Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №63

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 20 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News Trading

EUR Unemployment Rate was 4.0% at 05:30 UK versus 3.9% forecast; EUR news is scheduled at 07:00 and 12:30 UK. Asian prices are background; USD news at 13:30 UK can move EUR/USD sharply, so wait for London to show a clear path.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Mixed
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00EUR

    Restoration Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00HUF

    Hungary National Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Morocco Anniversary of the Revolution of the King and the People

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00AUD

    Consumer Inflation Expectations

    Previous
    4.7%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:15CNY

    Loan Prime Rate 5Y

    Previous
    3.5%
    Forecast
    3.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:15CNY

    Loan Prime Rate 1Y

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Participation Rate

    Previous
    67.0%
    Forecast
    66.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Part Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    31.4K
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Full Time Employment Chg

    Previous
    48.9K
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Employment Change

    Previous
    80.3K
    Forecast
    15.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:10

    Morocco Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:10

    Morocco Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    20-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    3.626%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    43.1%
    Forecast
    32.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    45.5%
    Forecast
    34.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00MYR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    MYR15.8B
    Forecast
    MYR17.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:30EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    3.8%
    Forecast
    3.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00

    Montenegro Current Account

    Previous
    €-595.29M
    Forecast
    €-500.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    6.2%
    Forecast
    4.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    1.5%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    1.8%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00CHF

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    CHF3.8B
    Forecast
    CHF4.1B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Georgia PPI YoY

    Previous
    5.9%
    Forecast
    5.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Moldova Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    8.2%
    Forecast
    6.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30PLN

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    7.6%
    Forecast
    4.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    Corporate Sector Wages YoY

    Previous
    5.9%
    Forecast
    6.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    Employment Growth YoY

    Previous
    -0.9%
    Forecast
    -0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30PLN

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    2.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30SEK

    Riksbank Rate Decision

    Previous
    1.75%
    Forecast
    1.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Ethiopia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    13.9%
    Forecast
    14.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Current Account

    Previous
    -0.96
    Forecast
    0.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Export Orders YoY

    Previous
    59.4%
    Forecast
    45.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:20TWD

    Current Account

    Previous
    $62.53B
    Forecast
    $65.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    3.7%
    Forecast
    3.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.0%
    Forecast
    1.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:45

    Armenia GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.0
    Forecast
    4.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Labour Cost Index YoY

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    1.2%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.35%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00SEK

    Riksbank Press Conference

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2031 OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.23%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2034 OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.45%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2029 OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.04%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:05SEK

    SGB Auction

    Previous
    1.1274%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:05SEK

    2036 Inflation-linked Auction

    Previous
    1.1025%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Average Weekly Earnings YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Cape Verde Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Cape Verde Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    OATi Auction

    Previous
    1.87%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    OAT€i Auction

    Previous
    1.81%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    6.4%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00GBP

    CBI Industrial Trends Orders

    Previous
    -45.0
    Forecast
    -40.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    2047 OAT€i Auction

    Previous
    2.03%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Bundesbank Monthly Report

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30INR

    Infrastructure Output YoY

    Previous
    5.0%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30TRY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    71.022
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30EUR

    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00BRL

    BCB National Monetary Council Meeting

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    New Housing Price Index MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Raw Materials Prices MoM

    Previous
    -6.9%
    Forecast
    -1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    12.4%
    Forecast
    12.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Raw Materials Prices YoY

    Previous
    20.7%
    Forecast
    18.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -1.4%
    Forecast
    -0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30ZAR

    Building Permits YoY

    Previous
    -13.1%
    Forecast
    12.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    209.0K
    Forecast
    210.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1777.0K
    Forecast
    1790.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

    Previous
    41.4
    Forecast
    25.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-week Average

    Previous
    199.0
    Forecast
    200.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed Prices Paid

    Previous
    53.9
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed CAPEX Index

    Previous
    30.1
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed Business Conditions

    Previous
    34.4
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed New Orders

    Previous
    37.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Philly Fed Employment

    Previous
    10.0
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    CB Leading Index MoM

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30TRY

    Central Government Debt

    Previous
    TRY14.992T
    Forecast
    TRY15.2T
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

    Previous
    36.0B
    Forecast
    15.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00ARS

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    40.67
    Forecast
    40.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00MXN

    Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30PEN

    Current Account

    Previous
    $4.463B
    Forecast
    $2.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.665%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.625%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Egypt Overnight Lending Rate

    Previous
    20.0%
    Forecast
    20.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00

    Egypt Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    19.0%
    Forecast
    19.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.67
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.01
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    30-Year TIPS Auction

    Previous
    2.473%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:30ARS

    Leading Indicator MoM

    Previous
    0.09%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $2194.0M
    Forecast
    $1850.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00ARS

    Economic Activity YoY

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    1.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed Balance Sheet

    Previous
    $6.76T
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    8.6%
    Forecast
    8.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    0.0%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

  • 23:45NZD

    Imports

    Previous
    NZ$8.07B
    Forecast
    NZ$8.3B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    NZ$0.02B
    Forecast
    NZ$-0.175B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 23:45NZD

    Exports

    Previous
    NZ$8.09B
    Forecast
    NZ$7.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 05:25-05:40 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Unemployment Rate is scheduled at 05:30 UK and may cause sudden EUR/USD price jumps.

    Avoid entering EUR/USD during the first sharp price change around 05:30 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 05:45-06:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian session review

    Use the Asian session high and low only as marks because London has not shown the day's path.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR PPI YoY is scheduled at 07:00 UK and may cause sudden EUR/USD price jumps.

    Wait until EUR/USD prices become steadier after 07:00 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 11:15-12:25 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London price check

    Consider EUR/USD only when London prices hold beyond the Asian session high or low on a one-hour candle close.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 12:25-12:40 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts is scheduled at 12:30 UK and may quickly change EUR/USD prices.

    Do not enter EUR/USD during the first sharp price change around 12:30 UK.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:25-13:50 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Initial Jobless Claims, Continuing Jobless Claims and Jobless Claims 4-week Average are scheduled at 13:30 UK. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index shares that

    Remove EUR/USD orders before 13:30 UK and wait until price stops making sudden jumps.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:50-16:00 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London and New York overlap

    Wait for price to become steadier, then use the overlap for confirmed entries.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:00-20:00 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late chart review

    Take only clear EUR/USD setups that remain valid on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low, then wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close beyond either price. Do not enter around 07:00, 12:30 or 13:30 UK while price is making sudden jumps.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

After 13:30 UK, two candles on the 1-hour chart close beyond the Asian session high or low.

Then

Use that broken price, rather than the full Asian area, to judge any new EUR/USD entry.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Require the Daily and 4-hour charts to support any 1-hour setup.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Cancel unfilled entries before a scheduled release time.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Reduce trade size if candles become wider than usual.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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