U.S. Monthly Treasury Statement
The U.S. Monthly Treasury Statement reports federal receipts, outlays and the monthly budget surplus or deficit.
Full explanation
The U.S. Monthly Treasury Statement summarizes the federal government’s receipts, outlays and resulting monthly budget surplus or deficit. It shows how much cash the government collected and spent during the reporting month, along with related financing information. The Bureau of the Fiscal Service publishes the statement for the U.S. Treasury, normally on the eighth workday of the month after the reporting month, using data supplied by federal entities, disbursing officers and Federal Reserve Banks.
Why traders watch it
Traders watch the Monthly Treasury Statement because it provides a timely read on the federal fiscal balance, which can influence expectations for Treasury borrowing, bill and coupon supply, deficit trends, rates markets and U.S. dollar sentiment.
Stronger vs weaker outcomes
A larger-than-expected deficit may increase focus on government borrowing needs and Treasury supply. A smaller deficit or surplus may reduce that focus, although the market impact depends on tax-payment timing, spending patterns, debt-management plans and broader macro conditions.
Typical volatility
Moderate. Monthly budget figures are highly seasonal and can be distorted by tax deadlines, benefit-payment timing, calendar effects and one-off policy changes. The release should be read with year-to-date totals and Treasury financing announcements rather than as a standalone trading signal.
Related indicators
15-Year Mortgage Rate
A weekly Freddie Mac measure of average U.S. 15-year fixed-rate mortgage borrowing costs.
Absa Manufacturing PMI
A monthly survey indicator tracking whether South African manufacturing conditions are improving or weakening.
ADP Employment Change
ADP Employment Change is a private estimate of changes in U.S. private-sector jobs based on payroll data from ADP.
Ai Group Australian Industry Index
A monthly survey-based gauge of whether activity in Australian industrial sectors is expanding or contracting.
Albania Balance of Trade
Albania Balance of Trade measures the difference between the value of Albania’s goods exports and goods imports.
Albania Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY
A monthly measure of Albania’s consumer-price inflation compared with the same month a year earlier, based on the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices.