Profit factor

Total gross profit divided by total gross loss.

Risk Managementgross profit ratio

Full explanation

A profit factor of 1.0 means you broke even before costs. Above 1.0 is profitable; roughly 1.3 to 1.6 is a realistic target for a sound discretionary strategy, and anything much above 2.0 over a small sample usually means the sample is too small.

Because it uses totals rather than averages, one outsized winner can inflate it. Check the figure again with your largest win removed — if it collapses, the result came from luck rather than method.

It pairs well with expectancy: profit factor shows the overall ratio, expectancy shows what a typical trade returns.

Why traders watch it

It is a fast health check on a strategy or a month, and it shows immediately when costs are eating the edge.

Trading considerations

  • Recalculate with the biggest winner excluded to test robustness.
  • Include spread and commission in the loss side.
  • Compare like periods — profit factor swings a lot month to month.

Educational guidance only — never a trading signal or recommendation.

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