Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №59

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 18 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient Event Day

Use the Asian session only as a reference, then wait for London to show whether price holds or rejects that area, with 09:00 EUR risk and the 13:15/13:30 USD cluster ahead. Avoid chasing the first move after news.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:30AUD

    Westpac Consumer Confidence Index

    Previous
    83.9
    Forecast
    81.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:30AUD

    Westpac Consumer Confidence Change

    Previous
    4.1%
    Forecast
    -2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00

    Jordan Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30KRW

    10-Year KTB Auction

    Previous
    4.255%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.0285%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    1-Year Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.4
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.7645%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    5-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    2.02%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 12-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.48%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 36-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.57%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    4.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Employment Change

    Previous
    147.0K
    Forecast
    200.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Claimant Count Change

    Previous
    6.7K
    Forecast
    11.2K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.9%
    Forecast
    4.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00GBP

    HMRC Payrolls Change

    Previous
    -4.0K
    Forecast
    5.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 09:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-8.24B
    Forecast
    €-6.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Angola M3 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    15.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $14.9B
    Forecast
    $14.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30GBP

    Labour Productivity QoQ

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

    Previous
    23.4
    Forecast
    25.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ZEW Current Conditions

    Previous
    -77.6
    Forecast
    -68.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Mongolia GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    7.9
    Forecast
    4.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Treasury Gilt 2036 Auction

    Previous
    5.04%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:05SEK

    T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.2215%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.29%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Weekly Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.207%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2038 Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.967%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2040 Bond Auction

    Previous
    9.091%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    3.4
    Forecast
    5.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    5.0%
    Forecast
    5.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:45EUR

    ECB Lane Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00

    Belarus GDP YoY

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    1.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:15CAD

    Housing Starts

    Previous
    239.0K
    Forecast
    248.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:15USD

    ADP Employment Change Weekly

    Previous
    8.25K
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    Current Account

    Previous
    $1.9B
    Forecast
    $1.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CLP

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Building Permits MoM

    Previous
    -2.6%
    Forecast
    1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Housing Starts MoM

    Previous
    19.0%
    Forecast
    -4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Prices YoY

    Previous
    10.2%
    Forecast
    9.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Housing Starts

    Previous
    1.427M
    Forecast
    1.35M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Building Permits

    Previous
    1.374M
    Forecast
    1.37M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Prices YoY

    Previous
    7.1%
    Forecast
    7.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    NY Fed Services Activity Index

    Previous
    8.7
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Import Prices MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Export Prices MoM

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:55USD

    Redbook YoY

    Previous
    8.3
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00NZD

    Global Dairy Trade Price Index

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Capacity Utilization

    Previous
    76.1%
    Forecast
    76.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:15USD

    Manufacturing Production YoY

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Pending Home Sales MoM

    Previous
    -5.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Pending Home Sales YoY

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    6-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.67%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00COP

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.6
    Forecast
    0.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00COP

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.2
    Forecast
    0.9
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00COP

    ISE Economic Activity YoY

    Previous
    4.1
    Forecast
    2.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00

    Uruguay Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.75%
    Forecast
    5.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00

    El Salvador PPI YoY

    Previous
    3.18%
    Forecast
    3.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    API Crude Oil Stock Change

    Previous
    9.072
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:45NZD

    PPI Output QoQ

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    PPI Input QoQ

    Previous
    1.4%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 01:50-06:50 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Reference

    Use this only to map the range; London has not yet established the day’s tradable structure.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • London open-08:50 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Early London Setup

    Usable only if price defines a clear first range and does not drift into the EUR release without confirmation.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 08:50-09:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR scheduled release can distort early EUR/USD structure.

    Pause new entries and wait for price to accept or reject the reaction area.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 10:15-12:40 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-EUR London

    This is the cleanest window if the 09:00 reaction settles and EUR/USD gives a confirmed range, pullback, or retest.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 13:05-13:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD data cluster includes high-impact releases at 13:15 and 13:30.

    Stand aside, protect open risk, and wait for post-release structure.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly · 13:15USD Housing Starts · 13:30USD Building Permits · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:50-14:05 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Post-USD Cluster Reset

    Only consider trades if the 13:15/13:30 impulse has stopped expanding and produced a retestable structure.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:05-14:25 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD scheduled release can reset the post-cluster move.

    Avoid fresh entries until the reaction candle has closed.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:30-14:50 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Mid-Overlap Reset

    Keep it selective because the next USD release is close enough to interrupt unfinished setups.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:50-15:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD scheduled releases can interrupt late overlap setups.

    Do not enter new trades into the release; reassess after the reaction settles.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:15-London/New York overlap

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Late Overlap

    Use only post-15:00 structure; avoid treating the first data spike as confirmation.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian high/low and the first London range; only trade EUR/USD after a candle close shows acceptance, rejection, or a confirmed retest. Pause new setups into the 09:00 EUR release and the 13:15/13:30 USD cluster, then let the post-news structure rebuild before acting.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

The 13:15/13:30 USD cluster produces a clean H1 close outside the established London range followed by a held retest.

Then

Shift from pre-news range discipline to post-news continuation setups only, using the retested range boundary as the decision point.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    If EUR/USD remains inside the Asian range after London opens, treat it as range behaviour until a clean close changes that.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Use H1 execution only after the H4/Daily context and the session range agree with the setup.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Do not add EUR/USD decisions across the same USD catalyst; one clean setup is enough.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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