Latest Published Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePublicIssue №73

Historical Trading Plan

Viewing the published Trading Plan for THURSDAY 27 AUGUST. Live market monitoring is only available for today's Trading Plan.

AsianLondonNew York

Today's Outlook

Patient News Trading Day

Wait for clear EUR/USD highs and lows after 08:00 UK; EUR Unemployment Benefit Claims is at 11:00 and ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts at 12:30. Avoid chasing the first sharp EUR/USD move around the several USD releases at 13:30; wait until price settles and gives a clear entry.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 01:00AUD

    RBA Payments System Board Meeting

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Moldova Independence Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00

    Sri Lanka Nikini Full Moon Poya Day

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00USD

    Jackson Hole Symposium

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 01:00CNY

    National People's Congress

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:00KRW

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    2.75%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Private Capital Expenditure QoQ

    Previous
    6.9%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Plant Machinery Capital Expenditure QoQ

    Previous
    18.4%
    Forecast
    -7.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Household Spending MoM

    Previous
    1.0%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Household Spending YoY

    Previous
    6.1%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Building Capital Expenditure QoQ

    Previous
    -3.3%
    Forecast
    -1.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30CNY

    Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY

    Previous
    18.7%
    Forecast
    16.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    RBA Bulletin

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30JPY

    BoJ Himino Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00TWD

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    64.58
    Forecast
    65.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:30THB

    Imports YoY

    Previous
    50.3%
    Forecast
    42.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:30THB

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    20.8%
    Forecast
    17.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:30THB

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-6.53B
    Forecast
    $-5.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    BoJ JGB Purchase

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Retail Sales MoM

    Previous
    1.9
    Forecast
    0.2
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -5.3
    Forecast
    -6.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    7.0
    Forecast
    6.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    6-Month T-Bill Auction

    Previous
    1.56%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00SGD

    10-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    2.09%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    -1.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    GDP Growth Mainland QoQ

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00NOK

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    1.7%
    Forecast
    1.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    GfK Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    -29.6
    Forecast
    -29.6
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    5.8%
    Forecast
    4.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    SEK2.6B
    Forecast
    SEK3.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00SEK

    Household Lending Growth YoY

    Previous
    3.2%
    Forecast
    3.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Industrial Production MoM

    Previous
    2.1%
    Forecast
    -0.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:00EUR

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    9.8%
    Forecast
    8.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30HUF

    Gross Wage YoY

    Previous
    8.7
    Forecast
    9.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30PHP

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    4.75%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Non Farm Payrolls

    Previous
    5.537M
    Forecast
    5.55M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    2.6%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:45EUR

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.6%
    Forecast
    0.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:30PHP

    Budget Balance

    Previous
    PHP-264.3B
    Forecast
    PHP-220.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Bulgaria Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    -0.2%
    Forecast
    3.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    M3 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    3.3%
    Forecast
    3.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Loans to Companies YoY

    Previous
    4.0%
    Forecast
    3.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00EUR

    Loans to Households YoY

    Previous
    3.0%
    Forecast
    2.9%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Bahrain Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.3%
    Forecast
    2.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Zambia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    6.5%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Zambia Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.2%
    Forecast
    2.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Iceland Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Iceland Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.3%
    Forecast
    5.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.9
    Forecast
    3.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Montenegro Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    5.8%
    Forecast
    6.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:10EUR

    6-Month BOT Auction

    Previous
    2.567%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30

    Rwanda Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    8.25%
    Forecast
    8.25%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    12-Month DTB Auction

    Previous
    5.22%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    15-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.11%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30ZAR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    7.5%
    Forecast
    7.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Unemployment Benefit Claims

    Previous
    5.9K
    Forecast
    10.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    Jobseekers Total

    Previous
    3121.5K
    Forecast
    3131.5K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00ILS

    Manufacturing Production MoM

    Previous
    -6.2%
    Forecast
    9.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Macedonia PPI YoY

    Previous
    6.2%
    Forecast
    6.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:15

    Botswana Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    5.5%
    Forecast
    7.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:20EUR

    RFTB Auction

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Mozambique GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.1%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30BRL

    Current Account

    Previous
    $-2.33B
    Forecast
    $-6.6B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30BRL

    Foreign Direct Investment

    Previous
    $9.07B
    Forecast
    $7.9B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30TRY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    75.166
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30EUR

    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $4.09B
    Forecast
    $3.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00MXN

    Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    2.9%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:30CAD

    Average Weekly Earnings YoY

    Previous
    3.4%
    Forecast
    3.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Current Account

    Previous
    C$-7.2B
    Forecast
    C$-2.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Goods Trade Balance

    Previous
    $-101.4B
    Forecast
    $-99.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Wholesale Inventories MoM

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.1%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-week Average

    Previous
    204.0
    Forecast
    203.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1799.0K
    Forecast
    1790.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    206.0K
    Forecast
    208.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 14:00

    Nigeria GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.89%
    Forecast
    4.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

    Previous
    16.0B
    Forecast
    19.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Business Confidence

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    -0.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00USD

    Kansas Fed Composite Index

    Previous
    9.0
    Forecast
    8.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00USD

    Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index

    Previous
    17.0
    Forecast
    14.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.655%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.64%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    5.95
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.65
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00RUB

    GDP YoY

    Previous
    1.1%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00USD

    7-Year Note Auction

    Previous
    4.473%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:00

    El Salvador Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-1030.96M
    Forecast
    $-1200.0M
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 19:20

    Uruguay Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    7.0%
    Forecast
    6.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed Balance Sheet

    Previous
    $6.746T
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-00:50 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Early Asian Watch

    Use the developing Asian session high and low as points to observe rather than automatic entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 00:55-01:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Jackson Hole Symposium at 01:00 can produce sharp EUR/USD moves.

    Do not enter EUR/USD during the first sharp move from Jackson Hole Symposium.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Jackson Hole Symposium · 01:00Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 02:45-06:50 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Session Watch

    Watch how EUR/USD behaves after Jackson Hole Symposium and avoid trading if candles remain unusually large.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:55-07:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR GfK Consumer Confidence at 07:00 can move EUR/USD quickly.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until candles respect a clear high or low formed after 07:00.

    Volatility · High
    Related toEUR GfK Consumer Confidence · 07:00Asian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 07:45-10:55 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    London Price Test

    Let price after 08:00 show whether the Asian session high or low matters.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 10:55-11:10 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    EUR Unemployment Benefit Claims at 11:00 can cause sudden EUR/USD price changes.

    Wait until EUR/USD candles become smaller and respect the high or low formed around 11:00.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 11:15-12:25 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Midday EUR Window

    Trade only if EUR/USD forms clear highs and lows after Unemployment Benefit Claims.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 12:25-12:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts at 12:30 can produce an uneven EUR/USD move.

    Avoid entering EUR/USD during the first price move from the 12:30 release.

    Volatility · High
    Related toLondon SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:25-13:50 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Several USD releases at 13:30 can cause sharp EUR/USD moves.

    Avoid new EUR/USD entries until 13:50 and wait for candles to settle.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Goods Trade Balance · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:50-22:00 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    Post-News Decision Window

    Wait for EUR/USD candles to become smaller and respect a clear high or low formed after 13:30.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low, then watch how EUR/USD behaves around them after 08:00 UK. Around 11:00, 12:30 and 13:30, wait until candles become smaller and respect the most recent 1-hour high or low.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

A candle on the 1-hour chart closes outside the Asian session high or low from 13:50, and following candles stay outside.

Then

Stop trading back toward the Asian session area; consider entries only in the direction shown by those 1-hour candles.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

  1. Step 01Upcoming

    Set a maximum loss before the first entry and do not widen it around scheduled releases.

  2. Step 02Upcoming

    Review each EUR/USD trade independently; do not recover a news loss with a larger position.

  3. Step 03Upcoming

    If price repeatedly crosses the same area, preserve capital until cleaner behaviour appears.

Pre-trade discipline — check every box before you trade.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.

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