Latest Published Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №65Historical Trading Plan
Viewing the published Trading Plan for FRIDAY 21 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.
Today's Outlook
Patient EUR News Day
Use the Asian session high and low until London shows a clear EUR/USD move around Business Confidence at 07:45 UK. Negotiated Wage Growth at 10:00 and Consumer Confidence at 15:00 UK may move EUR/USD sharply, so avoid chasing the first jump.
- Volatility
- Moderate
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Hungary National Day | HUF | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 01:00 | Iran Martyrdom of Imam Hasan Asgari | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 01:00 | Morocco Youth Day | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 01:00 | Ninoy Aquino Day | PHP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:00 | Credit Card Spending YoY | NZD | 3.2% | 2.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | JPY | 1.0919% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:40 | Current Account | IDR | $-3.6B | $-1.8B | Upcoming | |||
| 05:30 | Consumer Confidence | EUR | -35.0 | -36.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | PPI MoM | EUR | -0.3% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | PPI YoY | EUR | 3.8% | 4.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Business Confidence | DKK | 99.2 | 98.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Consumer Confidence | DKK | -14.7 | -16.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | GDP Growth Mainland QoQ | NOK | 0.2% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | NOK | 0.4 | 0.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | NOK | 1.7% | 1.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Unemployment Rate | SEK | 9.9% | 9.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Employed Persons | SEK | 5.398M | 5.4M | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales YoY | GBP | 4.2% | 2.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales MoM | GBP | 1.0% | -0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | GBP | £-16.0B | £0.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | GBP | 5.4% | 3.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | GBP | 1.1% | -0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | Business Confidence | EUR | 101.0 | 101.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 07:45 | Business Climate Indicator | EUR | 97.0 | 98.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Consumer Confidence | TRY | 89.8 | 90.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Capacity Utilization | TRY | 73.9% | 74.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Business Confidence | TRY | 102.2 | 102.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:30 | Business Confidence | PLN | -5.3 | -5.1 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Lebanon Inflation Rate YoY | 17.3% | 17.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Tourist Arrivals YoY | TRY | -4.02% | -5.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations | EUR | 3.0% | 2.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves | $14.9B | $14.7B | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:30 | Macau Inflation Rate MoM | -0.15% | 0.1% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:30 | Macau Inflation Rate YoY | 1.24% | 1.3% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:30 | PPI YoY | EUR | 2.4% | 2.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Consumer Confidence | EUR | -19.0 | -20.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Ethiopia Inflation Rate YoY | 13.9% | 14.3% | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:00 | Macau GDP Growth Rate YoY | 7.1% | 0.3% | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:00 | FDI (YTD) YoY | CNY | -5.0% | -6.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Consumer Confidence | EUR | -5.0 | -6.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Croatia Unemployment Rate | 3.3% | 3.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:00 | Negotiated Wage Growth | EUR | 2.46 | 2.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Average Weekly Earnings YoY | EUR | 4.4% | 4.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Wholesale Prices YoY | EUR | 3.5% | 4.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Wholesale Prices MoM | EUR | -0.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | PPI MoM | EUR | 0.5% | 0.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | PPI YoY | EUR | 3.3% | 4.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Macau Retail Sales YoY | 23.0 | 2.2 | Upcoming | ||||
| 11:00 | Macau Tourist Arrivals YoY | -3.1% | -4.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 11:00 | Unemployment Rate | EUR | 4.4 | 4.5 | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | CFIB Business Barometer | CAD | 58.3 | 56.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 12:00 | Mozambique GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.1% | 0.7% | Upcoming | ||||
| 12:30 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | INR | 707.0 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Deposit Growth YoY | INR | 15.4 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 12:30 | Bank Loan Growth YoY | INR | 19.3 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Retail Sales MoM | MXN | -0.6% | 0.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Retail Sales YoY | MXN | 1.6% | 3.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | CAD | 1.2% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales MoM | CAD | 1.0% | -0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Retail Sales YoY | CAD | 5.9 | 3.1 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Consumer Confidence | EUR | -15.9 | -16.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Malawi Inflation Rate YoY | 21.1% | 20.4% | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:30 | Senior Loan Officer Survey | CAD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | USD | 455.0 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count | USD | 593.0 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | Retail Sales YoY | ARS | 33.1% | 17.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | Costa Rica Balance of Trade | $-1565.7M | $-1200.0M | Upcoming | ||||
| 21:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | PEN | 3.5% | 2.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled |
- 01:00HUF
Hungary National Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00
Iran Martyrdom of Imam Hasan Asgari
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00
Morocco Youth Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 01:00PHP
Ninoy Aquino Day
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:00NZD
Credit Card Spending YoY
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 2.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.0919%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:40IDR
Current Account
- Previous
- $-3.6B
- Forecast
- $-1.8B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 05:30EUR
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- -35.0
- Forecast
- -36.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
PPI MoM
- Previous
- -0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
PPI YoY
- Previous
- 3.8%
- Forecast
- 4.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00DKK
Business Confidence
- Previous
- 99.2
- Forecast
- 98.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00DKK
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- -14.7
- Forecast
- -16.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00NOK
GDP Growth Mainland QoQ
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00NOK
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- 0.4
- Forecast
- 0.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00NOK
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.7%
- Forecast
- 1.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00SEK
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 9.9%
- Forecast
- 9.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00SEK
Employed Persons
- Previous
- 5.398M
- Forecast
- 5.4M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 4.2%
- Forecast
- 2.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- -0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks
- Previous
- £-16.0B
- Forecast
- £0.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY
- Previous
- 5.4%
- Forecast
- 3.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00GBP
Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM
- Previous
- 1.1%
- Forecast
- -0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
Business Confidence
- Previous
- 101.0
- Forecast
- 101.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:45EUR
Business Climate Indicator
- Previous
- 97.0
- Forecast
- 98.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00TRY
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- 89.8
- Forecast
- 90.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00TRY
Capacity Utilization
- Previous
- 73.9%
- Forecast
- 74.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00TRY
Business Confidence
- Previous
- 102.2
- Forecast
- 102.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:30PLN
Business Confidence
- Previous
- -5.3
- Forecast
- -5.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Lebanon Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 17.3%
- Forecast
- 17.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00TRY
Tourist Arrivals YoY
- Previous
- -4.02%
- Forecast
- -5.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations
- Previous
- 3.0%
- Forecast
- 2.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30
Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- $14.9B
- Forecast
- $14.7B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30
Macau Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- -0.15%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30
Macau Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.24%
- Forecast
- 1.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30EUR
PPI YoY
- Previous
- 2.4%
- Forecast
- 2.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30EUR
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- -19.0
- Forecast
- -20.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00
Ethiopia Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 13.9%
- Forecast
- 14.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00
Macau GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 7.1%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00CNY
FDI (YTD) YoY
- Previous
- -5.0%
- Forecast
- -6.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- -5.0
- Forecast
- -6.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00
Croatia Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 3.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Negotiated Wage Growth
- Previous
- 2.46
- Forecast
- 2.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Average Weekly Earnings YoY
- Previous
- 4.4%
- Forecast
- 4.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Wholesale Prices YoY
- Previous
- 3.5%
- Forecast
- 4.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Wholesale Prices MoM
- Previous
- -0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
PPI MoM
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
PPI YoY
- Previous
- 3.3%
- Forecast
- 4.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Macau Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 23.0
- Forecast
- 2.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Macau Tourist Arrivals YoY
- Previous
- -3.1%
- Forecast
- -4.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 4.4
- Forecast
- 4.5
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00CAD
CFIB Business Barometer
- Previous
- 58.3
- Forecast
- 56.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00
Mozambique GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- 707.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Deposit Growth YoY
- Previous
- 15.4
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Bank Loan Growth YoY
- Previous
- 19.3
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00MXN
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- -0.6%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00MXN
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 1.6%
- Forecast
- 3.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
- Previous
- 1.2%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- -0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 5.9
- Forecast
- 3.1
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00EUR
Consumer Confidence
- Previous
- -15.9
- Forecast
- -16.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Malawi Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 21.1%
- Forecast
- 20.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:30CAD
Senior Loan Officer Survey
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
- Previous
- 455.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count
- Previous
- 593.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00ARS
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 33.1%
- Forecast
- 17.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00
Costa Rica Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $-1565.7M
- Forecast
- $-1200.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 21:00PEN
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 3.5%
- Forecast
- 2.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-05:25 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Session Reference
Mark the Asian session high and low, then require London price action before choosing an EUR/USD entry.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 05:25-05:40 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Consumer Confidence at 05:30 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD move.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries during this window.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 07:40-07:55 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Business Confidence at 07:45 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD move.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries during this window.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 08:15-09:55 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingLondon Price Check
Enter only if EUR/USD holds inside the Asian session area or stays clearly beyond one boundary.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionUpcoming - 09:55-10:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Negotiated Wage Growth at 10:00 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD move.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries during this window.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 10:15-13:20 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingMidday Price Check
Use the London high and low only when EUR/USD has shown clear behaviour at both prices.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 14:55-15:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Consumer Confidence at 15:00 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD move.
Avoid new EUR/USD entries during this window.
Volatility · HighRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low, then watch how EUR/USD behaves at both prices. Enter only after a 1-hour candle turns away from or closes clearly beyond either price.
Alternative scenario
EUR/USD closes clearly beyond the Asian session high or low after the 10:00 Negotiated Wage Growth release.
Replace the Asian session high and low with the new London high and low when planning EUR/USD entries.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
- Step 01Upcoming
Treat repeated crossings of the Asian high and low as a no-trade signal, not an invitation to trade more.
- Step 02Upcoming
Judge the 05:30 Consumer Confidence result by EUR/USD price behaviour, not by the better-than-forecast figure.
- Step 03Upcoming
After any skipped setup, wait for a fresh candle close rather than entering late.
Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
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