Today's Trading Plan
EUR/USD · FreePrivateCurrentUpdated —Issue №85Today's Outlook
Wait for Clear Moves
Before 08:00 UK, London has not established EUR/USD's direction, so wait through EUR Factory Orders MoM at 07:00 UK. Avoid chasing sharp moves around EUR Retail Sales at 09:00 and 10:00 UK, or USD Non Farm Payrolls at 13:30 UK.
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Liquidity
- Normal
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Difficulty
- Very hard
Today’s Events
| Action | Time | Event | CCY | Impact | Previous | Forecast | Actual / Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Nepal Shree Krishna Janmastami | — | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 02:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | PHP | 4.2% | 4.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | PHP | 6.2% | 6.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | PHP | 13.9% | 14.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | PHP | 0.1% | 0.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 02:25 | Retail Sales YoY | VND | 14.5% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 04:35 | 3-Month Bill Auction | JPY | 1.0794% | — | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales YoY | SGD | 4.0% | 4.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production YoY | EUR | -4.6% | -3.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production MoM | EUR | -2.3% | 1.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Coincident Index | JPY | 118.5 | 118.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Leading Economic Index | JPY | 116.5 | 116.8 | Upcoming | |||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | SGD | 1.0% | 1.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Current Account | SEK | SEK93.9B | SEK87.0B | Upcoming | |||
| 07:00 | Romania Retail Sales YoY | 7.3% | 7.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 07:00 | Romania Retail Sales MoM | -1.2% | 0.7% | Upcoming | ||||
| 07:00 | Factory Orders MoM | EUR | 3.1% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 07:30 | Retail Sales YoY | HUF | 3.0% | 3.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Market timing Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 08:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | EUR | 0.9% | 0.7% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Retail Sales MoM | CZK | -0.1% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | CZK | 1.7% | 1.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | CZK | 0.6% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Retail Sales YoY | CZK | 3.6% | 4.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Kazakhstan Interest Rate Decision | 16.75% | 16.5% | Upcoming | ||||
| 08:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | EUR | 0.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Retail Sales YoY | EUR | 2.0% | 1.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:00 | Retail Sales MoM | EUR | 0.4% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 08:30 | Early Close Bond Market | CAD | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Business Confidence | PHP | 0.0 | 2.0 | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.7% | 0.6% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate YoY | 3.1% | 2.7% | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:00 | Retail Sales MoM | EUR | -0.1% | 0.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | Retail Sales YoY | EUR | 3.1% | 3.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | New Car Sales YoY | GBP | 11.7% | 11.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:00 | World FAO Food Price Index | 131.1 | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 09:20 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | TWD | $594.27B | $594.4B | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | DMP 3M Output Price Expectations | GBP | 3.9% | 3.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | Balance of Trade | EUR | €-217.3M | €-286.0M | Upcoming | |||
| 09:30 | DMP 1Y CPI Expectations | GBP | 3.0 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 09:50 | BoE Gov Bailey Speech | GBP | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | ECB Lane Speech | EUR | — | — | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Retail Sales YoY | EUR | 0.7% | 1.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:00 | Retail Sales MoM | EUR | -0.3% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 10:30 | Uganda Business Confidence | 55.7 | 55.8 | Upcoming | ||||
| 10:30 | Uganda Balance of Trade | $-870.0M | $-600.0M | Upcoming | ||||
| 11:00 | GNP QoQ | EUR | 6.8% | -2.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | EUR | -13.0% | -1.6% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | EUR | -7.0% | 3.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Current Account | EUR | €17.4B | €10.9B | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | GNP YoY | EUR | 16.6% | 9.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Tourist Arrivals YoY | ILS | 28.6 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Industrial Production YoY | EUR | 0.5% | 0.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Industrial Production MoM | EUR | -0.8% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Macedonia Balance of Trade | $-363.0M | $-390.0M | Upcoming | ||||
| 11:00 | Vehicle Sales YoY | RUB | 0.3% | 5.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 11:00 | Serbia PPI YoY | 6.2% | 6.3% | Upcoming | ||||
| 12:00 | Albania PPI YoY | 0.1% | 1.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 12:30 | Foreign Exchange Reserves | INR | 729.33 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Market timing London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 13:00 | Gross Fixed Investment MoM | MXN | -0.4% | 0.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Gross Fixed Investment YoY | MXN | 1.1% | 4.8% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:00 | Pakistan Balance of Trade | PKR-1100.2B | PKR-1000.0B | Upcoming | ||||
| 13:30 | Part Time Employment Chg | CAD | 36.6K | 6.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Employment Change | CAD | 75.1K | 15.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Full Time Employment Chg | CAD | 38.6K | 4.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Unemployment Rate | CAD | 6.4% | 6.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Hourly Wages YoY | CAD | 3.0% | 2.9% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Participation Rate | CAD | 65.1% | 65.2% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | USD | 0.1% | 0.3% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Non Farm Payrolls | USD | -23.0K | 56.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | USD | 3.2% | 3.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Unemployment Rate | USD | 4.1% | 4.1% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Government Payrolls | USD | -53.0K | -11.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | USD | 30.0K | 45.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Participation Rate | USD | 61.4% | 61.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | U-6 Unemployment Rate | USD | 7.9% | 8.0% | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Average Weekly Hours | USD | 34.3 | 34.3 | Upcoming | |||
| 13:30 | Manufacturing Payrolls | USD | 5.0K | 5.0K | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Ivey PMI s.a | CAD | 55.1 | 56.2 | Upcoming | |||
| 15:00 | Tunisia Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1% | 5.0% | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | Tunisia Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | Upcoming | ||||
| 15:00 | World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index | 0.79 | — | Upcoming | ||||
| 17:00 | Costa Rica Inflation Rate YoY | -0.28% | 0.1% | Upcoming | ||||
| 17:00 | Costa Rica Inflation Rate MoM | -0.47 | 0.4 | Upcoming | ||||
| 18:00 | New Car Registrations YoY | EUR | -7.4% | 4.5% | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count | USD | 588.0 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 18:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | USD | 447.0 | — | Upcoming | |||
| 19:00 | Balance of Trade | BRL | $7.07B | $7.14B | Upcoming | |||
| 20:00 | PPI YoY | COP | 1.51% | 1.4% | Upcoming | |||
| 22:00 | Market timing Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over. | All | — | — | Scheduled | |||
| 22:00 | El Salvador Inflation Rate YoY | 2.49 | 3.0 | Upcoming | ||||
| 22:00 | El Salvador Inflation Rate MoM | 0.05 | 0.3 | Upcoming |
- 01:00
Nepal Shree Krishna Janmastami
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:00PHP
Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 4.2%
- Forecast
- 4.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:00PHP
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 6.2%
- Forecast
- 6.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:00PHP
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 13.9%
- Forecast
- 14.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:00PHP
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 02:25VND
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 14.5%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 04:35JPY
3-Month Bill Auction
- Previous
- 1.0794%
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 4.0%
- Forecast
- 4.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- -4.6%
- Forecast
- -3.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00EUR
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- -2.3%
- Forecast
- 1.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00JPY
Coincident Index
- Previous
- 118.5
- Forecast
- 118.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00JPY
Leading Economic Index
- Previous
- 116.5
- Forecast
- 116.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 06:00SGD
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- 1.0%
- Forecast
- 1.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00SEK
Current Account
- Previous
- SEK93.9B
- Forecast
- SEK87.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00
Romania Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 7.3%
- Forecast
- 7.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00
Romania Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- -1.2%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:00EUR
Factory Orders MoM
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 07:30HUF
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 3.0%
- Forecast
- 3.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00ScheduledMarket timing
Volatility usually increases as European banks start trading.
- 08:00EUR
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 0.9%
- Forecast
- 0.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CZK
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- -0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CZK
Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 1.7%
- Forecast
- 1.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CZK
Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.6%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00CZK
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 3.6%
- Forecast
- 4.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00
Kazakhstan Interest Rate Decision
- Previous
- 16.75%
- Forecast
- 16.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00EUR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 2.0%
- Forecast
- 1.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- 0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 08:30CAD
Early Close Bond Market
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00PHP
Business Confidence
- Previous
- 0.0
- Forecast
- 2.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- 0.7%
- Forecast
- 0.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
Bulgaria GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- 2.7%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- -0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 3.1%
- Forecast
- 3.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00GBP
New Car Sales YoY
- Previous
- 11.7%
- Forecast
- 11.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:00
World FAO Food Price Index
- Previous
- 131.1
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:20TWD
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- $594.27B
- Forecast
- $594.4B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
DMP 3M Output Price Expectations
- Previous
- 3.9%
- Forecast
- 3.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30EUR
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- €-217.3M
- Forecast
- €-286.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:30GBP
DMP 1Y CPI Expectations
- Previous
- 3.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 09:50GBP
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
ECB Lane Speech
- Previous
- —
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Retail Sales YoY
- Previous
- 0.7%
- Forecast
- 1.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:00EUR
Retail Sales MoM
- Previous
- -0.3%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30
Uganda Business Confidence
- Previous
- 55.7
- Forecast
- 55.8
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 10:30
Uganda Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $-870.0M
- Forecast
- $-600.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
GNP QoQ
- Previous
- 6.8%
- Forecast
- -2.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
GDP Growth Rate YoY
- Previous
- -13.0%
- Forecast
- -1.6%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
- Previous
- -7.0%
- Forecast
- 3.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Current Account
- Previous
- €17.4B
- Forecast
- €10.9B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
GNP YoY
- Previous
- 16.6%
- Forecast
- 9.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00ILS
Tourist Arrivals YoY
- Previous
- 28.6
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Industrial Production YoY
- Previous
- 0.5%
- Forecast
- 0.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00EUR
Industrial Production MoM
- Previous
- -0.8%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Macedonia Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $-363.0M
- Forecast
- $-390.0M
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00RUB
Vehicle Sales YoY
- Previous
- 0.3%
- Forecast
- 5.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 11:00
Serbia PPI YoY
- Previous
- 6.2%
- Forecast
- 6.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:00
Albania PPI YoY
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 1.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 12:30INR
Foreign Exchange Reserves
- Previous
- 729.33
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00ScheduledMarket timing
London and New York overlap — the most active period of the day.
- 13:00MXN
Gross Fixed Investment MoM
- Previous
- -0.4%
- Forecast
- 0.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00MXN
Gross Fixed Investment YoY
- Previous
- 1.1%
- Forecast
- 4.8%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:00
Pakistan Balance of Trade
- Previous
- PKR-1100.2B
- Forecast
- PKR-1000.0B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Part Time Employment Chg
- Previous
- 36.6K
- Forecast
- 6.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Employment Change
- Previous
- 75.1K
- Forecast
- 15.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Full Time Employment Chg
- Previous
- 38.6K
- Forecast
- 4.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 6.4%
- Forecast
- 6.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Average Hourly Wages YoY
- Previous
- 3.0%
- Forecast
- 2.9%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30CAD
Participation Rate
- Previous
- 65.1%
- Forecast
- 65.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
- Previous
- 0.1%
- Forecast
- 0.3%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Non Farm Payrolls
- Previous
- -23.0K
- Forecast
- 56.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
- Previous
- 3.2%
- Forecast
- 3.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 4.1%
- Forecast
- 4.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Government Payrolls
- Previous
- -53.0K
- Forecast
- -11.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Nonfarm Payrolls Private
- Previous
- 30.0K
- Forecast
- 45.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Participation Rate
- Previous
- 61.4%
- Forecast
- 61.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
U-6 Unemployment Rate
- Previous
- 7.9%
- Forecast
- 8.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Average Weekly Hours
- Previous
- 34.3
- Forecast
- 34.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 13:30USD
Manufacturing Payrolls
- Previous
- 5.0K
- Forecast
- 5.0K
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00CAD
Ivey PMI s.a
- Previous
- 55.1
- Forecast
- 56.2
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Tunisia Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 5.1%
- Forecast
- 5.0%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
Tunisia Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.2%
- Forecast
- 0.2%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 15:00
World Global Supply Chain Pressure Index
- Previous
- 0.79
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00
Costa Rica Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- -0.28%
- Forecast
- 0.1%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 17:00
Costa Rica Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- -0.47
- Forecast
- 0.4
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00EUR
New Car Registrations YoY
- Previous
- -7.4%
- Forecast
- 4.5%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count
- Previous
- 588.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 18:00USD
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
- Previous
- 447.0
- Forecast
- —
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 19:00BRL
Balance of Trade
- Previous
- $7.07B
- Forecast
- $7.14B
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 20:00COP
PPI YoY
- Previous
- 1.51%
- Forecast
- 1.4%
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00ScheduledMarket timing
Spreads widen and liquidity thins as the trading day rolls over.
- 22:00
El Salvador Inflation Rate YoY
- Previous
- 2.49
- Forecast
- 3.0
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
- 22:00
El Salvador Inflation Rate MoM
- Previous
- 0.05
- Forecast
- 0.3
- Actual / Status
- Upcoming
Today's Trading Windows
Your trading day, in chronological order.
- 00:00-01:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price and Early News
Use the Asian session high and low as markers while London begins and EUR Factory Orders MoM is released.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 02:15-06:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price and Early News
Use the Asian session high and low as markers while London begins and EUR Factory Orders MoM is released.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionUpcoming - 06:55-07:10 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Factory Orders MoM at 07:00 UK may cause a sudden EUR/USD price change as London activity begins.
Watch EUR/USD without entering until price forms a clear high and low after 07:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toAsian SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 07:15-08:50 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingAsian Price and Early News
Use the Asian session high and low as markers while London begins and EUR Factory Orders MoM is released.
Volatility · QuietRelated toAsian SessionLondon SessionUpcoming - 08:55-09:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Retail Sales MoM and Retail Sales YoY at 09:00 UK may cause sharp EUR/USD price changes.
Wait until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low after 09:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR Retail Sales MoM · 09:00EUR Retail Sales YoY · 09:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 09:55-10:15 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingEUR Retail Sales MoM and Retail Sales YoY at 10:00 UK may cause another sharp EUR/USD price change.
Avoid entering until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low after 10:00 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toEUR Retail Sales YoY · 10:00EUR Retail Sales MoM · 10:00London SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 10:20-13:20 UK
—
Best WindowUpcomingClearest Planning Window
Trade only if London price holds clearly beyond the Asian session high or low before USD news.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 13:25-13:55 UK
—
Dangerous WindowUpcomingUSD Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and related releases at 13:30 UK may move EUR/USD sharply.
Wait until EUR/USD forms a clear high and low after 13:30 UK.
Volatility · HighRelated toCAD Employment Change · 13:30CAD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Non Farm Payrolls · 13:30USD Unemployment Rate · 13:30USD Nonfarm Payrolls Private · 13:30USD U-6 Unemployment Rate · 13:30London SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionExecution risk elevatedUpcoming - 13:55-14:50 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPrice Settling Window
Wait for EUR/USD to form and respect a clear high and low after the 13:30 UK releases.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 15:20-16:00 UK
—
Fair WindowUpcomingPrice Settling Window
Wait for EUR/USD to form and respect a clear high and low after the 13:30 UK releases.
Volatility · ModerateRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 16:00-18:55 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Day Conditions
Only trade if EUR/USD keeps respecting the high and low formed after 13:30 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toLondon SessionLondon / NY OverlapNew York SessionHigh liquidityUpcoming - 19:15-22:00 UK
—
Caution WindowUpcomingLate Day Conditions
Only trade if EUR/USD keeps respecting the high and low formed after 13:30 UK.
Volatility · QuietRelated toNew York SessionUpcoming
Today's Guidance
Mark the Asian session high and low as fixed points for EUR/USD. Enter only after a candle on the 1-hour chart closes clearly beyond either point.
Alternative scenario
Non Farm Payrolls at 13:30 UK differs greatly from 56.0K and EUR/USD closes beyond the Asian session high or low.
Stop using the Asian session high and low until EUR/USD forms a new clear high and low after 13:30 UK.
Guidance — not a prediction. Today's plan may need to be reassessed if this trigger materialises.
Today's Trading Checklist
Run through every step below before placing a trade today.
Statuses update automatically as today's plan and trading windows progress. They show when each point is most relevant — you still confirm the trading conditions on the chart.
- Step 01Later
Set position size before entry, not during a fast price change.
- Step 02Later
Cancel any pending order that could trigger inside a high-risk period.
- Step 03Later
Record whether each release leaves EUR/USD inside or outside the Asian session high and low.
Use this checklist to guide today’s trading session.
Tip: Copy this checklist into today’s Workspace and tick items off as you trade.
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