Today's Trading Plan

EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentIssue №83
AsianLondonNew York
Trading mode

Today's Outlook

Patient News Day

USD Jobless Claims and Fed Waller Speech at 13:30, ISM Services PMI at 15:00, and Fed Hammack Speech at 20:00 may move EUR/USD sharply. Let London show a clear direction before entering, and avoid treating the first fast price change after news as a reliable trade.

Trading summary checklist
Volatility
Elevated
Liquidity
Normal
Sentiment
Cautious
Difficulty
Hard

Today’s Events

All times UK time
  • 02:00AUD

    RBA Jones Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Imports MoM

    Previous
    -0.7%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    A$2.341B
    Forecast
    A$1.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 02:30AUD

    Exports MoM

    Previous
    9.1%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00VND

    Foreign Direct Investment

    Previous
    $15.2B
    Forecast
    $17.4B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00VND

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-3.59B
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00VND

    Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    14.5%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00VND

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.45%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00VND

    Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    14.5%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 03:00VND

    Tourist Arrivals YoY

    Previous
    6.6%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 04:35JPY

    30-Year JGB Auction

    Previous
    3.937%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:15AUD

    RBA Brischetto Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 06:15AUD

    RBA Hunter Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30SEK

    Services PMI

    Previous
    54.2
    Forecast
    54.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    0.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 07:30CHF

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.1%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.

  • 08:00CZK

    Real Wages YoY

    Previous
    6.4%
    Forecast
    5.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Georgia Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    20.7%
    Forecast
    16.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Georgia Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.4%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Georgia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    5.5
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Georgia Retail Sales YoY

    Previous
    13.0%
    Forecast
    9.5%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00MYR

    Interest Rate Decision

    Previous
    2.75%
    Forecast
    2.75%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00

    Moldova Unemployment Rate

    Previous
    10.4%
    Forecast
    9.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.3%
    Forecast
    1.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00CHF

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.4%
    Forecast
    1.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00TRY

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    1.52%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00TRY

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    27.83%
    Forecast
    27.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00TRY

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    31.75%
    Forecast
    31.62%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00TRY

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    1.78%
    Forecast
    1.93%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate QoQ

    Previous
    0.2%
    Forecast
    0.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 08:00EUR

    GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    0.9%
    Forecast
    0.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00

    Jordan PPI YoY

    Previous
    5.27%
    Forecast
    5.8%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TRY

    Imports

    Previous
    $32.9B
    Forecast
    $30.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TRY

    Exports

    Previous
    $25.6B
    Forecast
    $23.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:00TRY

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-7.34B
    Forecast
    $-7.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:20EUR

    Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    2.93%
    Forecast
    3.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:20EUR

    Inflation Rate MoM

    Previous
    -0.66%
    Forecast
    0.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:30

    Armenia Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.5%
    Forecast
    4.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    Bonos y Obligaciones Auction

    Previous
    1.715%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    10-Year Obligacion Auction

    Previous
    3.542%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    3-Year Bonos Auction

    Previous
    2.867%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 09:40EUR

    5-Year Bonos Auction

    Previous
    3.005%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Croatia Industrial Production YoY

    Previous
    4.3%
    Forecast
    3.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    PPI MoM

    Previous
    -0.3%
    Forecast
    1.2%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    PPI YoY

    Previous
    4.6%
    Forecast
    4.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.95%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00

    Iceland Current Account

    Previous
    ISK-32.1B
    Forecast
    ISK-40.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00NOK

    House Price Index MoM

    Previous
    -1.1
    Forecast
    0.4
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00NOK

    House Price Index YoY

    Previous
    2.2%
    Forecast
    2.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00GBP

    Index-linked Treasury Gilt 2049 Auction

    Previous
    2.165%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2046 OAT Auction

    Previous
    4.27%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:00EUR

    2036 OAT Auction

    Previous
    3.9%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    10-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.49%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    3-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.32%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30HUF

    5-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    5.38%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 10:30USD

    Challenger Job Cuts

    Previous
    33.429
    Forecast
    62.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00EUR

    New Car Registrations YoY

    Previous
    1.2%
    Forecast
    3.6%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:00

    Macedonia GDP Growth Rate YoY

    Previous
    3.1
    Forecast
    3.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 11:30EUR

    Budget Balance

    Previous
    €-6.7B
    Forecast
    €-6.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:00

    Egypt M2 Money Supply YoY

    Previous
    16.7%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 12:30TRY

    Foreign Exchange Reserves

    Previous
    74.228
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.

  • 13:00MXN

    Consumer Confidence

    Previous
    45.0
    Forecast
    44.7
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Imports

    Previous
    C$73.63B
    Forecast
    C$73.8B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Exports

    Previous
    C$77.49B
    Forecast
    C$77.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    C$3.86B
    Forecast
    C$3.6B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30CAD

    Labor Productivity QoQ

    Previous
    -0.5%
    Forecast
    0.7%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Continuing Jobless Claims

    Previous
    1778.0
    Forecast
    1816.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Jobless Claims 4-week Average

    Previous
    205.5
    Forecast
    205.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Initial Jobless Claims

    Previous
    203.0K
    Forecast
    205.0K
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Unit Labour Costs QoQ

    Previous
    1.3%
    Forecast
    1.3%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Imports

    Previous
    $388.0B
    Forecast
    $399.7B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Nonfarm Productivity QoQ

    Previous
    0.8%
    Forecast
    1.4%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Exports

    Previous
    $314.7B
    Forecast
    $308.5B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Balance of Trade

    Previous
    $-73.3B
    Forecast
    $-90.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 13:30USD

    Fed Waller Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Services Business Activity

    Previous
    59.1
    Forecast
    59.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Services Prices

    Previous
    70.3
    Forecast
    66.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Services Employment

    Previous
    47.4
    Forecast
    51.8
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Services PMI

    Previous
    54.1
    Forecast
    54.3
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:00USD

    ISM Services New Orders

    Previous
    57.2
    Forecast
    57.0
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 15:30USD

    EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

    Previous
    15.0B
    Forecast
    30.0B
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:00COP

    Exports YoY

    Previous
    7.0%
    Forecast
    10.0%
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    8-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.67%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 16:30USD

    4-Week Bill Auction

    Previous
    3.65%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00CAD

    2-Year Bond Auction

    Previous
    3.023%
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    15-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    5.98
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 17:00USD

    30-Year Mortgage Rate

    Previous
    6.66
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 18:00

    Uruguay Inflation Rate YoY

    Previous
    4.27
    Forecast
    4.5
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 20:00USD

    Fed Hammack Speech

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 21:30USD

    Fed Balance Sheet

    Previous
    Forecast
    Actual / Status
    Upcoming
  • 22:00Scheduled
    Market timing

    Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.

Today's Trading Windows

Your trading day, in chronological order.

  • 00:00-01:55 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Check

    Use the Asian session high and low as marks for London; avoid forcing EUR/USD entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 02:50-06:10 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Check

    Use the Asian session high and low as marks for London; avoid forcing EUR/USD entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 06:30-07:25 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Asian Price Check

    Use the Asian session high and low as marks for London; avoid forcing EUR/USD entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toAsian SessionUpcoming
  • 08:15-08:55 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Decision Window

    Wait for London to establish clear EUR/USD highs and lows before choosing a trade.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 09:15-12:55 UK

    Best WindowUpcoming

    London Decision Window

    Wait for London to establish clear EUR/USD highs and lows before choosing a trade.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionUpcoming
  • 13:25-13:45 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Several USD releases and Fed Waller Speech at 13:30 can make EUR/USD change quickly.

    Do not enter EUR/USD during this window; wait for a candle on the 1-hour chart to close.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD Continuing Jobless Claims · 13:30USD Jobless Claims 4-week Average · 13:30USD Initial Jobless Claims · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 13:50-14:50 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    USD News Pause

    Two USD news periods can produce fast EUR/USD price changes and poor entries.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 14:55-15:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    ISM Services PMI at 15:00 can cause fast EUR/USD price changes and poor entry prices.

    Avoid new EUR/USD trades until price changes slow and a candle on the 1-hour chart closes.

    Volatility · High
    Related toUSD ISM Services PMI · 15:00London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 15:20-19:55 UK

    Fair WindowUpcoming

    Confirmed Price Window

    Use EUR/USD only when one-hour candles show an orderly pattern after ISM Services PMI.

    Volatility · Moderate
    Related toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming
  • 19:55-20:15 UK

    Dangerous WindowUpcoming

    Fed Hammack Speech at 20:00 may cause sudden EUR/USD price changes.

    Wait until EUR/USD price changes slow before considering a new trade.

    Volatility · High
    Related toNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming
  • 20:15-22:00 UK

    Caution WindowUpcoming

    Late Price Check

    Consider EUR/USD only if price changes have slowed and the one-hour chart shows clear highs and lows.

    Volatility · Quiet
    Related toNew York SessionUpcoming

Today's Guidance

Mark the Asian session high and low on EUR/USD. Enter only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond either mark.

Today's guidance illustration

Alternative scenario

If

EUR/USD remains fast and uneven at 15:15 UK following ISM Services PMI.

Then

Avoid new EUR/USD trades from 15:15-19:55 UK until one-hour candles stop making unusually large price changes.

Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.

Today's Trading Checklist

Run through every step below before placing a trade today.

Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.

  1. Step 01Later

    Treat the 13:30 USD releases as one combined decision point, not separate trade signals.

  2. Step 02Later

    Reduce risk if EUR/USD repeatedly crosses the Asian session high or low without closing beyond either.

  3. Step 03Later

    Review any open EUR/USD trade before the Fed Hammack Speech at 20:00 UK.

Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.

Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.

Trading checklist illustration

Build the habit. Understand the market.