- 4.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
6-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.83%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 16:30USD
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 3.735%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00USD
NOPA Crush Report
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Net Long-term TIC Flows
- Previous
- 232.7
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Overall Net Capital Flows
- Previous
- 132.2
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00USD
Foreign Bond Investment
- Previous
- 56.6
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 06:00-07:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingPre-London Review
Use the Asian session price action as context only; avoid assuming clear direction before London builds market structure.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcomingThe supplied session context says the briefing is before the London open and Asian price action is the most recent reference. Liquidity is usually less useful for fresh EUR/USD decisions before Europe joins.
- 09:15-09:55 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLondon Open Structure
Let London print a session high and session low first; act only when price accepts or rejects a clear level on a candle close.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingThe session context identifies the European open as the next key point because London has not established direction. This window is for observing whether tradable structure forms.
- 10:45-12:25 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingLate London Setup Window
If London has built clean structure, use pullback, retest, or range edge rejection; reduce risk before the US data window.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcomingThis window follows the London open and ends before the high-impact USD risk period. It gives EUR/USD time to form market structure without overlapping the 13:30 release.
- 13:20-13:45 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingHigh-impact USD data release.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries during the release window and do not trade the first reaction candle.
Volatility · HighRelated toCAD CPI Median YoY · 13:30CAD CPI Common YoY · 13:30CAD Inflation Rate YoY · 13:30CAD CPI Trimmed-Mean YoY · 13:30USD NY Empire State Manufacturing Index · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe NY Empire State Manufacturing Index is the only high-impact event on the calendar and is still ahead. EUR/USD execution risk is highest around that release.
- 13:50-14:45 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPost-US Data Reset
Avoid the first reaction; trade only if volatility contracts and price holds a clear level after the release.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThis window comes after the 13:30 high-impact USD release and before the 15:00 medium-impact event. It is suitable only if the news reaction has settled.
- 14:50-15:10 UK
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Dangerous WindowUpcomingMedium-impact USD housing data follows the earlier high-impact release.
Watch the reaction and avoid adding risk if price is still unstable from the earlier data.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingThe NAHB Housing Market Index arrives 90 minutes after the high-impact USD release. That keeps EUR/USD exposed to a second USD reaction during active trading hours.
- 15:15-16:30 UK
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Best WindowUpcomingLondon New York Follow-Through
Use confirmed continuation, breakout retest, or rejection after the 15:00 release; skip if momentum fading.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcomingThis is the cleanest window after both main daytime USD releases have passed. It also sits inside the preferred London/New York overlap for EUR/USD.
- 16:45-19:30 UK
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Caution WindowUpcomingLate Session Review
Prioritise trade management; take fresh setups only if liquidity remains normal and price is holding a clear level.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcomingThis window is after the preferred overlap and before the late USD flow release. The plan should be more selective because the main session opportunity has passed.
- 20:55-21:10 UK
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Dangerous WindowUpcomingLate medium-impact USD flow data with no forecast supplied.
Avoid fresh late-session trades unless liquidity remains normal and price is already holding a clear level.
Volatility · HighRelated toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcomingNet Long-term TIC Flows is a medium-impact USD event and the supplied calendar has no forecast. Its late timing makes liquidity quality more important.
Today's Guidance
Wait for a candle close beyond an established session level before entering; avoid trading the first reaction candle after US news, then check whether price accepts or rejects the level.
Alternative scenario
The 13:30 UK NY Empire State Manufacturing Index produces a sustained EUR/USD move with clear follow-through after the first reaction.
The plan would shift from patient range-building to post-news continuation, using only confirmed pullbacks or retests.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
- Step 01Upcoming
Use the European open to identify the first reliable session high and session low.
- Step 02Upcoming
Keep EUR/USD risk light before the 13:30 UK USD release.
- Step 03Upcoming
Do not chase the first news spike; wait for a retest or candle close.
Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
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