Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №69

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for TUESDAY 25 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient Event Risk Day

Use the Asian session high and low, then wait for London to show clear EUR/USD behaviour. Do not chase sudden moves around EUR Ifo Business Climate at 09:00, USD ADP Employment Change Weekly at 13:15, or New Home Sales at 15:00.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Thin
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00

    Brunei Milad un Nabi

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00IDR

    Milad-Un-Nabi - Holy Prophet' s Birthday

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Iraq Milad-Un-Nabi

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Jordan Milad-Un-Nabi

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Uruguay Independence Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00CNY

    National People's Congress

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    RBA Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:30KRW

    20-Year KTB Auction

    Previous
    4.53%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    1-Year Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.4
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    3-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    2.8425%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:35NZD

    6-Month Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.0311%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00

    Kyrgyzstan Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    12.0%
    Forecast
    12.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00THB

    New Car Sales YoY

    Previous
    17.26%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 05:00AUD

    RBA Jacobs Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Leading Economic Index

    Previous
    116.4
    Forecast
    116.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00JPY

    Coincident Index

    Previous
    117.9
    Forecast
    118.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 12-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.47%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    MAS 4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.42%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    10.0%
    Forecast
    9.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    0.5%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00DKK

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    4.8%
    Forecast
    4.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.7%
    Forecast
    0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    4.5%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Imports

    Previous
    67.8
    Forecast
    82.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    26.0
    Forecast
    26.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SAR

    Exports

    Previous
    93.8
    Forecast
    109.1
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:40SEK

    Industrial Inventories QoQ

    Previous
    11.67
    Forecast
    -1.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    86.0
    Forecast
    87.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Bahrain GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    2.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00ZAR

    Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    -0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    7.0%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30PLN

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    5.8%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:30SEK

    Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia PPI YoY

    Previous
    8.8%
    Forecast
    8.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    4.0%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Construction Output YoY

    Previous
    25.4%
    Forecast
    24.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-540.2M
    Forecast
    $-495.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Armenia Economic Activity YoY

    Previous
    7.7%
    Forecast
    7.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Ifo Current Conditions

    Previous
    86.5
    Forecast
    87.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Ifo Expectations

    Previous
    86.7
    Forecast
    87.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Ifo Business Climate

    Previous
    86.6
    Forecast
    87.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    8.0%
    Forecast
    7.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TWD

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    22.95%
    Forecast
    17.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    $14.9B
    Forecast
    $14.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    H$-52.0B
    Forecast
    H$-46.2B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    45.4
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30HKD

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    53.4
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    -2.0
    Forecast
    -3.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30EUR

    Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    1.9%
    Forecast
    4.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    ATB 2026-11-26 (G) Auction

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Bosnia and Herzegovina Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.2%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Bosnia And Herzegovina Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -1.1%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Treasury Gilt 2033 Auction

    Previous
    4.519%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30EUR

    2-Year Schatz Auction

    Previous
    2.78%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.25%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    Weekly Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.731%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2039 Bond Auction

    Previous
    8.978%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    2042 Bond Auction

    Previous
    9.137%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Average Weekly Earnings YoY

    Previous
    4.4%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    €-0.66B
    Forecast
    €-0.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30

    Kuwait Private Bank Lending YoY

    Previous
    5.49%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30

    Kuwait M2 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Mozambique GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00BRL

    FGV Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    88.3
    Forecast
    88.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00HUF

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.75%
    Forecast
    5.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00HUF

    Deposit Interest Rate

    Previous
    4.75%
    Forecast
    4.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00USD

    Building Permits

    Previous
    1.374M
    Forecast
    1.443M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00USD

    Building Permits MoM

    Previous
    -2.6%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00USD

    Fed Barkin Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:15USD

    ADP Employment Change Weekly

    Previous
    9.5K
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Wholesale Sales MoM

    Previous
    2.8%
    Forecast
    -1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:55USD

    Redbook YoY

    Previous
    7.6
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00EUR

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    -11.9
    Forecast
    -10.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    House Price Index

    Previous
    442.4
    Forecast
    442.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    1.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00USD

    House Price Index YoY

    Previous
    2.2%
    Forecast
    2.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    CB Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    90.8
    Forecast
    91.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index

    Previous
    8.0
    Forecast
    7.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    New Home Sales MoM

    Previous
    1.6%
    Forecast
    -1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

    Previous
    5.0
    Forecast
    7.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index

    Previous
    -3.0
    Forecast
    -1.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    New Home Sales

    Previous
    0.628M
    Forecast
    0.62M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00MXN

    Current Account

    Previous
    $-15878.0M
    Forecast
    $2500.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    6-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.645%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    Money Supply

    Previous
    23.15
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    2-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.315%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00

    El Salvador Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-1030.96M
    Forecast
    $-1200.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00

    Paraguay PPI YoY

    Previous
    -1.8%
    Forecast
    -0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00

    Paraguay Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    5.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:00USD

    Fed Barkin Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    API Crude Oil Stock Change

    Previous
    -3.28M
    Forecast
    1.9M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00KRW

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    82.0
    Forecast
    83.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 06:45-07:40 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Levels

    Use the Asian session high and low as the starting points for London decisions.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 07:40-08:00 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Consumer Confidence is scheduled for 07:45 UK and may produce unusually large EUR/USD candles.

    Wait until 08:00 UK and check whether EUR/USD candles have returned to a normal size.

    Volatility · High
    Related toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 08:00-08:25 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Between EUR Reports

    Watch whether European trading respects or crosses the Asian session high and low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 08:55-09:20 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Ifo Business Climate at 09:00 UK can produce a sudden EUR/USD move.

    Do not enter until 09:20 UK; check whether price holds beyond the Asian high or low.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR Ifo Business Climate · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 09:20-12:55 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Trading Window

    The 09:00 UK Ifo move has time to settle before the first scheduled USD speech.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 12:55-13:30 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Fed Barkin Speech at 13:00 UK is followed by ADP Employment Change Weekly at 13:15 UK.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until 13:30 UK and let the first large candles finish.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD ADP Employment Change Weekly · 13:15London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:55-14:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY is scheduled for 14:00 UK.

    Wait until 14:15 UK and check whether EUR/USD remains near the Asian high or low.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 14:15-14:50 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Between USD Reports

    Use this short window only if EUR/USD candles are orderly around the Asian session boundaries.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:55-15:25 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Three USD releases share 15:00 UK, including two high-impact New Home Sales readings.

    Do not enter during this window; wait for EUR/USD candles to become smaller and more consistent.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD New Home Sales MoM · 15:00USD New Home Sales · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:25-16:30 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    After 15:00 Data

    Wait for EUR/USD to hold beyond or turn away from the Asian session high or low.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 16:30-20:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Day Caution

    The 21:00 UK speech and 21:30 UK oil data reduce the appeal of late entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming
  • 20:55-21:40 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    USD Fed Barkin Speech at 21:00 and API Crude Oil Stock Change at 21:30 may disturb EUR/USD.

    Review open EUR/USD trades before 20:55 UK and avoid new entries during this window.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low on EUR/USD. Enter only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond either point or turns away clearly.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

A candle on the 1-hour chart closes beyond the Asian high or low after 09:00 UK and price stays beyond it.

Then

Stop trading between the Asian high and low; wait for price to return to that Asian boundary and move away again.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Set alerts at the Asian session high and low instead of watching every EUR/USD candle.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Choose the trend checklist or the range approach before entry; do not switch plans during a trade.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    Review every open EUR/USD position before the 21:00 and 21:30 UK events.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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